2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, May 7, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 2 Series Win Probabilities

10%

90%

COL leads 2-0

40%

60%

Series tied 1-1

27%

73%

BUF leads 1-0

93%

CAR leads 2-0

Round 1 Series Results

✓

COL leads 5-0

✓

MIN wins series 4-2

✓

VEG wins series 4-2

✓

ANA wins series 4-2

✓

BUF wins series 4-2

✓

MTL wins series 4-3

✓

CAR leads 5-0

✓

PHI wins series 4-2

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 62-16-11	West	1625	+63	+11	121	✓	✓	90%	74%	43.0%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 60-22-7	East	1617	+55	+10	113	✓	✓	93%	58%	31.2%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 55-24-10	East	1585	+112	+13	109	✓	✓	73%	30%	13.8%
4	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 44-29-17	West	1533	-30	+7	95	✓	✓	60%	13%	4.0%
5	Montreal CanadiensMTL 52-26-12	East	1554	+58	-3	106	✓	✓	27%	9%	3.6%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 50-27-13	West	1553	+36	+3	104	✓	✓	10%	7%	2.5%
7	Anaheim DucksANA 48-36-6	West	1492	+30	+4	92	✓	✓	40%	6%	1.1%
8	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 47-30-13	East	1522	+57	-6	98	✓	✓	7%	2%	0.7%
9	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 53-28-8	East	1572	+25	-4	106	✓	—	—	—	—
10	Dallas StarsDAL 52-23-13	West	1558	+1	-7	112	✓	—	—	—	—
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-31-12	East	1539	+18	-12	99	✓	—	—	—	—
12	Utah MammothUTA 45-35-8	West	1514	+4	-6	92	✓	—	—	—	—
13	Edmonton OilersEDM 43-33-12	West	1514	-51	-18	93	✓	—	—	—	—
14	Boston BruinsBOS 47-31-10	East	1513	+51	-7	100	✓	—	—	—	—
15	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 43-28-17	East	1506	+52	-5	98	✓	—	—	—	—
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-31-21	West	1464	-74	-11	90	✓	—	—	—	—
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: