2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Mar 6, 2026, 1:05 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 41-10-9	West	1606	+44	+8	121	>99.9%	83%	51%	39%	24.1%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-18-4	East	1590	+43	-25	109	99.7%	72%	46%	29%	15.7%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 39-16-6	East	1579	+17	+11	111	>99.9%	72%	50%	27%	13.8%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 38-14-9	West	1582	+25	+18	112	>99.9%	61%	29%	21%	11.6%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 37-19-6	East	1561	+88	+26	106	98.9%	59%	28%	15%	7.0%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 36-16-10	West	1556	+39	+4	107	>99.9%	41%	17%	10%	5.0%
7	Utah MammothUTA 33-25-4	West	1536	+26	-0	95	90.8%	43%	26%	9%	3.6%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-19-14	West	1528	-35	-4	96	92.8%	50%	27%	8%	3.3%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 30-24-8	West	1528	-36	+1	91	72.0%	38%	20%	6%	2.6%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-18-9	East	1529	+33	+1	101	86.0%	33%	14%	6%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-17-13	East	1512	+58	-2	97	76.0%	36%	13%	4%	1.7%
12	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 32-21-8	East	1517	+34	+2	96	59.0%	29%	11%	4%	1.5%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 30-22-9	East	1529	+8	+9	94	39.8%	15%	8%	3%	1.5%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-20-7	East	1509	+26	-4	99	80.3%	24%	9%	4%	1.2%
15	New York IslandersNYI 35-23-5	East	1503	+29	-1	97	68.7%	30%	10%	3%	1.1%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 34-24-3	West	1493	+30	+10	95	88.7%	36%	14%	3%	0.9%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 34-22-5	East	1506	+44	-7	95	54.9%	16%	6%	2%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-25-7	East	1511	-17	+1	90	19.8%	9%	4%	1%	0.6%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-23-9	West	1478	+19	-6	88	47.1%	16%	6%	1%	0.4%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-22-14	West	1480	-58	-8	88	35.6%	12%	5%	1%	0.4%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 25-26-10	West	1490	-53	+7	83	10.8%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
22	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-4	West	1458	+58	+3	88	41.6%	12%	4%	<1%	0.2%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 28-26-8	West	1470	-7	+0	85	19.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-22-11	East	1470	+5	+3	88	10.0%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Florida PanthersFLA 30-29-3	East	1509	-67	-12	86	2.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 31-29-2	East	1486	-40	+8	86	3.6%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-25-11	East	1483	-61	-26	84	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-30-7	West	1444	-36	-11	74	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 23-29-9	West	1455	-65	+12	76	0.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-28-10	West	1417	+11	-1	75	0.2%	<1%	<1%	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 24-29-8	East	1463	-56	-1	78	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-36-7	West	1396	-105	-19	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: