2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Oct 1, 2026, 1:10 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 1-0-0	West	1582	+5	+5	110	90.9%	61%	38%	24%	13.6%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 0-0-1	East	1582	-4	-4	108	84.9%	58%	36%	21%	12.4%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 1-0-0	West	1558	+3	+3	105	84.8%	54%	32%	16%	8.1%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 0-0-0	East	1555	—	—	102	70.4%	39%	21%	11%	6.1%
5	Florida PanthersFLA 1-0-0	East	1557	+4	+4	104	74.3%	42%	23%	12%	5.9%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 0-0-0	West	1545	—	—	101	75.0%	41%	20%	11%	5.6%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 0-0-1	West	1542	-5	-5	101	76.1%	45%	24%	11%	5.4%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 0-0-0	West	1544	—	—	101	75.5%	40%	20%	10%	5.0%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 1-0-0	East	1544	+3	+3	101	66.3%	35%	18%	9%	5.0%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 0-0-0	East	1543	—	—	100	66.8%	36%	18%	9%	4.2%
11	Buffalo SabresBUF 0-0-0	East	1537	—	—	99	59.5%	30%	15%	8%	3.7%
12	Utah MammothUTA 0-0-0	West	1523	—	—	97	62.3%	27%	13%	7%	3.1%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 0-0-0	East	1523	—	—	95	50.1%	23%	11%	5%	2.6%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 0-0-0	East	1516	—	—	94	48.1%	22%	10%	5%	2.2%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 0-0-0	West	1511	—	—	95	58.7%	27%	12%	5%	2.1%
16	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 1-0-0	East	1510	+10	+10	94	47.9%	21%	9%	4%	1.8%
17	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 0-0-0	East	1506	—	—	92	41.5%	18%	7%	3%	1.6%
18	San Jose SharksSJS 0-0-0	West	1499	—	—	92	49.3%	22%	9%	4%	1.6%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-1-0	West	1503	-5	-5	92	49.7%	22%	10%	4%	1.5%
20	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-1-0	East	1504	-10	-10	90	36.1%	16%	7%	3%	1.2%
21	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 1-1-0	East	1503	-1	-1	91	35.9%	14%	6%	3%	1.1%
22	Boston BruinsBOS 1-0-0	East	1503	+5	+5	92	38.8%	15%	7%	3%	1.1%
23	New York IslandersNYI 0-1-0	East	1488	-3	-3	87	28.9%	12%	5%	2%	1.0%
24	Detroit Red WingsDET 0-0-0	East	1485	—	—	87	26.2%	9%	4%	2%	0.7%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 0-0-0	West	1486	—	—	89	37.9%	14%	6%	2%	0.7%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 0-0-0	West	1482	—	—	88	36.6%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
27	New York RangersNYR 0-1-0	East	1481	-5	-5	86	24.1%	9%	4%	1%	0.6%
28	Winnipeg JetsWPG 0-0-0	West	1477	—	—	87	32.4%	11%	4%	2%	0.5%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 0-0-0	West	1458	—	—	83	23.7%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 0-0-0	West	1451	—	—	81	20.2%	7%	2%	<1%	0.3%
31	Vancouver CanucksVAN 1-0-0	West	1430	+5	+5	78	14.2%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 0-1-0	West	1439	-3	-3	78	12.6%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%

As of: