2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Feb 5, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 36-14-4	East	1611	+63	+3	114	>99.9%	79%	57%	40%	25.1%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 37-9-9	West	1598	+36	-14	120	>99.9%	81%	51%	37%	21.5%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 35-15-6	East	1568	+7	+9	109	99.5%	67%	45%	20%	10.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 34-14-9	West	1566	+9	+13	109	>99.9%	56%	25%	16%	8.1%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 34-14-10	West	1554	+37	+19	107	>99.9%	47%	20%	12%	5.6%
6	Buffalo SabresBUF 32-18-6	East	1543	+70	+8	101	88.9%	43%	17%	9%	4.1%
7	Utah MammothUTA 30-23-4	West	1536	+26	+7	95	86.7%	40%	24%	9%	3.8%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 26-16-14	West	1527	-36	-11	97	90.4%	48%	26%	9%	3.3%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 32-17-8	East	1533	+37	+22	102	87.5%	38%	14%	7%	3.0%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 28-22-8	West	1524	-41	-13	92	70.5%	38%	20%	7%	2.6%
11	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-20-7	East	1515	+32	+24	94	54.0%	27%	11%	4%	1.6%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 28-15-12	East	1506	+52	+3	97	72.3%	33%	12%	4%	1.4%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET 33-19-6	East	1508	+25	-14	98	71.2%	23%	8%	3%	1.2%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 32-20-5	East	1510	+48	-1	96	60.4%	19%	7%	3%	1.2%
15	Florida PanthersFLA 29-24-3	East	1526	-50	-15	91	23.2%	9%	5%	2%	1.0%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-18-14	West	1493	-45	-3	91	58.6%	25%	10%	3%	0.9%
17	New York IslandersNYI 31-21-5	East	1499	+25	+2	95	55.9%	25%	9%	3%	0.9%
18	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 27-22-7	East	1520	-1	+22	91	22.0%	8%	4%	2%	0.9%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 28-23-7	East	1510	-18	+0	90	25.9%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
20	Anaheim DucksANA 30-23-3	West	1483	+21	+1	92	69.0%	26%	10%	2%	0.7%
21	Seattle KrakenSEA 27-20-9	West	1484	+25	+19	90	59.0%	23%	9%	2%	0.7%
22	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-21-9	East	1512	-32	+3	90	17.0%	6%	3%	1%	0.6%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 26-23-7	West	1473	-4	-1	86	28.7%	6%	3%	<1%	0.2%
24	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-26-2	East	1484	-43	-18	86	9.0%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 25-20-10	East	1470	+4	-15	88	13.3%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	San Jose SharksSJS 27-24-4	West	1453	+52	-7	86	29.1%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 22-26-8	West	1483	-60	-5	80	5.6%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 23-27-6	West	1455	-25	-6	77	1.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-26-9	West	1413	+7	-8	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 20-28-9	West	1441	-78	-8	73	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 22-28-6	East	1464	-55	-12	77	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-33-6	West	1411	-90	-11	64	—	—	—	—	—

As of: