2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Mar 25, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 47-13-10	West	1603	+40	-3	121	>99.9%	84%	55%	42%	24.9%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 44-21-5	East	1596	+49	+15	109	>99.9%	72%	43%	28%	16.8%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 45-20-6	East	1579	+17	-2	110	>99.9%	70%	47%	23%	12.3%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 44-20-7	East	1579	+106	+14	109	>99.9%	68%	34%	20%	11.2%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 43-17-11	West	1569	+13	-20	111	>99.9%	61%	27%	19%	9.5%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 40-20-12	West	1542	+25	-11	104	>99.9%	39%	14%	9%	3.6%
7	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-22-10	East	1538	+55	+16	100	89.3%	53%	22%	8%	3.5%
8	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 38-24-9	East	1549	+28	+7	98	74.4%	29%	15%	7%	3.2%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 35-28-9	West	1524	-41	+0	91	91.9%	53%	28%	9%	2.9%
10	Utah MammothUTA 37-29-6	West	1523	+13	+3	92	94.7%	45%	25%	8%	2.7%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 39-21-10	East	1535	+39	+6	102	92.4%	31%	12%	6%	2.4%
12	Anaheim DucksANA 40-27-4	West	1502	+40	+16	97	99.8%	46%	21%	5%	1.5%
13	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 32-26-14	West	1504	-59	-20	90	82.5%	38%	17%	5%	1.3%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 35-20-16	East	1505	+51	-1	98	75.6%	29%	9%	3%	1.0%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 39-24-8	East	1506	+45	-0	97	57.4%	14%	5%	2%	0.7%
16	New York IslandersNYI 40-27-5	East	1503	+29	-5	96	49.9%	19%	6%	2%	0.7%
17	Nashville PredatorsNSH 34-28-9	West	1488	+11	+22	89	66.4%	15%	6%	2%	0.6%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 38-25-8	East	1502	+19	-2	96	41.5%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-25-18	West	1468	-70	-7	86	27.6%	8%	3%	<1%	0.2%
20	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 34-24-12	East	1484	+19	+8	93	14.7%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
21	Washington CapitalsWSH 35-28-9	East	1506	-22	-4	90	3.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 30-29-12	West	1484	-59	-3	83	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-29-10	West	1458	-1	-9	83	14.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 29-30-11	West	1480	-39	+8	82	4.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 32-31-6	West	1438	+38	-24	83	11.4%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 36-32-2	East	1499	-28	+19	87	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Florida PanthersFLA 35-32-3	East	1509	-67	-11	86	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 30-34-7	West	1453	-26	+13	77	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-31-13	West	1414	+8	+1	77	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
30	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 30-29-13	East	1479	-65	+1	83	—	—	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-34-9	East	1462	-57	-25	76	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-41-8	West	1391	-110	-11	60	—	—	—	—	—

As of: