2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Apr 3, 2026, 2:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 49-15-10	West	1592	+29	-5	119	✓	85%	53%	38%	21.5%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 48-21-6	East	1587	+25	+2	111	>99.9%	72%	54%	29%	16.6%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 47-22-6	East	1592	+45	-4	109	>99.9%	69%	43%	26%	15.9%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 45-19-12	West	1566	+9	-3	110	✓	61%	28%	19%	9.3%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 46-22-8	East	1564	+91	-15	108	>99.9%	54%	25%	13%	7.2%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 44-21-10	East	1561	+65	+26	107	>99.9%	49%	22%	12%	6.2%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 39-28-9	West	1538	-27	+21	94	99.7%	61%	36%	13%	4.9%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 42-21-12	West	1542	+25	-1	104	>99.9%	39%	15%	9%	4.0%
9	Utah MammothUTA 39-30-6	West	1529	+19	+1	93	97.9%	50%	28%	10%	3.4%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 39-26-10	East	1541	+20	-5	96	56.7%	19%	10%	4%	2.1%
11	Boston BruinsBOS 43-25-8	East	1524	+62	+18	100	94.0%	26%	12%	4%	1.8%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 38-22-16	East	1514	+60	+9	99	94.5%	49%	14%	4%	1.7%
13	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 34-26-16	West	1504	-58	-6	91	90.0%	38%	16%	5%	1.4%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 41-29-5	West	1494	+32	-4	96	99.6%	44%	17%	4%	1.1%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-26-11	East	1516	+33	-22	95	38.4%	19%	6%	2%	0.9%
16	New York IslandersNYI 42-29-5	East	1501	+27	-7	96	56.8%	25%	7%	2%	0.7%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-27-8	East	1504	+21	-1	96	36.2%	8%	4%	1%	0.5%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 38-29-9	East	1514	-14	+2	92	8.6%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
19	Nashville PredatorsNSH 35-31-9	West	1479	+2	-5	87	30.9%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
20	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 37-26-12	East	1489	+24	+4	93	14.8%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	San Jose SharksSJS 36-31-7	West	1453	+53	+15	88	49.5%	10%	3%	<1%	0.1%
22	Los Angeles KingsLAK 29-26-19	West	1466	-72	-4	86	19.7%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 32-31-12	West	1489	-55	+10	84	5.6%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 31-31-12	West	1482	-37	+8	82	2.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-31-11	West	1451	-8	-9	83	5.0%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 39-34-2	East	1504	-23	+5	88	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-35-3	East	1505	-71	-4	84	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-31-13	East	1473	-70	+1	83	—	—	—	—	—
29	New York RangersNYR 31-36-9	East	1473	-46	+11	77	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 31-36-8	West	1446	-33	-4	76	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-35-14	West	1396	-10	-18	73	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-45-8	West	1384	-117	-7	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: