2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Oct 4, 2026, 2:06 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 2-0-0	West	1587	+9	+9	111	92.7%	62%	39%	25%	14.3%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 1-1-1	East	1577	-9	-9	107	82.4%	55%	35%	21%	11.6%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 1-1-0	West	1554	-1	-1	103	80.6%	50%	29%	14%	6.9%
4	Minnesota WildMIN 2-0-0	West	1553	+9	+9	105	83.1%	46%	23%	13%	6.6%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 2-0-1	West	1549	+2	+2	103	81.7%	47%	26%	12%	6.3%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 1-0-1	East	1554	+1	+1	103	73.7%	41%	23%	12%	6.1%
7	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 1-1-0	East	1552	-3	-3	101	68.8%	38%	21%	11%	5.9%
8	Washington CapitalsWSH 1-1-0	East	1546	+3	+3	101	69.0%	38%	19%	10%	5.1%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 1-0-1	East	1541	+0	+0	100	66.1%	34%	17%	8%	4.4%
10	Utah MammothUTA 2-0-0	West	1534	+12	+12	100	73.5%	36%	16%	8%	3.9%
11	Dallas StarsDAL 0-2-0	West	1533	-13	-13	96	60.9%	29%	14%	7%	3.4%
12	Buffalo SabresBUF 1-1-0	East	1533	-4	-4	97	56.1%	27%	14%	7%	3.3%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 1-0-0	West	1515	+4	+4	96	62.6%	30%	14%	6%	2.8%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 1-0-0	East	1526	+3	+3	97	56.0%	27%	13%	6%	2.5%
15	San Jose SharksSJS 2-0-0	West	1505	+6	+6	95	58.4%	26%	11%	4%	1.9%
16	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2-0-0	East	1513	+13	+13	95	51.6%	23%	9%	4%	1.8%
17	New Jersey DevilsNJD 1-1-0	East	1511	-5	-5	93	44.2%	20%	9%	4%	1.8%
18	Boston BruinsBOS 2-1-0	East	1502	+4	+4	92	40.0%	17%	7%	3%	1.5%
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1-1-0	East	1505	-1	-1	92	40.2%	18%	7%	3%	1.4%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-1-1	West	1500	-7	-7	91	47.1%	21%	9%	3%	1.4%
21	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 1-2-0	East	1499	-4	-4	89	31.9%	13%	6%	2%	1.1%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-1-2	East	1498	-16	-16	89	32.1%	14%	6%	3%	1.1%
23	New York IslandersNYI 1-1-0	East	1496	+5	+5	90	32.9%	14%	6%	3%	1.0%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 1-1-0	West	1490	+5	+5	90	41.5%	15%	6%	3%	0.9%
25	New York RangersNYR 2-1-0	East	1494	+8	+8	90	34.8%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 1-1-0	West	1481	-1	-1	87	33.3%	11%	4%	2%	0.7%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 0-0-1	West	1473	-3	-3	85	27.2%	9%	3%	1%	0.6%
28	Detroit Red WingsDET 0-1-0	East	1479	-6	-6	85	20.3%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 1-1-0	West	1463	+5	+5	84	25.7%	9%	3%	1%	0.3%
30	Vancouver CanucksVAN 2-1-0	West	1432	+7	+7	78	12.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 0-3-0	West	1432	-10	-10	75	8.6%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Calgary FlamesCGY 0-2-0	West	1437	-14	-14	76	10.2%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: