2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Oct 9, 2026, 1:07 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 3-1-0	West	1587	+10	+10	111	92.3%	64%	40%	25%	14.9%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 3-1-1	East	1585	-0	-0	109	88.9%	60%	37%	22%	12.6%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 4-1-0	West	1564	+10	+10	107	87.5%	56%	32%	16%	8.5%
4	Edmonton OilersEDM 3-0-1	West	1555	+8	+8	106	85.8%	54%	30%	14%	6.9%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 3-1-0	East	1559	+4	+4	104	77.0%	44%	24%	13%	6.3%
6	Washington CapitalsWSH 2-1-0	East	1550	+7	+7	103	74.2%	42%	22%	12%	6.2%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 2-1-1	West	1548	+4	+4	103	78.8%	42%	21%	11%	5.8%
8	Florida PanthersFLA 2-0-2	East	1554	+1	+1	104	75.8%	43%	23%	11%	5.5%
9	Dallas StarsDAL 2-2-0	West	1546	+1	+1	101	73.7%	37%	18%	9%	4.8%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 3-1-0	East	1530	+7	+7	99	62.6%	30%	14%	7%	3.2%
11	Utah MammothUTA 3-2-0	West	1527	+5	+5	98	65.5%	30%	12%	6%	2.8%
12	Montreal CanadiensMTL 1-2-1	East	1528	-13	-13	95	51.2%	24%	12%	6%	2.7%
13	Buffalo SabresBUF 2-2-0	East	1528	-9	-9	96	53.4%	25%	12%	6%	2.6%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 2-1-0	West	1512	+1	+1	96	60.8%	27%	12%	5%	1.9%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1-1-0	East	1505	-1	-1	92	41.0%	18%	8%	4%	1.8%
16	New York RangersNYR 4-1-0	East	1504	+19	+19	94	47.9%	19%	7%	3%	1.5%
17	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2-2-0	East	1505	+5	+5	91	40.8%	17%	7%	3%	1.4%
18	San Jose SharksSJS 3-1-0	West	1503	+4	+4	94	56.1%	23%	9%	4%	1.4%
19	New Jersey DevilsNJD 1-2-0	East	1505	-11	-11	90	36.6%	16%	7%	3%	1.4%
20	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 2-2-1	East	1500	-4	-4	90	33.1%	14%	6%	3%	1.2%
21	Boston BruinsBOS 3-2-0	East	1503	+5	+5	92	40.1%	16%	7%	3%	1.1%
22	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-2-1	West	1497	-10	-10	90	41.1%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
23	New York IslandersNYI 2-2-0	East	1495	+4	+4	89	32.4%	13%	5%	2%	0.9%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 3-0-1	West	1485	+8	+8	91	44.1%	14%	5%	2%	0.8%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 2-1-1	West	1486	+4	+4	89	38.6%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-3-2	East	1492	-22	-22	86	24.3%	10%	4%	2%	0.6%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 1-2-1	West	1482	-4	-4	87	29.6%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
28	Detroit Red WingsDET 1-2-0	East	1481	-4	-4	85	20.7%	7%	3%	1%	0.5%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 2-2-0	West	1463	+5	+5	84	24.5%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 1-4-0	West	1433	-9	-9	75	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Vancouver CanucksVAN 2-3-0	West	1426	+1	+1	76	8.4%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Calgary FlamesCGY 0-4-0	West	1426	-24	-24	72	5.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%

As of: