2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Mar 17, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 44-13-9	West	1594	+32	-15	119	>99.9%	81%	48%	36%	21.1%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 42-18-6	East	1581	+19	+2	110	>99.9%	72%	51%	28%	15.3%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 42-15-10	West	1581	+24	+2	113	>99.9%	65%	33%	23%	13.3%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 40-21-4	East	1581	+34	-9	106	99.2%	68%	40%	24%	13.0%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 41-20-6	East	1567	+94	+6	107	99.7%	64%	33%	18%	9.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 38-18-12	West	1546	+29	-15	105	>99.9%	38%	15%	9%	4.1%
7	Utah MammothUTA 35-27-6	West	1529	+19	-11	93	91.6%	44%	25%	8%	3.4%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 33-26-9	West	1528	-37	+5	92	83.9%	46%	24%	8%	3.2%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 31-22-14	West	1524	-38	-4	94	90.9%	48%	26%	8%	3.1%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 34-23-9	East	1542	+21	+13	96	52.4%	21%	11%	5%	2.6%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 36-20-10	East	1525	+29	-1	100	83.9%	30%	12%	5%	2.2%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 34-18-15	East	1518	+64	+10	99	86.4%	41%	14%	5%	2.0%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 34-21-10	East	1522	+40	+10	98	67.6%	33%	13%	5%	2.0%
14	New York IslandersNYI 38-24-5	East	1508	+34	-0	98	71.0%	30%	10%	4%	1.3%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 37-27-3	West	1490	+28	-6	94	92.7%	37%	15%	4%	1.0%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 37-23-8	East	1506	+23	+2	98	66.1%	19%	7%	3%	1.0%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 37-23-7	East	1504	+42	-6	96	55.7%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-24-15	West	1482	-57	+1	88	37.1%	12%	5%	1%	0.4%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-26-9	West	1474	+15	-4	87	34.2%	11%	4%	<1%	0.3%
20	San Jose SharksSJS 32-27-6	West	1458	+58	+4	88	46.1%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
21	Washington CapitalsWSH 33-27-8	East	1506	-22	-5	89	6.0%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 28-28-10	West	1487	-56	-3	83	7.9%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Florida PanthersFLA 33-30-3	East	1513	-63	-0	87	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 29-28-9	West	1467	-10	+3	84	13.7%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 31-23-12	East	1473	+8	+4	90	9.2%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 27-30-10	West	1473	-47	+14	80	1.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 34-31-2	East	1488	-39	+1	86	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 29-27-12	East	1484	-59	+1	84	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 25-30-11	West	1413	+7	-4	75	0.1%	<1%	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 26-34-7	West	1436	-44	-12	73	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-31-8	East	1480	-40	+21	80	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 20-38-8	West	1395	-105	-0	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: