2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Apr 15, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 54-16-11	West	1600	+38	+8	121	✓	88%	56%	42%	24.7%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 53-22-7	East	1593	+31	+11	113	✓	66%	50%	29%	17.0%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 50-25-6	East	1585	+38	-10	107	✓	64%	36%	20%	11.3%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 50-23-8	East	1576	+103	+12	109	✓	71%	37%	20%	10.6%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 49-20-12	West	1571	+14	+5	111	✓	62%	27%	19%	9.4%
6	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 43-27-11	East	1555	+33	+21	98	✓	34%	23%	10%	4.7%
7	Montreal CanadiensMTL 48-24-10	East	1553	+57	-2	106	✓	36%	18%	8%	4.0%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 46-24-12	West	1545	+28	-7	104	✓	38%	14%	9%	3.8%
9	Utah MammothUTA 43-32-6	West	1531	+21	-2	93	✓	50%	30%	9%	3.4%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 40-30-11	West	1526	-39	-12	93	✓	64%	31%	9%	3.1%
11	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 38-26-17	West	1522	-41	+17	94	✓	53%	29%	8%	2.8%
12	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 43-27-12	East	1519	+54	+20	98	✓	49%	14%	4%	1.7%
13	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-25-16	East	1515	+61	-6	98	✓	51%	13%	4%	1.6%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 45-27-10	East	1522	+60	+1	100	✓	29%	9%	4%	1.4%
15	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-26-20	West	1484	-55	+11	91	✓	22%	7%	2%	0.5%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 42-33-6	West	1469	+7	-16	91	✓	24%	7%	1%	0.2%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
19	St. Louis BluesSTL 36-33-12	West	1503	-17	+8	85	—	—	—	—	—
20	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
21	Florida PanthersFLA 39-38-4	East	1497	-79	-2	83	—	—	—	—	—
22	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-30-10	East	1489	+6	-9	93	—	—	—	—	—
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-33-10	West	1486	+9	+0	87	—	—	—	—	—
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-34-12	West	1483	-60	-10	83	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	New York RangersNYR 33-39-9	East	1477	-42	+4	76	—	—	—	—	—
27	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-35-14	East	1450	-94	-23	79	—	—	—	—	—
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 33-39-9	West	1447	-33	-6	76	—	—	—	—	—
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-35-11	West	1440	-19	-4	80	—	—	—	—	—
30	San Jose SharksSJS 38-34-8	West	1438	+37	-9	86	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-39-14	West	1388	-18	-8	71	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-48-8	West	1387	-114	+7	59	—	—	—	—	—

As of: