2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Mar 3, 2026, 2:07 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 40-10-9	West	1601	+38	+5	120	>99.9%	82%	51%	38%	22.4%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-16-4	East	1605	+58	-3	112	99.9%	77%	53%	36%	21.9%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 38-16-6	East	1576	+14	+10	110	99.8%	69%	47%	23%	12.2%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 37-14-9	West	1576	+20	+14	111	>99.9%	62%	29%	21%	11.0%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 35-19-6	East	1551	+78	+6	103	95.4%	50%	21%	11%	5.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 35-16-10	West	1549	+32	-0	105	>99.9%	41%	16%	10%	4.4%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-18-14	West	1527	-36	+3	96	93.3%	51%	29%	9%	3.2%
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-17-9	East	1534	+38	+13	102	89.8%	37%	14%	7%	2.9%
9	Utah MammothUTA 31-25-4	West	1526	+16	-1	92	82.3%	37%	21%	7%	2.6%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 29-24-8	West	1525	-39	-10	90	69.9%	37%	20%	7%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-15-13	East	1522	+68	+13	100	85.8%	43%	17%	6%	2.3%
12	New York IslandersNYI 35-21-5	East	1515	+41	+19	99	81.9%	37%	14%	5%	1.7%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-20-6	East	1513	+30	+7	99	79.0%	25%	9%	3%	1.3%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 33-21-5	East	1509	+47	-1	96	54.4%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 33-23-3	West	1491	+29	+16	95	89.6%	38%	15%	4%	1.0%
16	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 29-22-8	East	1526	+5	+7	93	27.9%	10%	5%	2%	1.0%
17	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 30-21-8	East	1510	+27	+6	94	36.8%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-24-7	East	1515	-13	-1	92	25.1%	11%	5%	2%	0.7%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-22-9	West	1482	+23	+4	90	64.5%	24%	9%	2%	0.6%
20	Florida PanthersFLA 30-27-3	East	1520	-56	-3	88	7.5%	3%	1%	<1%	0.3%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 24-22-14	West	1475	-63	-18	86	31.2%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-25-8	West	1466	-11	-10	85	23.3%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-21-11	East	1476	+10	+6	90	13.3%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 29-25-4	West	1453	+52	-9	87	36.1%	10%	3%	<1%	0.1%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-10	West	1480	-63	-12	81	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-24-10	East	1493	-51	-12	86	2.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 29-29-2	East	1477	-50	-15	84	1.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-28-7	West	1455	-25	-1	77	1.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 22-29-9	West	1451	-69	+5	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-28-9	West	1419	+13	+8	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 23-29-8	East	1457	-63	-10	76	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-35-7	West	1399	-102	-19	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: