2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 51-16-10	West	1596	+34	-1	119	✓	84%	53%	40%	23.7%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 50-22-6	East	1584	+22	+8	111	✓	70%	51%	28%	16.1%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 48-24-6	East	1583	+36	-13	107	✓	64%	38%	23%	12.6%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 46-20-12	West	1562	+6	-9	109	✓	54%	23%	16%	7.7%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 47-23-8	East	1562	+89	-4	107	✓	55%	27%	14%	7.3%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 46-22-10	East	1557	+62	+8	107	✓	49%	23%	12%	6.0%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 45-21-12	West	1555	+38	+10	107	✓	46%	19%	12%	5.8%
8	Utah MammothUTA 41-30-6	West	1536	+26	+13	94	99.6%	52%	33%	11%	4.4%
9	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 41-27-10	East	1547	+26	+6	97	85.0%	30%	17%	8%	3.5%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 39-29-10	West	1526	-38	-1	93	98.7%	55%	30%	9%	3.4%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 40-22-16	East	1525	+71	+22	100	99.8%	56%	19%	7%	2.8%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 36-26-16	West	1515	-47	+15	93	98.3%	55%	25%	7%	2.4%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 43-26-10	East	1515	+54	-5	99	98.5%	26%	10%	3%	1.3%
14	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 40-26-12	East	1507	+42	+9	96	63.2%	26%	8%	3%	0.9%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 39-27-11	East	1515	+33	-15	94	30.6%	14%	5%	2%	0.6%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 41-32-5	West	1470	+8	-31	91	90.2%	29%	9%	2%	0.4%
17	Nashville PredatorsNSH 37-31-10	West	1491	+14	+14	89	49.0%	9%	3%	1%	0.3%
18	New York IslandersNYI 42-31-5	East	1492	+18	-15	93	16.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 31-26-19	West	1472	-66	-2	88	28.5%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
20	Winnipeg JetsWPG 34-31-12	West	1497	-46	+16	85	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
21	San Jose SharksSJS 37-32-7	West	1449	+49	+8	87	27.7%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Washington CapitalsWSH 39-30-9	East	1513	-15	-0	91	2.7%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-29-9	East	1491	+8	-13	93	4.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 33-32-12	West	1491	-29	+3	84	0.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
25	New Jersey DevilsNJD 40-35-3	East	1501	-25	-2	87	—	—	—	—	—
26	Florida PanthersFLA 37-37-4	East	1492	-84	-4	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	New York RangersNYR 33-36-9	East	1487	-32	+23	79	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-31-14	East	1471	-73	-8	83	—	—	—	—	—
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 32-36-9	West	1451	-29	+1	78	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-34-11	West	1436	-23	-25	80	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-36-14	West	1401	-5	-4	74	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-47-8	West	1378	-123	-2	56	—	—	—	—	—

As of: