2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Apr 1, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 49-14-10	West	1601	+39	+7	121	>99.9%	86%	57%	44%	26.4%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 47-21-6	East	1582	+20	+3	110	>99.9%	70%	51%	27%	14.6%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 46-22-6	East	1588	+41	-3	108	>99.9%	66%	39%	24%	14.0%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 46-21-8	East	1570	+97	-13	109	>99.9%	61%	30%	17%	9.0%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 44-19-12	West	1562	+5	-15	109	>99.9%	60%	25%	16%	8.0%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 43-21-10	East	1558	+62	+30	106	>99.9%	45%	21%	11%	5.7%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 38-28-9	West	1536	-29	+13	94	99.5%	63%	37%	12%	4.7%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 41-21-12	West	1539	+22	-9	104	>99.9%	40%	14%	9%	3.6%
9	Utah MammothUTA 38-30-6	West	1523	+13	-14	92	96.1%	48%	26%	8%	2.7%
10	Boston BruinsBOS 43-24-8	East	1527	+65	+14	101	97.6%	30%	13%	5%	2.1%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 38-21-16	East	1518	+64	+7	100	94.6%	48%	16%	5%	1.9%
12	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 38-26-10	East	1535	+14	-8	95	44.7%	15%	7%	3%	1.6%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 41-28-5	West	1497	+35	+3	97	99.9%	46%	19%	5%	1.4%
14	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-25-11	East	1521	+38	-14	96	46.6%	22%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 33-26-16	West	1500	-63	-6	90	85.5%	34%	14%	4%	1.1%
16	New York IslandersNYI 42-29-5	East	1501	+27	-7	96	48.0%	19%	6%	2%	0.6%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 38-28-9	East	1521	-7	+6	93	15.2%	7%	3%	1%	0.5%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-27-8	East	1498	+15	-12	95	26.4%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
19	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 37-25-12	East	1494	+29	+7	94	27.0%	10%	3%	<1%	0.3%
20	Winnipeg JetsWPG 32-30-12	West	1493	-51	+18	85	16.2%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
21	Nashville PredatorsNSH 34-31-9	West	1475	-2	-6	86	26.6%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Los Angeles KingsLAK 28-26-18	West	1467	-71	-11	86	24.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 34-31-7	West	1444	+44	-5	86	30.2%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-30-11	West	1457	-2	-7	84	16.7%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 31-31-11	West	1485	-34	+16	82	5.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 38-34-2	East	1498	-29	+6	87	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 31-35-8	West	1451	-29	+5	77	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
28	Florida PanthersFLA 36-35-3	East	1502	-74	-5	83	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-30-13	East	1479	-64	+3	84	—	—	—	—	—
30	New York RangersNYR 31-35-9	East	1476	-44	+11	78	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-34-14	West	1399	-7	-11	74	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-44-8	West	1377	-123	-22	57	—	—	—	—	—

As of: