2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Mar 18, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 44-13-9	West	1594	+32	-15	119	>99.9%	81%	48%	35%	21.1%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 41-21-4	East	1587	+39	-8	107	99.6%	70%	42%	26%	14.7%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 42-15-10	West	1581	+24	+2	113	>99.9%	65%	33%	23%	13.3%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 42-19-6	East	1574	+12	-11	109	99.9%	70%	47%	23%	11.9%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 42-20-6	East	1572	+99	+9	108	99.9%	67%	34%	20%	10.2%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 39-18-12	West	1548	+31	-11	106	>99.9%	38%	15%	10%	4.4%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 34-26-9	West	1531	-34	+3	93	90.8%	51%	28%	9%	3.7%
8	Utah MammothUTA 35-27-6	West	1529	+19	-11	93	92.8%	44%	26%	8%	3.3%
9	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 35-21-10	East	1530	+47	+13	99	74.7%	38%	16%	6%	2.7%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 31-23-14	West	1519	-43	-3	93	87.8%	45%	23%	7%	2.6%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 34-23-9	East	1542	+21	+13	96	50.2%	20%	10%	5%	2.4%
12	Montreal CanadiensMTL 37-20-10	East	1527	+31	-1	101	86.7%	30%	12%	5%	2.3%
13	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 34-18-15	East	1518	+64	+10	99	83.9%	38%	14%	5%	2.1%
14	New York IslandersNYI 39-24-5	East	1513	+39	+10	99	77.4%	33%	12%	4%	1.5%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 37-27-3	West	1490	+28	-6	94	93.3%	37%	14%	3%	1.0%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 37-23-8	East	1506	+23	+2	98	63.0%	18%	6%	2%	1.0%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 37-23-8	East	1501	+39	-6	96	51.1%	14%	5%	2%	0.6%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-24-15	West	1482	-57	+1	87	39.1%	13%	5%	1%	0.4%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-27-9	West	1469	+9	-3	86	26.6%	8%	3%	<1%	0.2%
20	San Jose SharksSJS 32-28-6	West	1455	+55	+4	87	38.9%	10%	3%	<1%	0.2%
21	Nashville PredatorsNSH 30-28-9	West	1471	-6	+1	85	21.9%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Washington CapitalsWSH 33-27-8	East	1506	-22	-5	89	4.7%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 28-28-11	West	1483	-60	-9	82	6.6%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 31-23-12	East	1473	+8	+4	90	7.9%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Florida PanthersFLA 33-31-3	East	1505	-71	-4	85	0.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 34-31-2	East	1488	-39	+1	86	0.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 27-30-10	West	1473	-47	+14	80	2.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 25-30-12	West	1411	+5	+2	75	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 29-28-12	East	1479	-65	+1	83	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 26-34-7	West	1436	-44	-12	73	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-31-8	East	1480	-40	+21	80	0.0%	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-38-8	West	1403	-97	+0	63	—	—	—	—	—

As of: