2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Mar 7, 2026, 1:04 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 42-10-9	West	1610	+47	+7	122	>99.9%	84%	53%	41%	25.8%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-18-4	East	1590	+43	-25	109	99.7%	73%	46%	29%	15.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 40-16-6	East	1585	+23	+12	112	>99.9%	74%	53%	29%	14.9%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 38-14-10	West	1578	+22	+13	112	>99.9%	57%	26%	18%	10.0%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 37-19-6	East	1561	+88	+26	106	99.0%	60%	28%	15%	7.3%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 37-16-10	West	1561	+44	+7	108	>99.9%	44%	18%	12%	5.8%
7	Utah MammothUTA 33-25-4	West	1536	+26	-0	95	91.5%	46%	28%	9%	3.7%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-20-14	West	1523	-40	-14	95	90.1%	47%	24%	7%	2.4%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-18-10	East	1525	+30	-0	100	86.0%	31%	12%	5%	2.1%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 30-25-8	West	1522	-42	-2	90	64.0%	33%	17%	5%	2.0%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 30-22-9	East	1529	+8	+9	94	41.4%	15%	8%	3%	1.5%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-17-13	East	1512	+58	-2	97	76.2%	36%	13%	4%	1.5%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 32-21-8	East	1517	+34	+2	95	59.5%	29%	11%	4%	1.5%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 35-24-3	West	1496	+34	+10	96	93.3%	40%	17%	4%	1.2%
15	New York IslandersNYI 35-23-5	East	1503	+29	-1	97	69.8%	30%	10%	3%	1.0%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 34-22-5	East	1506	+44	-7	95	56.4%	16%	6%	2%	0.9%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-21-7	East	1504	+21	-4	98	72.0%	20%	7%	3%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-25-7	East	1511	-17	+1	90	20.2%	9%	4%	1%	0.5%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-23-9	West	1478	+19	-6	88	49.4%	17%	6%	1%	0.4%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-22-14	West	1480	-58	-8	87	38.0%	13%	5%	1%	0.4%
21	Florida PanthersFLA 31-29-3	East	1515	-61	-12	87	4.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
22	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-5	West	1455	+54	+2	88	40.0%	12%	4%	<1%	0.2%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 25-26-10	West	1490	-53	+7	83	11.4%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 28-26-8	West	1470	-7	+0	85	21.2%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-22-11	East	1470	+5	+3	88	10.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 31-29-2	East	1486	-40	+8	86	4.0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-25-11	East	1483	-61	-26	84	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 24-29-9	West	1458	-61	+17	77	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-30-7	West	1444	-36	-11	74	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-29-10	West	1409	+3	-4	73	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 24-29-8	East	1463	-56	-1	78	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 19-36-7	West	1403	-97	-8	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: