2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Apr 24, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 1 Series Win Probabilities

99%

COL leads 3-0

26%

74%

DAL leads 2-1

52%

48%

Series tied 1-1

38%

62%

Series tied 1-1

20%

80%

BUF leads 2-1

46%

54%

Series tied 1-1

97%

CAR leads 3-0

96%

PHI leads 3-0

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 58-16-11	West	1609	+47	+13	121	✓	99%	65%	51%	30.2%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 56-22-7	East	1603	+41	+8	113	✓	97%	73%	44%	24.8%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 52-24-9	East	1573	+99	+1	109	✓	80%	41%	19%	9.2%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 52-21-12	West	1573	+16	+4	112	✓	74%	27%	19%	9.0%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 51-26-7	East	1576	+29	-4	106	✓	54%	30%	15%	7.5%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 49-24-11	East	1554	+58	-6	106	✓	46%	22%	9%	4.3%
7	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 46-27-12	East	1535	+70	+24	98	✓	96%	24%	9%	3.1%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 42-31-11	West	1525	-40	-7	93	✓	62%	30%	8%	2.6%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 40-27-17	West	1526	-37	+14	95	✓	48%	29%	8%	2.6%
10	Utah MammothUTA 44-34-6	West	1524	+14	-10	92	✓	52%	29%	8%	2.4%
11	Minnesota WildMIN 47-25-13	West	1546	+29	-3	104	✓	26%	8%	5%	2.1%
12	Boston BruinsBOS 46-29-10	East	1521	+60	+9	100	✓	20%	7%	2%	0.9%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 44-34-6	West	1478	+16	+2	92	✓	38%	12%	2%	0.5%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-29-12	East	1548	+27	-10	99	✓	3%	2%	1%	0.5%
15	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-28-16	East	1499	+45	-25	98	✓	4%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-29-21	West	1472	-67	-16	90	✓	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: