2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Apr 5, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 50-15-10	West	1597	+35	-6	120	✓	85%	55%	41%	23.4%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 49-21-6	East	1589	+27	+10	112	>99.9%	74%	55%	30%	17.5%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 48-22-6	East	1596	+48	+5	110	>99.9%	72%	45%	28%	16.9%
4	Montreal CanadiensMTL 45-21-10	East	1564	+68	+26	108	>99.9%	55%	25%	13%	7.0%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 45-20-12	West	1561	+4	-5	108	✓	56%	23%	15%	7.0%
6	Buffalo SabresBUF 46-23-8	East	1557	+84	-18	106	>99.9%	47%	21%	10%	5.3%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 43-21-12	West	1549	+32	+3	105	>99.9%	44%	17%	11%	4.6%
8	Utah MammothUTA 40-30-6	West	1533	+23	+3	94	99.0%	51%	32%	11%	3.9%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 39-29-9	West	1529	-35	+5	93	99.0%	56%	31%	10%	3.6%
10	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 39-22-16	East	1521	+67	+11	100	99.0%	53%	17%	5%	2.2%
11	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 35-26-16	West	1513	-50	+9	92	96.8%	52%	23%	7%	2.1%
12	Boston BruinsBOS 43-26-8	East	1521	+59	+10	99	96.0%	25%	11%	4%	1.7%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 39-27-10	East	1534	+13	-15	95	52.5%	16%	8%	4%	1.5%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 41-31-5	West	1479	+17	-26	93	97.2%	35%	12%	2%	0.6%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-27-11	East	1512	+29	-23	93	30.0%	14%	4%	1%	0.6%
16	Washington CapitalsWSH 39-29-9	East	1521	-7	+16	93	23.3%	11%	4%	1%	0.6%
17	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 38-26-12	East	1496	+31	+7	94	38.3%	15%	4%	1%	0.4%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-28-8	East	1498	+15	-4	95	33.1%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
19	Nashville PredatorsNSH 36-31-9	West	1485	+8	-3	88	43.1%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
20	New York IslandersNYI 42-31-5	East	1492	+18	-15	93	27.7%	10%	3%	<1%	0.2%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 30-26-19	West	1469	-69	+1	87	27.1%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 33-31-12	West	1493	-51	+8	85	8.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	St. Louis BluesSTL 32-31-12	West	1490	-29	+10	83	3.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 36-32-7	West	1447	+46	+11	87	25.7%	5%	1%	<1%	0.0%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-32-11	West	1444	-15	-14	82	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 39-34-3	East	1501	-26	-4	87	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-36-3	East	1499	-77	-7	83	—	—	—	—	—
28	New York RangersNYR 32-36-9	East	1479	-41	+19	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-31-14	East	1471	-73	-8	83	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 32-36-8	West	1453	-27	-0	78	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-35-14	West	1403	-3	-7	75	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-46-8	West	1380	-121	-5	57	—	—	—	—	—

As of: