2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Feb 3, 2026, 1:07 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 35-14-4	East	1608	+61	+3	113	99.9%	78%	56%	40%	25.1%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 36-9-9	West	1596	+34	-12	119	>99.9%	80%	50%	36%	20.9%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 34-15-6	East	1566	+4	+2	108	99.1%	65%	43%	19%	9.9%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 33-14-9	West	1564	+8	+13	108	>99.9%	56%	25%	16%	8.1%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 33-14-10	West	1552	+34	+12	106	99.9%	47%	20%	12%	5.5%
6	Buffalo SabresBUF 32-18-5	East	1545	+72	+18	101	89.0%	44%	18%	10%	4.5%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 28-20-8	West	1535	-29	-8	95	84.4%	49%	27%	10%	4.0%
8	Utah MammothUTA 29-23-4	West	1531	+21	-2	94	79.1%	34%	19%	8%	3.1%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-16-14	West	1524	-39	-22	96	85.5%	46%	24%	8%	2.9%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 31-17-8	East	1525	+30	+12	100	82.2%	33%	12%	6%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 28-15-11	East	1509	+55	+15	97	74.0%	35%	14%	4%	1.7%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 33-18-6	East	1513	+30	-2	99	78.8%	28%	9%	4%	1.5%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 32-20-4	East	1512	+51	+5	96	62.4%	21%	8%	3%	1.4%
14	Washington CapitalsWSH 28-22-7	East	1515	-13	+3	92	38.1%	20%	9%	3%	1.3%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 27-21-7	East	1522	+1	+18	92	28.9%	11%	5%	2%	1.2%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-17-14	West	1500	-39	+3	92	67.0%	29%	13%	4%	1.2%
17	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 27-20-7	East	1504	+22	+21	92	39.5%	19%	8%	3%	0.9%
18	Florida PanthersFLA 28-24-3	East	1523	-53	-12	90	19.6%	8%	4%	2%	0.9%
19	New York IslandersNYI 30-21-5	East	1496	+22	+7	94	50.6%	22%	8%	2%	0.8%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 26-19-9	West	1482	+23	+17	90	54.3%	20%	8%	2%	0.7%
21	Anaheim DucksANA 29-23-3	West	1478	+16	+3	91	58.8%	21%	8%	2%	0.5%
22	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 26-21-9	East	1504	-40	-10	89	11.4%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
23	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-25-2	East	1491	-36	-8	88	16.1%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 26-23-6	West	1476	-1	-5	86	28.5%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 22-25-8	West	1490	-53	-5	82	9.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.3%
26	San Jose SharksSJS 27-23-4	West	1455	+55	-0	87	31.6%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
27	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 24-20-10	East	1464	-1	-9	86	10.1%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 22-27-6	West	1451	-29	-15	76	1.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 20-27-9	West	1443	-76	-10	74	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-25-9	West	1417	+11	-10	76	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 22-28-6	East	1464	-55	-12	77	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-32-6	West	1414	-86	-10	65	—	—	—	—	—

As of: