2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Feb 4, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 36-14-4	East	1611	+63	+3	114	>99.9%	79%	57%	40%	25.5%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 36-9-9	West	1596	+34	-12	119	>99.9%	80%	50%	36%	20.8%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 35-15-6	East	1568	+7	+9	109	99.5%	67%	45%	21%	10.8%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 33-14-9	West	1564	+8	+13	108	>99.9%	55%	25%	17%	8.0%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 33-14-10	West	1552	+34	+12	106	99.9%	47%	20%	12%	5.5%
6	Buffalo SabresBUF 32-18-6	East	1543	+70	+8	101	89.1%	44%	17%	9%	4.2%
7	Utah MammothUTA 29-23-4	West	1531	+21	-2	94	80.5%	36%	20%	8%	3.2%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 28-21-8	West	1527	-37	-7	93	77.5%	42%	23%	8%	3.1%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-16-14	West	1524	-39	-22	96	86.5%	46%	25%	8%	3.1%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 31-17-8	East	1525	+30	+12	100	81.9%	33%	12%	5%	2.4%
11	Detroit Red WingsDET 33-18-6	East	1513	+30	-2	99	79.5%	28%	9%	4%	1.6%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 28-15-12	East	1506	+52	+3	97	72.6%	34%	12%	4%	1.5%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 28-20-7	East	1511	+28	+20	94	49.3%	25%	10%	3%	1.4%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 32-20-4	East	1512	+51	+5	96	62.0%	21%	8%	3%	1.4%
15	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-17-14	West	1500	-39	+3	92	68.5%	31%	13%	4%	1.3%
16	Florida PanthersFLA 28-24-3	East	1523	-53	-12	90	19.7%	8%	4%	2%	0.9%
17	New York IslandersNYI 31-21-5	East	1499	+25	+2	95	56.4%	25%	9%	3%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 28-23-7	East	1510	-18	+0	90	27.2%	13%	6%	2%	0.8%
19	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 27-22-7	East	1520	-1	+22	91	22.1%	8%	4%	2%	0.8%
20	Anaheim DucksANA 30-23-3	West	1483	+21	+1	92	67.8%	26%	10%	2%	0.7%
21	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-21-9	East	1512	-32	+3	90	17.4%	6%	3%	1%	0.6%
22	Seattle KrakenSEA 26-20-9	West	1478	+19	+18	89	45.5%	17%	6%	2%	0.5%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 26-23-6	West	1476	-1	-5	86	29.2%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 22-25-8	West	1490	-53	-5	82	9.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
25	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-26-2	East	1484	-43	-18	86	9.5%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	San Jose SharksSJS 27-23-4	West	1455	+55	-0	87	32.8%	10%	3%	<1%	0.2%
27	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 25-20-10	East	1470	+4	-15	88	13.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 22-27-6	West	1451	-29	-15	76	1.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-25-9	West	1417	+11	-10	76	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 20-27-9	West	1443	-76	-10	74	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 22-28-6	East	1464	-55	-12	77	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-32-6	West	1414	-86	-10	65	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—

As of: