2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Mar 10, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 43-10-9	West	1612	+50	+17	123	>99.9%	85%	54%	42%	26.8%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 39-19-4	East	1592	+45	-23	109	99.6%	71%	45%	28%	15.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 40-17-6	East	1581	+19	+5	110	>99.9%	71%	51%	27%	13.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 39-14-10	West	1580	+23	+10	112	>99.9%	59%	26%	19%	10.2%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 39-19-6	East	1566	+93	+24	107	99.6%	62%	30%	17%	7.8%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 37-16-11	West	1559	+42	-3	108	>99.9%	43%	17%	11%	5.4%
7	Utah MammothUTA 34-25-5	West	1535	+25	-2	95	95.3%	49%	30%	9%	3.8%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 31-25-8	West	1528	-36	+8	91	78.3%	43%	23%	7%	2.7%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 34-18-10	East	1529	+33	-4	101	87.9%	32%	13%	6%	2.4%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-21-14	West	1517	-46	-17	93	86.6%	44%	22%	6%	2.1%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 32-22-9	East	1538	+17	+19	96	51.6%	20%	10%	5%	2.0%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 32-17-14	East	1510	+57	-4	98	76.7%	37%	12%	4%	1.3%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 32-21-9	East	1513	+31	+3	95	52.2%	25%	9%	3%	1.2%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 36-21-7	East	1510	+27	-2	99	75.9%	22%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	New York IslandersNYI 36-23-5	East	1507	+32	-2	98	74.4%	34%	11%	3%	1.1%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 35-22-6	East	1507	+46	-7	96	56.7%	16%	6%	2%	0.9%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 35-25-3	West	1487	+25	-2	94	90.1%	35%	13%	3%	0.7%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 32-26-7	East	1511	-16	-6	90	14.0%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-23-14	West	1477	-61	-7	86	31.2%	11%	4%	1%	0.3%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-24-9	West	1472	+13	-8	87	41.5%	14%	5%	1%	0.3%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 26-26-10	West	1492	-51	+6	84	16.2%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
22	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-6	West	1452	+51	+6	87	40.3%	11%	3%	<1%	0.1%
23	Florida PanthersFLA 31-29-3	East	1515	-61	-12	87	3.0%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 28-27-8	West	1468	-9	-5	84	18.3%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 29-23-11	East	1466	+0	-1	88	6.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 32-30-2	East	1484	-42	+13	85	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 25-29-9	West	1467	-52	+19	79	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 25-31-7	West	1443	-36	-14	75	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-26-11	East	1478	-66	-25	83	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 24-29-11	West	1412	+6	+4	75	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 25-30-8	East	1467	-52	+10	78	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 19-37-8	West	1398	-103	-6	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: