2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Apr 7, 2026, 2:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 50-16-10	West	1592	+30	-13	118	✓	84%	52%	38%	22.2%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 48-23-6	East	1591	+43	-4	108	✓	70%	44%	27%	16.3%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 49-22-6	East	1582	+20	-0	110	✓	71%	51%	27%	15.6%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 45-20-12	West	1561	+4	-5	108	✓	55%	24%	16%	7.8%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 47-23-8	East	1562	+89	-4	107	✓	56%	25%	14%	7.2%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 44-21-12	West	1552	+35	+10	106	✓	45%	19%	12%	5.4%
7	Montreal CanadiensMTL 45-22-10	East	1555	+59	+12	106	>99.9%	47%	21%	11%	5.3%
8	Utah MammothUTA 40-30-6	West	1533	+23	+3	94	98.5%	52%	31%	11%	4.1%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 39-29-9	West	1529	-35	+5	93	98.3%	55%	31%	11%	3.8%
10	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 40-22-16	East	1525	+71	+22	100	>99.9%	57%	20%	7%	2.7%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 40-27-10	East	1540	+19	-4	96	74.8%	25%	13%	6%	2.6%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 35-26-16	West	1513	-50	+9	92	95.6%	50%	23%	7%	2.2%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 43-26-9	East	1518	+56	+1	99	97.9%	27%	11%	4%	1.6%
14	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 39-26-12	East	1499	+34	+4	95	53.1%	21%	6%	2%	0.7%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 41-31-5	West	1479	+17	-26	93	96.2%	35%	12%	2%	0.6%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-27-11	East	1512	+29	-23	93	28.7%	13%	4%	1%	0.6%
17	New York IslandersNYI 42-31-5	East	1492	+18	-15	93	26.4%	10%	3%	<1%	0.3%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 31-26-19	West	1472	-66	-2	88	33.6%	8%	3%	<1%	0.2%
19	Nashville PredatorsNSH 36-31-10	West	1482	+5	-0	87	31.7%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
20	Washington CapitalsWSH 39-30-9	East	1513	-15	-0	91	6.4%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
21	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-29-8	East	1495	+12	-15	93	12.5%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 34-31-12	West	1497	-46	+16	85	9.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 37-32-7	West	1449	+49	+8	87	30.7%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 33-31-12	West	1495	-24	+13	85	5.9%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	New Jersey DevilsNJD 40-34-3	East	1510	-17	+9	89	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-33-11	West	1439	-20	-24	81	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-37-3	East	1494	-82	-7	82	—	—	—	—	—
28	New York RangersNYR 33-36-9	East	1487	-32	+23	79	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-31-14	East	1471	-73	-8	83	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 32-36-8	West	1453	-27	-0	78	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-36-14	West	1401	-5	-4	74	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-46-8	West	1380	-121	-5	57	—	—	—	—	—

As of: