2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Mar 9, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 43-10-9	West	1612	+50	+17	123	>99.9%	86%	55%	42%	26.8%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 39-19-4	East	1592	+45	-23	109	99.7%	72%	45%	29%	15.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 40-17-6	East	1581	+19	+5	110	>99.9%	71%	51%	27%	13.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 39-14-10	West	1580	+23	+10	112	>99.9%	59%	26%	18%	10.1%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 39-19-6	East	1566	+93	+24	107	99.6%	62%	29%	17%	7.9%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 37-16-11	West	1559	+42	-3	108	>99.9%	43%	16%	11%	5.0%
7	Utah MammothUTA 34-25-4	West	1539	+29	+8	96	95.9%	50%	31%	10%	4.3%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 31-25-8	West	1528	-36	+8	91	78.9%	43%	23%	7%	2.8%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 34-18-10	East	1529	+33	-4	101	88.4%	32%	13%	6%	2.3%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-21-14	West	1517	-46	-17	93	86.7%	43%	21%	6%	2.0%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 31-22-9	East	1535	+14	+12	95	45.4%	17%	9%	4%	1.7%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 32-17-14	East	1510	+57	-4	98	77.1%	36%	12%	4%	1.4%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 32-21-9	East	1513	+31	+3	95	52.3%	26%	9%	3%	1.2%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 36-21-7	East	1510	+27	-2	99	76.6%	22%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	New York IslandersNYI 36-23-5	East	1507	+32	-2	98	74.4%	34%	11%	4%	1.2%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 35-25-3	West	1487	+25	-2	94	89.9%	34%	13%	3%	0.9%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 35-22-6	East	1507	+46	-7	96	58.1%	16%	7%	2%	0.8%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-23-14	West	1477	-61	-7	86	30.3%	11%	4%	<1%	0.3%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-26-7	East	1507	-21	-7	89	10.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.3%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-24-9	West	1472	+13	-8	87	40.8%	13%	5%	<1%	0.2%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 26-26-10	West	1492	-51	+6	84	16.0%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
22	Florida PanthersFLA 31-29-3	East	1515	-61	-12	87	3.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 29-22-11	East	1474	+9	+11	90	12.8%	5%	1%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-6	West	1452	+51	+6	87	40.5%	11%	3%	<1%	0.1%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 28-27-8	West	1468	-9	-5	84	18.5%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 32-30-2	East	1484	-42	+13	85	1.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 25-29-9	West	1467	-52	+19	78	2.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 25-30-7	West	1448	-31	-13	76	0.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-26-11	East	1478	-66	-25	83	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-29-11	West	1408	+2	-2	73	0.1%	<1%	<1%	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 24-30-8	East	1459	-61	-2	76	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 19-36-8	West	1401	-99	-7	63	—	—	—	—	—

As of: