2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, May 17, 2026, 12:52 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Conference Finals Series Win Probabilities

78%

22%

Series tied 0-0

Round 2 Series Win Probabilities

✓

COL wins series 4-1

✓

VEG wins series 4-2

41%

59%

Series tied 3-3

✓

CAR wins series 4-0

Round 1 Series Results

✓

COL wins series 4-0

✓

MIN wins series 4-2

✓

VEG wins series 4-2

✓

ANA wins series 4-2

✓

BUF wins series 4-2

✓

MTL wins series 4-3

✓

CAR wins series 4-0

✓

PHI wins series 4-2

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 62-17-11	West	1620	+58	+9	121	✓	✓	✓	78%	44.4%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 60-22-7	East	1620	+58	+19	113	✓	✓	✓	68%	35.9%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 57-26-10	East	1577	+104	-10	109	✓	✓	59%	20%	7.9%
4	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 46-28-17	West	1551	-12	+5	95	✓	✓	✓	22%	6.9%
5	Montreal CanadiensMTL 53-28-12	East	1561	+65	+10	106	✓	✓	41%	12%	4.8%
6	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 53-27-7	East	1577	+29	+1	106	✓	—	—	—	—
7	Dallas StarsDAL 51-23-12	West	1560	+3	-13	112	✓	—	—	—	—
8	Minnesota WildMIN 50-27-14	West	1550	+33	-9	104	✓	✓	—	—	—
9	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-30-12	East	1543	+22	-11	99	✓	—	—	—	—
10	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 46-30-14	East	1518	+53	-11	98	✓	✓	—	—	—
11	Boston BruinsBOS 47-31-10	East	1513	+51	-7	100	✓	—	—	—	—
12	Edmonton OilersEDM 41-33-12	West	1512	-53	-17	93	✓	—	—	—	—
13	Utah MammothUTA 43-35-8	West	1507	-3	-24	92	✓	—	—	—	—
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 42-27-17	East	1500	+47	-15	98	✓	—	—	—	—
15	Anaheim DucksANA 47-38-7	West	1478	+16	-5	92	✓	✓	—	—	—
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-29-21	West	1470	-68	-17	90	✓	—	—	—	—
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 42-30-9	East	1535	+7	+15	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-29-12	East	1509	+26	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
19	St. Louis BluesSTL 36-33-12	West	1508	-12	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-37-4	East	1506	-70	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 41-37-3	East	1497	-30	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 33-37-9	East	1485	-34	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 37-33-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
24	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
25	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-31-10	East	1479	-4	-12	92	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-37-9	West	1455	-25	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 31-34-14	East	1449	-95	-24	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-34-7	West	1444	+43	-3	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-10	West	1435	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-48-8	West	1384	-116	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: