2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Apr 27, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 1 Series Win Probabilities

✓

COL wins series 4-0

41%

59%

Series tied 2-2

70%

30%

UTA leads 2-1

80%

20%

ANA leads 3-1

95%

BUF leads 3-1

40%

60%

Series tied 2-2

✓

CAR wins series 4-0

88%

12%

PHI leads 3-1

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 59-16-11	West	1614	+52	+14	121	✓	✓	68%	55%	32.0%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 57-22-7	East	1607	+46	+17	113	✓	✓	78%	48%	27.3%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 53-24-9	East	1580	+107	+4	109	✓	95%	51%	24%	11.7%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 52-26-8	East	1577	+29	-9	106	✓	60%	30%	14%	6.9%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 52-21-13	West	1570	+13	-1	112	✓	59%	20%	14%	6.5%
6	Utah MammothUTA 45-34-6	West	1529	+19	+1	92	✓	70%	45%	12%	3.7%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 48-25-13	West	1550	+32	+7	104	✓	41%	12%	8%	3.2%
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 50-25-11	East	1554	+58	-4	106	✓	40%	17%	7%	3.0%
9	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 46-28-12	East	1528	+63	+14	98	✓	88%	20%	7%	2.3%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 40-28-17	West	1522	-41	+5	95	✓	30%	20%	5%	1.4%
11	Anaheim DucksANA 46-34-6	West	1487	+25	+18	92	✓	80%	26%	4%	0.9%
12	Edmonton OilersEDM 42-32-12	West	1515	-49	-10	93	✓	20%	10%	2%	0.7%
13	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 42-28-16	East	1506	+52	-14	98	✓	12%	2%	<1%	0.2%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 46-30-10	East	1514	+52	-2	100	✓	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-30-12	East	1543	+22	-11	99	✓	—	—	—	—
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-30-21	West	1467	-71	-17	90	✓	—	—	—	—
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: