2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Feb 26, 2026, 2:04 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-14-4	East	1618	+71	+15	116	>99.9%	81%	61%	44%	28.1%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 38-9-9	West	1603	+41	-2	121	>99.9%	83%	52%	39%	22.3%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 36-15-6	East	1573	+11	+8	110	99.7%	68%	46%	20%	10.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 35-14-9	West	1570	+13	+14	110	>99.9%	57%	25%	17%	8.2%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 34-14-10	West	1554	+37	+19	107	>99.9%	45%	18%	12%	5.2%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-16-14	West	1537	-26	+5	99	97.0%	55%	33%	11%	4.3%
7	Buffalo SabresBUF 33-19-6	East	1538	+65	-8	100	86.8%	40%	15%	7%	3.0%
8	Utah MammothUTA 30-24-4	West	1532	+21	-2	93	84.5%	37%	22%	8%	2.9%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 32-17-8	East	1533	+37	+22	102	87.9%	38%	13%	6%	2.5%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 28-23-8	West	1521	-44	-20	90	66.5%	35%	17%	5%	1.9%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 29-15-12	East	1514	+60	+8	98	79.1%	37%	14%	4%	1.5%
12	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-20-7	East	1515	+32	+24	94	50.9%	24%	10%	3%	1.4%
13	New York IslandersNYI 32-21-5	East	1504	+30	+3	96	63.3%	28%	10%	3%	1.1%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 32-20-5	East	1510	+48	-1	96	60.1%	20%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	Detroit Red WingsDET 33-19-6	East	1508	+25	-14	98	71.6%	24%	7%	3%	1.0%
16	Washington CapitalsWSH 30-23-7	East	1518	-10	+11	92	35.0%	17%	7%	2%	1.0%
17	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 28-22-7	East	1523	+2	+17	92	26.9%	10%	5%	2%	0.9%
18	Anaheim DucksANA 31-23-3	West	1486	+24	+1	93	80.5%	32%	12%	3%	0.7%
19	Florida PanthersFLA 29-25-3	East	1521	-55	-15	90	17.3%	6%	3%	1%	0.6%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 27-21-9	West	1480	+21	+8	89	55.6%	21%	8%	2%	0.5%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-20-14	West	1484	-55	-15	88	44.8%	17%	7%	2%	0.5%
22	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-22-9	East	1509	-35	+7	89	12.7%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 26-24-7	West	1469	-8	-3	85	25.8%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-8	West	1486	-57	-5	81	8.8%	2%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 27-24-4	West	1453	+52	-7	86	33.5%	10%	3%	<1%	0.1%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 25-21-11	East	1463	-2	-9	86	6.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-28-2	East	1476	-51	-18	84	2.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 23-27-6	West	1455	-25	-6	77	2.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-26-9	West	1413	+7	-8	75	0.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 20-28-9	West	1441	-78	-8	73	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 22-29-6	East	1460	-59	-11	76	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-33-7	West	1408	-93	-7	64	—	—	—	—	—

As of: