2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Oct 2, 2026, 1:07 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 1-0-0	West	1582	+5	+5	110	91.4%	62%	37%	23%	12.6%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 0-0-1	East	1582	-4	-4	108	84.3%	56%	36%	21%	12.3%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 1-0-0	West	1558	+3	+3	105	84.5%	53%	31%	16%	7.5%
4	Florida PanthersFLA 1-0-1	East	1554	+1	+1	103	72.7%	40%	23%	12%	6.3%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 1-0-1	West	1546	-1	-1	102	77.9%	46%	25%	12%	5.6%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 0-0-0	West	1545	—	—	102	75.6%	40%	20%	11%	5.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 1-0-0	West	1549	+5	+5	103	79.0%	42%	21%	11%	5.4%
8	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 0-1-0	East	1547	-8	-8	100	63.8%	35%	19%	10%	5.3%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 1-0-0	East	1544	+3	+3	101	68.6%	35%	18%	10%	5.2%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 0-0-0	East	1543	—	—	100	64.6%	35%	17%	8%	4.9%
11	Utah MammothUTA 1-0-0	West	1528	+5	+5	98	67.7%	33%	15%	7%	3.3%
12	Buffalo SabresBUF 0-1-0	East	1531	-6	-6	96	53.0%	26%	13%	6%	2.9%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 0-0-0	East	1523	—	—	96	51.6%	24%	11%	5%	2.7%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 1-0-0	East	1519	+3	+3	96	52.1%	24%	11%	5%	2.2%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 0-0-0	West	1511	—	—	95	57.2%	27%	12%	5%	2.2%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1-0-0	East	1512	+6	+6	94	47.8%	22%	9%	4%	2.0%
17	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 1-0-0	East	1510	+10	+10	94	46.9%	20%	9%	4%	1.7%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-1-0	West	1503	-5	-5	92	48.4%	21%	10%	4%	1.6%
19	San Jose SharksSJS 1-0-0	West	1502	+3	+3	93	53.6%	23%	9%	4%	1.5%
20	Boston BruinsBOS 1-0-0	East	1503	+5	+5	92	40.8%	17%	7%	3%	1.5%
21	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 1-1-0	East	1503	-1	-1	91	35.6%	14%	6%	3%	1.2%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-1-1	East	1501	-13	-13	90	33.1%	14%	6%	3%	1.2%
23	New York RangersNYR 1-1-0	East	1488	+3	+3	88	30.3%	13%	5%	2%	0.9%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 0-0-0	West	1486	—	—	89	38.4%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 0-1-0	West	1477	-5	-5	86	29.7%	10%	4%	2%	0.8%
26	New York IslandersNYI 0-1-0	East	1488	-3	-3	87	27.7%	11%	5%	2%	0.7%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 0-0-0	West	1477	—	—	87	31.7%	10%	4%	2%	0.7%
28	Detroit Red WingsDET 0-0-0	East	1485	—	—	87	27.0%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 1-0-0	West	1467	+8	+8	86	29.8%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 0-2-0	West	1434	-8	-8	76	9.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
31	Vancouver CanucksVAN 1-1-0	West	1426	+1	+1	76	11.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Calgary FlamesCGY 0-1-0	West	1442	-8	-8	78	14.7%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%

As of: