2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Apr 20, 2026, 2:06 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 1 Series Win Probabilities

93%

COL leads 1-0

61%

39%

MIN leads 1-0

33%

67%

VEG leads 1-0

29%

71%

Series tied 0-0

20%

80%

BUF leads 1-0

59%

41%

MTL leads 1-0

23%

77%

CAR leads 1-0

68%

32%

PHI leads 1-0

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 56-16-11	West	1604	+42	+6	121	✓	93%	61%	46%	27.4%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 54-22-7	East	1597	+35	+13	113	✓	77%	59%	36%	20.8%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 51-23-9	East	1574	+101	+12	109	✓	80%	43%	21%	10.8%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 50-26-7	East	1574	+26	-10	106	✓	41%	22%	11%	6.1%
5	Montreal CanadiensMTL 49-24-10	East	1557	+61	-1	106	✓	59%	28%	13%	6.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 47-24-12	West	1554	+37	-1	104	✓	61%	22%	14%	6.0%
7	Dallas StarsDAL 50-21-12	West	1565	+8	+3	112	✓	39%	16%	11%	5.3%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 40-26-17	West	1530	-33	+15	95	✓	67%	38%	12%	4.0%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 41-30-11	West	1529	-35	+0	93	✓	71%	35%	10%	3.5%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-28-11	East	1554	+33	+6	99	✓	23%	15%	7%	3.3%
11	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 44-27-12	East	1523	+58	+16	98	✓	68%	17%	6%	2.3%
12	Utah MammothUTA 43-34-6	West	1521	+10	-20	92	✓	33%	18%	5%	1.8%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 45-28-10	East	1520	+58	+2	100	✓	20%	7%	3%	1.1%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-26-16	East	1511	+57	-14	98	✓	32%	8%	3%	0.9%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 43-33-6	West	1473	+11	-6	92	✓	29%	9%	2%	0.4%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-28-20	West	1477	-61	-2	90	✓	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: