2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Mar 29, 2026, 2:06 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 48-14-10	West	1597	+35	+7	120	>99.9%	85%	53%	40%	23.4%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 45-21-6	East	1595	+47	+4	109	>99.9%	72%	45%	29%	17.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 46-20-6	East	1582	+21	+9	111	>99.9%	71%	51%	26%	14.5%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 44-18-11	West	1572	+15	-13	110	>99.9%	63%	29%	20%	10.1%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 45-21-8	East	1568	+95	-10	108	>99.9%	62%	29%	16%	8.5%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 37-28-9	West	1531	-33	+1	93	98.4%	61%	35%	11%	4.1%
7	Montreal CanadiensMTL 41-21-10	East	1543	+47	+16	103	97.7%	38%	16%	8%	3.5%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 41-21-12	West	1539	+22	-9	104	>99.9%	37%	14%	8%	3.4%
9	Utah MammothUTA 38-30-6	West	1523	+13	-14	92	95.4%	48%	26%	8%	3.0%
10	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-24-10	East	1530	+48	-4	97	60.5%	33%	13%	5%	2.1%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 38-25-10	East	1541	+20	+2	97	53.8%	19%	10%	4%	2.1%
12	Anaheim DucksANA 41-28-4	West	1501	+39	+15	97	99.9%	46%	21%	5%	1.5%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 41-24-8	East	1517	+55	+16	99	80.0%	22%	9%	3%	1.4%
14	New York IslandersNYI 42-27-5	East	1512	+38	+1	98	71.9%	33%	11%	3%	1.2%
15	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 32-26-16	West	1497	-66	-14	89	78.3%	31%	13%	3%	1.0%
16	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 36-21-16	East	1504	+50	-12	98	69.9%	29%	9%	3%	1.0%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-26-8	East	1504	+21	-2	96	34.4%	8%	4%	1%	0.5%
18	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 36-24-12	East	1495	+30	+18	94	22.9%	9%	3%	<1%	0.3%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 37-28-9	East	1517	-11	+5	92	8.6%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
20	Nashville PredatorsNSH 34-30-9	West	1477	-0	+2	86	34.6%	7%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 28-26-18	West	1467	-71	-11	86	24.3%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	St. Louis BluesSTL 31-30-11	West	1488	-31	+16	84	11.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 31-30-12	West	1490	-53	+13	84	10.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-29-11	West	1461	+2	-7	85	26.0%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 33-31-7	West	1441	+40	-14	85	20.9%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 37-33-2	East	1501	-26	+13	87	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 31-34-8	West	1455	-25	+16	78	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
28	Florida PanthersFLA 35-34-3	East	1501	-75	-5	84	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 31-30-13	East	1475	-68	-4	83	—	—	—	—	—
30	New York RangersNYR 29-35-9	East	1465	-55	-8	76	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-33-13	West	1404	-2	-12	75	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-43-8	West	1380	-121	-23	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: