2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Mar 5, 2026, 1:05 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 41-10-9	West	1606	+44	+8	121	>99.9%	83%	51%	39%	24.1%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-17-4	East	1598	+50	-13	111	99.9%	75%	51%	33%	18.8%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 39-16-6	East	1579	+17	+11	111	>99.9%	72%	50%	25%	13.0%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 38-14-9	West	1582	+25	+18	112	>99.9%	61%	29%	21%	11.6%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 36-19-6	East	1554	+81	+11	104	97.5%	54%	23%	12%	5.5%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 36-16-10	West	1556	+39	+4	107	>99.9%	41%	16%	11%	5.1%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-19-14	West	1528	-35	-4	96	94.0%	51%	28%	8%	3.2%
8	Utah MammothUTA 32-25-4	West	1530	+20	-1	94	87.5%	40%	23%	7%	3.0%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 30-24-8	West	1528	-36	+1	91	75.0%	41%	22%	7%	2.8%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-18-9	East	1529	+33	+1	101	85.0%	32%	13%	6%	2.3%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-16-13	East	1519	+65	+13	99	82.0%	41%	15%	5%	2.0%
12	New York IslandersNYI 35-22-5	East	1508	+34	+10	98	75.6%	33%	11%	4%	1.3%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 34-21-5	East	1512	+50	-2	97	65.0%	21%	8%	3%	1.2%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-20-7	East	1509	+26	-4	99	78.6%	24%	9%	3%	1.2%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 31-21-8	East	1512	+30	+1	94	46.3%	21%	8%	3%	1.0%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 34-24-3	West	1493	+30	+10	95	90.3%	37%	15%	3%	1.0%
17	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 29-22-9	East	1523	+2	+1	93	28.3%	10%	5%	2%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-25-7	East	1511	-17	+1	90	17.6%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-23-9	West	1478	+19	-6	88	51.4%	17%	6%	1%	0.4%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 24-22-14	West	1475	-63	-18	86	30.8%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
21	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-21-11	East	1476	+10	+6	90	14.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
22	Florida PanthersFLA 30-28-3	East	1513	-63	-12	87	4.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-4	West	1458	+58	+3	88	45.2%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 24-26-10	West	1483	-61	-8	81	7.9%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-26-8	West	1464	-13	-10	84	16.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 31-29-2	East	1486	-40	+8	86	3.3%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-24-11	East	1490	-54	-22	86	1.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-29-7	West	1449	-30	-2	76	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 23-29-9	West	1455	-65	+12	76	0.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	New York RangersNYR 23-29-8	East	1457	-63	-10	76	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-28-10	West	1417	+11	-1	75	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-36-7	West	1396	-105	-19	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: