2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Mar 23, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 46-13-10	West	1597	+35	-15	120	>99.9%	83%	51%	38%	21.8%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 43-21-5	East	1592	+44	+5	108	>99.9%	71%	42%	26%	15.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 45-19-6	East	1585	+23	+10	111	>99.9%	73%	51%	27%	15.0%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 44-20-7	East	1579	+106	+14	109	>99.9%	69%	35%	21%	11.3%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 43-16-11	West	1577	+20	-10	112	>99.9%	63%	30%	22%	11.2%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 40-19-12	West	1546	+29	-14	105	>99.9%	38%	15%	10%	4.2%
7	Utah MammothUTA 37-28-6	West	1531	+21	+6	94	97.4%	52%	30%	10%	3.6%
8	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 37-22-10	East	1535	+52	+16	99	76.5%	42%	17%	6%	2.8%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 34-28-9	West	1517	-48	-11	90	83.3%	44%	22%	6%	2.2%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 36-24-9	East	1543	+22	+8	96	47.0%	18%	9%	4%	2.0%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 38-21-10	East	1528	+32	-8	100	83.9%	27%	11%	5%	2.0%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 32-25-14	West	1510	-53	-10	91	88.5%	44%	21%	6%	1.9%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 39-27-4	West	1498	+36	+8	96	99.3%	42%	19%	5%	1.3%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 35-19-16	East	1511	+57	+9	99	79.1%	33%	11%	3%	1.3%
15	New York IslandersNYI 40-26-5	East	1508	+34	+2	98	63.3%	26%	9%	3%	1.0%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 39-23-8	East	1513	+51	+10	98	70.2%	19%	7%	3%	1.0%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 38-24-8	East	1505	+22	-3	97	52.5%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
18	Nashville PredatorsNSH 33-28-9	West	1484	+7	+14	88	57.5%	12%	4%	1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-25-17	West	1471	-67	-8	86	30.4%	10%	3%	<1%	0.2%
20	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 34-23-12	East	1487	+22	+15	94	20.6%	7%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	Washington CapitalsWSH 35-27-9	East	1512	-16	+6	91	6.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
22	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-29-9	West	1460	+1	-1	83	14.5%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 32-30-6	West	1443	+42	-12	85	21.0%	5%	1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 29-29-12	West	1478	-65	-6	82	5.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 28-30-11	West	1474	-46	+10	81	2.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	Florida PanthersFLA 34-32-3	East	1507	-69	-10	85	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 35-32-2	East	1492	-35	+7	86	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 29-34-7	West	1450	-29	+8	76	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 26-31-13	West	1410	+3	-8	76	0.0%	—	—	—	—
30	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 29-29-13	East	1472	-72	-7	82	—	—	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-33-9	East	1465	-55	-15	77	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-40-8	West	1395	-106	-3	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: