2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Apr 19, 2026, 1:06 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 1 Series Win Probabilities

12%

88%

Series tied 0-0

61%

39%

MIN leads 1-0

48%

52%

Series tied 0-0

28%

72%

Series tied 0-0

30%

70%

Series tied 0-0

39%

61%

Series tied 0-0

23%

77%

CAR leads 1-0

68%

32%

PHI leads 1-0

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 55-16-11	West	1602	+40	+6	121	✓	88%	58%	44%	26.0%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 54-22-7	East	1597	+35	+13	113	✓	77%	59%	36%	20.7%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 50-26-6	East	1578	+30	-13	106	✓	61%	34%	18%	9.8%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 50-23-9	East	1572	+99	+15	109	✓	70%	37%	18%	9.6%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 47-24-12	West	1554	+37	-1	104	✓	61%	23%	14%	6.2%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 50-21-12	West	1565	+8	+3	112	✓	39%	16%	11%	5.5%
7	Montreal CanadiensMTL 48-24-10	East	1553	+57	-2	106	✓	39%	19%	9%	4.1%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 41-30-11	West	1529	-35	+0	93	✓	72%	35%	11%	3.8%
9	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-28-11	East	1554	+33	+6	99	✓	23%	15%	7%	3.3%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 39-26-17	West	1525	-37	+13	95	✓	52%	30%	9%	2.9%
11	Utah MammothUTA 43-33-6	West	1525	+15	-11	92	✓	48%	26%	8%	2.7%
12	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 44-27-12	East	1523	+58	+16	98	✓	68%	18%	6%	2.3%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 45-27-10	East	1522	+60	+1	100	✓	30%	10%	4%	1.5%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-26-16	East	1511	+57	-14	98	✓	32%	8%	2%	0.9%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 43-33-6	West	1473	+11	-6	92	✓	28%	9%	2%	0.4%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-27-20	West	1479	-60	+3	90	✓	12%	3%	1%	0.2%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: