2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Oct 16, 2026, 1:08 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Carolina HurricanesCAR 6-1-1	East	1598	+12	+21	114	95.4%	69%	47%	29%	17.0%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 4-2-1	West	1577	-0	-9	108	87.5%	55%	33%	19%	10.5%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 7-2-0	West	1571	+16	+9	109	91.8%	60%	34%	18%	9.3%
4	Edmonton OilersEDM 5-1-1	West	1559	+13	+14	107	88.0%	55%	30%	15%	7.5%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 5-2-0	East	1559	+4	+7	105	78.3%	45%	25%	13%	7.4%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 5-2-1	West	1555	+11	+4	105	83.4%	46%	23%	12%	6.2%
7	Florida PanthersFLA 4-2-2	East	1550	-3	-0	102	73.3%	40%	22%	11%	5.1%
8	Washington CapitalsWSH 4-3-0	East	1546	+3	-1	101	71.6%	40%	19%	9%	4.7%
9	Utah MammothUTA 6-2-0	West	1543	+21	+14	104	80.3%	38%	18%	9%	4.6%
10	Dallas StarsDAL 3-3-1	West	1544	-1	+11	100	70.3%	36%	18%	9%	4.5%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 6-2-0	East	1531	+8	+4	100	65.1%	31%	15%	7%	2.9%
12	Buffalo SabresBUF 4-3-1	East	1526	-10	-9	96	53.8%	24%	11%	5%	2.6%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 3-3-1	East	1530	-11	-11	96	53.2%	25%	12%	5%	2.5%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 4-2-0	West	1516	+5	+1	97	63.0%	29%	13%	5%	2.1%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 5-2-0	East	1516	+17	+9	96	54.3%	24%	11%	5%	2.1%
16	New Jersey DevilsNJD 4-3-0	East	1513	-3	+2	93	46.9%	21%	8%	4%	1.8%
17	New York RangersNYR 6-3-0	East	1504	+19	+5	94	49.3%	20%	7%	3%	1.2%
18	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 3-3-1	East	1500	+0	-13	90	36.6%	15%	6%	3%	1.1%
19	San Jose SharksSJS 4-3-0	West	1495	-4	-10	91	43.4%	16%	7%	2%	1.0%
20	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 3-3-2	East	1503	-1	+3	91	35.7%	13%	5%	2%	0.9%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-3-2	West	1489	-18	-18	87	31.8%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
22	New York IslandersNYI 3-3-1	East	1490	-1	-6	88	29.3%	12%	4%	2%	0.8%
23	St. Louis BluesSTL 3-3-1	West	1494	+8	+4	91	39.9%	14%	5%	2%	0.8%
24	Seattle KrakenSEA 5-2-1	West	1480	+22	+10	91	41.9%	14%	5%	2%	0.6%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 4-1-2	West	1481	+5	+4	90	38.0%	12%	4%	2%	0.6%
26	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2-3-0	East	1496	-10	-10	88	30.6%	13%	5%	2%	0.5%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 2-2-3	West	1475	-7	-6	86	25.7%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
28	Detroit Red WingsDET 2-3-2	East	1471	-14	-5	83	15.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.3%
29	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-6-3	East	1474	-40	-20	80	11.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.3%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 3-5-0	West	1438	-4	+6	77	7.7%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Calgary FlamesCGY 1-6-0	West	1426	-24	-10	72	3.8%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 2-6-1	West	1414	-11	-15	71	3.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—

As of: