2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 27, 2026, 2:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-15-4	East	1615	+67	+8	114	>99.9%	80%	59%	42%	26.7%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 38-10-9	West	1595	+33	-2	119	>99.9%	79%	47%	34%	18.7%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 37-15-6	East	1576	+14	+8	111	99.8%	69%	47%	22%	11.9%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 35-14-9	West	1570	+13	+14	110	>99.9%	55%	26%	18%	8.6%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 35-14-10	West	1562	+45	+25	109	>99.9%	49%	22%	14%	6.7%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-16-14	West	1537	-26	+5	99	97.4%	56%	32%	11%	4.1%
7	Buffalo SabresBUF 33-19-6	East	1538	+65	-8	100	86.1%	40%	15%	7%	3.2%
8	Utah MammothUTA 30-24-4	West	1532	+21	-2	93	86.1%	37%	22%	8%	3.1%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 29-23-8	West	1529	-35	-14	92	79.6%	46%	23%	8%	3.0%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 32-17-9	East	1529	+33	+15	101	85.7%	36%	13%	6%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 30-15-12	East	1518	+64	+8	99	83.1%	41%	15%	5%	2.0%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 34-19-6	East	1512	+29	-4	99	77.9%	26%	8%	3%	1.3%
13	New York IslandersNYI 33-21-5	East	1508	+34	+3	97	71.1%	31%	11%	3%	1.3%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 33-20-5	East	1514	+52	+7	97	66.8%	23%	8%	3%	1.3%
15	Washington CapitalsWSH 30-23-7	East	1518	-10	+11	92	32.8%	15%	7%	2%	1.0%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-21-7	East	1511	+28	+16	93	39.1%	18%	7%	2%	0.9%
17	Florida PanthersFLA 30-25-3	East	1527	-49	-6	91	20.5%	8%	4%	2%	0.8%
18	Anaheim DucksANA 31-23-3	West	1486	+24	+1	93	81.9%	32%	11%	3%	0.7%
19	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 28-22-8	East	1519	-2	+6	91	21.2%	7%	4%	2%	0.7%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 27-22-9	West	1473	+14	-5	88	46.7%	16%	5%	1%	0.4%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-21-14	West	1475	-63	-27	86	34.8%	12%	4%	1%	0.3%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-24-7	West	1473	-4	+3	86	34.0%	7%	3%	<1%	0.2%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-8	West	1486	-57	-5	81	10.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
24	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-23-9	East	1503	-41	+7	88	7.0%	2%	1%	<1%	0.2%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 27-25-4	West	1446	+45	-21	85	24.3%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 26-21-11	East	1467	+1	-1	87	8.0%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-27-6	West	1462	-18	+5	78	4.3%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-29-2	East	1471	-56	-25	82	0.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 21-28-9	West	1448	-71	+1	74	0.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-27-9	West	1410	+4	-10	74	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 22-29-7	East	1457	-63	-18	75	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-33-7	West	1408	-93	-7	64	0.0%	—	—	—	—

As of: