2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Feb 28, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-15-4	East	1615	+67	+8	114	>99.9%	80%	59%	41%	26.6%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 38-10-9	West	1595	+33	-2	119	>99.9%	80%	48%	35%	19.3%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 37-15-6	East	1576	+14	+8	111	99.8%	70%	47%	22%	11.8%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 35-14-9	West	1570	+13	+14	110	>99.9%	56%	27%	18%	8.8%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 35-15-10	West	1557	+39	+16	107	>99.9%	47%	20%	12%	5.8%
6	Utah MammothUTA 31-24-4	West	1537	+27	+7	95	90.4%	42%	25%	9%	3.8%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-17-14	West	1534	-29	+7	97	95.9%	53%	30%	10%	3.8%
8	Buffalo SabresBUF 34-19-6	East	1542	+69	+2	102	91.0%	43%	16%	8%	3.6%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 29-23-8	West	1529	-35	-14	92	78.6%	44%	23%	8%	2.9%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 32-17-9	East	1529	+33	+15	101	85.7%	35%	12%	5%	2.2%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 30-15-12	East	1518	+64	+8	99	82.4%	40%	15%	5%	1.9%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 34-19-6	East	1512	+29	-4	99	78.0%	26%	9%	3%	1.3%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 33-20-5	East	1514	+52	+7	97	66.6%	22%	8%	3%	1.3%
14	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-23-7	East	1521	-7	+10	93	38.7%	18%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	New York IslandersNYI 33-21-5	East	1508	+34	+3	97	70.0%	30%	11%	3%	1.2%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-21-7	East	1511	+28	+16	93	37.8%	17%	7%	2%	0.9%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 32-23-3	West	1489	+27	+8	94	86.4%	34%	12%	3%	0.8%
18	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 28-22-8	East	1519	-2	+6	91	21.2%	7%	4%	2%	0.7%
19	Florida PanthersFLA 30-26-3	East	1523	-53	-5	89	13.2%	5%	2%	1%	0.5%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 27-22-9	West	1473	+14	-5	88	45.9%	15%	5%	1%	0.3%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-21-14	West	1475	-63	-27	86	33.6%	11%	4%	1%	0.3%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-24-7	West	1473	-4	+3	86	32.9%	7%	3%	<1%	0.2%
23	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-23-9	East	1503	-41	+7	88	6.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-9	West	1484	-60	-5	81	8.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 27-25-4	West	1446	+45	-21	85	23.3%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 26-21-11	East	1467	+1	-1	87	7.8%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-27-6	West	1462	-18	+5	78	3.9%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-29-2	East	1471	-56	-25	83	0.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 21-28-9	West	1448	-71	+1	74	0.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-27-9	West	1410	+4	-10	74	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 22-29-7	East	1457	-63	-18	76	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-33-7	West	1408	-93	-7	64	—	—	—	—	—

As of: