2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Mar 15, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 44-12-9	West	1605	+43	-1	121	>99.9%	83%	50%	39%	24.7%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 42-14-10	West	1589	+33	+7	115	>99.9%	66%	33%	25%	14.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 42-18-6	East	1581	+19	+2	110	>99.9%	72%	51%	28%	14.1%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 40-21-4	East	1581	+34	-9	106	99.3%	67%	40%	24%	12.3%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 41-20-6	East	1567	+94	+6	107	99.8%	63%	32%	18%	8.7%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 38-17-12	West	1553	+36	-3	106	>99.9%	37%	14%	9%	4.6%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 31-22-14	West	1524	-38	-4	94	92.7%	51%	28%	8%	3.0%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 32-26-9	West	1524	-41	-4	91	81.2%	44%	24%	7%	2.7%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 36-19-10	East	1529	+33	+0	102	90.9%	34%	14%	6%	2.5%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 33-23-9	East	1538	+17	+15	95	47.3%	19%	10%	5%	2.3%
11	Utah MammothUTA 34-27-6	West	1520	+10	-16	92	86.0%	38%	22%	6%	2.3%
12	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 34-21-10	East	1522	+40	+10	98	70.2%	36%	14%	5%	2.0%
13	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 33-18-15	East	1506	+52	-5	98	76.1%	33%	11%	4%	1.3%
14	New York IslandersNYI 38-24-5	East	1508	+34	-0	98	73.6%	33%	11%	4%	1.3%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 37-23-6	East	1507	+45	+1	97	59.5%	17%	7%	3%	0.9%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 36-27-3	West	1486	+24	-7	93	88.3%	35%	13%	3%	0.8%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 36-23-8	East	1502	+19	-8	97	59.3%	16%	6%	2%	0.7%
18	San Jose SharksSJS 32-26-6	West	1462	+62	+4	89	59.9%	18%	6%	1%	0.3%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 26-24-15	West	1474	-64	-1	86	29.9%	10%	4%	<1%	0.2%
20	Florida PanthersFLA 33-29-3	East	1520	-56	-0	89	5.4%	2%	1%	<1%	0.2%
21	Seattle KrakenSEA 30-26-9	West	1467	+8	-15	85	27.8%	9%	3%	<1%	0.2%
22	Washington CapitalsWSH 33-27-8	East	1506	-22	-5	89	7.2%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 29-27-9	West	1470	-7	+4	85	23.0%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 27-28-10	West	1484	-59	+2	82	6.4%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 31-23-12	East	1473	+8	+4	90	10.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 27-29-10	West	1475	-44	+21	81	4.8%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 33-31-2	East	1485	-42	+1	85	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 28-27-12	East	1477	-67	-12	83	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 26-33-7	West	1440	-40	-4	74	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	New York RangersNYR 28-30-8	East	1487	-32	+23	82	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 25-30-11	West	1413	+7	-4	75	0.1%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 20-38-8	West	1395	-105	-0	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: