2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 1:08 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Carolina HurricanesCAR 8-2-2	East	1596	+10	+2	113	95.0%	68%	45%	28%	17.0%
2	Edmonton OilersEDM 8-1-1	West	1573	+26	+13	111	94.7%	64%	38%	20%	11.0%
3	Colorado AvalancheCOL 5-4-1	West	1574	-4	-4	106	86.5%	54%	30%	18%	9.2%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 7-2-0	East	1570	+15	+11	108	85.0%	51%	30%	15%	8.5%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 8-4-0	West	1559	+4	-3	105	86.8%	54%	29%	15%	7.5%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 6-3-2	West	1550	+6	-9	104	82.8%	44%	22%	12%	6.0%
7	Dallas StarsDAL 6-3-1	West	1554	+9	+11	104	82.1%	44%	23%	12%	5.7%
8	Florida PanthersFLA 5-4-2	East	1541	-12	-0	99	62.6%	31%	16%	8%	4.0%
9	Washington CapitalsWSH 5-4-0	East	1541	-2	-13	99	65.7%	36%	16%	8%	3.6%
10	Boston BruinsBOS 8-2-1	East	1531	+33	+22	102	71.0%	33%	16%	7%	3.4%
11	Utah MammothUTA 7-4-0	West	1533	+10	-2	100	73.3%	33%	15%	7%	3.4%
12	Montreal CanadiensMTL 4-3-2	East	1528	-12	+1	96	53.0%	25%	12%	5%	2.6%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 7-4-0	East	1524	+1	-15	97	56.5%	25%	12%	5%	2.2%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 6-4-0	East	1518	+2	+15	95	50.0%	23%	10%	4%	2.0%
15	Buffalo SabresBUF 4-4-2	East	1517	-20	-4	93	41.6%	18%	8%	4%	1.9%
16	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 6-4-2	East	1510	+7	+4	93	42.1%	17%	8%	3%	1.4%
17	San Jose SharksSJS 6-4-1	West	1500	+1	+9	94	53.8%	23%	9%	3%	1.3%
18	New York RangersNYR 7-4-1	East	1504	+19	-1	94	47.8%	20%	8%	3%	1.3%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 2-4-2	West	1495	-12	-2	89	36.7%	14%	6%	3%	1.1%
20	St. Louis BluesSTL 5-4-1	West	1499	+13	+12	92	46.0%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 4-6-1	East	1497	-3	-9	88	26.9%	12%	5%	2%	1.0%
22	New York IslandersNYI 5-3-2	East	1496	+5	+6	91	38.2%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
23	Anaheim DucksANA 4-6-0	West	1497	-14	-27	89	37.5%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
24	Seattle KrakenSEA 7-3-1	West	1483	+25	+5	92	48.8%	17%	6%	2%	0.6%
25	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 3-5-0	East	1489	-17	-19	86	23.0%	9%	4%	1%	0.6%
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 4-3-3	West	1474	-2	-3	87	29.1%	9%	3%	1%	0.5%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 3-3-3	West	1475	-7	-11	86	26.6%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
28	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 3-6-3	East	1490	-24	+9	86	22.2%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
29	Detroit Red WingsDET 4-3-3	East	1477	-8	+6	85	19.5%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 3-6-0	West	1433	-10	-5	75	6.4%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Calgary FlamesCGY 3-6-0	West	1435	-16	+9	76	7.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 2-9-1	West	1402	-23	-15	67	1.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—

As of: