2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Apr 10, 2026, 2:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 52-16-10	West	1599	+36	-3	120	✓	85%	54%	40%	23.8%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 51-22-6	East	1589	+27	+7	112	✓	71%	52%	29%	16.9%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 48-25-6	East	1580	+33	-8	106	✓	57%	32%	18%	10.2%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 49-23-8	East	1572	+99	+2	109	✓	62%	32%	18%	9.1%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 47-20-12	West	1565	+9	-3	110	✓	56%	24%	16%	7.9%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 47-22-10	East	1561	+65	+3	108	✓	48%	23%	12%	6.0%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 45-22-12	West	1553	+35	+14	106	✓	44%	18%	11%	5.0%
8	Utah MammothUTA 42-30-6	West	1541	+30	+25	95	>99.9%	53%	34%	12%	4.7%
9	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 42-27-10	East	1552	+31	+17	98	93.6%	35%	18%	8%	4.0%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 40-29-10	West	1532	-33	+0	94	>99.9%	54%	32%	10%	3.7%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-22-16	East	1532	+78	+19	101	>99.9%	60%	21%	8%	3.0%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 36-26-17	West	1512	-51	+14	92	99.1%	55%	23%	6%	2.0%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 43-26-10	East	1515	+54	-5	99	98.6%	26%	10%	3%	1.3%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 42-32-5	West	1476	+14	-21	92	98.8%	35%	10%	2%	0.5%
15	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 40-27-12	East	1502	+36	+7	95	45.3%	17%	5%	1%	0.5%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 39-28-11	East	1510	+28	-17	94	18.4%	8%	2%	<1%	0.3%
17	New York IslandersNYI 43-31-5	East	1496	+22	-16	94	32.1%	12%	3%	<1%	0.2%
18	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-31-12	West	1501	-42	+11	87	18.3%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 40-30-9	East	1520	-8	+3	92	7.5%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 32-26-19	West	1476	-63	+9	89	47.0%	9%	3%	<1%	0.2%
21	Nashville PredatorsNSH 37-32-10	West	1487	+9	+11	88	30.9%	5%	1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-29-9	East	1497	+14	-1	94	4.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 37-34-7	West	1438	+37	-10	85	5.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 33-33-12	West	1487	-32	+2	82	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 33-34-11	West	1440	-20	-18	81	0.0%	—	—	—	—
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 40-36-3	East	1495	-32	-3	86	—	—	—	—	—
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-38-4	East	1487	-89	-15	82	—	—	—	—	—
28	New York RangersNYR 33-37-9	East	1483	-37	+13	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-33-14	East	1460	-84	-16	81	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 32-37-9	West	1449	-31	-6	77	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-37-14	West	1396	-10	-5	73	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-48-8	West	1374	-127	-3	55	—	—	—	—	—

As of: