2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Oct 3, 2026, 1:08 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 1-0-0	West	1582	+5	+5	109	90.3%	61%	37%	23%	13.4%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 0-1-1	East	1574	-12	-12	105	78.5%	51%	32%	18%	10.9%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 1-1-0	West	1554	-1	-1	103	80.8%	49%	28%	14%	7.0%
4	Florida PanthersFLA 1-0-1	East	1554	+1	+1	103	72.0%	40%	22%	11%	6.3%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 1-0-1	West	1546	-1	-1	102	78.7%	46%	25%	12%	6.2%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 1-0-0	West	1549	+5	+5	103	79.5%	44%	22%	12%	6.2%
7	Washington CapitalsWSH 1-0-0	East	1551	+8	+8	103	72.5%	41%	21%	11%	6.1%
8	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 0-1-0	East	1547	-8	-8	100	63.9%	35%	18%	9%	4.8%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 1-0-0	East	1544	+3	+3	101	67.3%	35%	17%	8%	4.5%
10	Dallas StarsDAL 0-1-0	West	1536	-9	-9	98	66.5%	34%	16%	8%	4.0%
11	Utah MammothUTA 1-0-0	West	1528	+5	+5	98	68.0%	32%	15%	8%	3.4%
12	Buffalo SabresBUF 0-1-0	East	1531	-6	-6	96	53.0%	26%	13%	6%	3.2%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 1-0-0	West	1515	+4	+4	97	64.0%	30%	14%	6%	2.8%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 1-0-0	East	1519	+3	+3	95	49.9%	23%	11%	5%	2.3%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 0-0-0	East	1523	—	—	96	50.2%	23%	11%	5%	2.2%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1-0-0	East	1512	+6	+6	94	46.4%	22%	9%	4%	2.1%
17	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 1-0-0	East	1510	+10	+10	94	47.2%	21%	9%	4%	1.8%
18	Boston BruinsBOS 2-0-0	East	1507	+8	+8	94	45.3%	19%	9%	4%	1.7%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-1-0	West	1503	-5	-5	92	49.5%	22%	10%	4%	1.7%
20	San Jose SharksSJS 1-0-0	West	1502	+3	+3	94	54.3%	24%	10%	4%	1.6%
21	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 1-1-0	East	1503	-1	-1	91	37.1%	16%	7%	3%	1.4%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-1-1	East	1501	-13	-13	90	34.9%	15%	6%	3%	1.1%
23	St. Louis BluesSTL 1-0-0	West	1495	+9	+9	92	46.3%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
24	New York RangersNYR 2-1-0	East	1494	+8	+8	90	35.3%	14%	6%	2%	1.1%
25	New York IslandersNYI 0-1-0	East	1488	-3	-3	87	25.9%	11%	5%	2%	0.8%
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 0-0-1	West	1473	-3	-3	86	29.3%	10%	4%	2%	0.8%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 0-1-0	West	1477	-5	-5	86	28.3%	10%	4%	2%	0.5%
28	Seattle KrakenSEA 1-0-0	West	1467	+8	+8	86	31.1%	11%	4%	1%	0.4%
29	Detroit Red WingsDET 0-1-0	East	1479	-6	-6	85	20.6%	7%	3%	1%	0.3%
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 0-1-0	West	1442	-8	-8	78	13.5%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 0-2-0	West	1434	-8	-8	76	9.8%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 1-1-0	West	1426	+1	+1	76	10.1%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: