2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Oct 8, 2026, 1:07 AM EDT.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 2-1-0	West	1583	+5	+5	109	90.4%	60%	37%	22%	13.0%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 2-1-1	East	1582	-4	-4	108	86.0%	58%	35%	21%	11.8%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 3-1-0	West	1562	+7	+7	106	87.3%	56%	32%	17%	9.0%
4	Edmonton OilersEDM 3-0-1	West	1555	+8	+8	105	85.5%	52%	28%	13%	6.6%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 2-1-0	East	1556	+1	+1	103	74.5%	43%	23%	12%	6.4%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 2-0-1	West	1550	+6	+6	104	81.5%	46%	23%	12%	6.1%
7	Florida PanthersFLA 2-0-2	East	1554	+1	+1	104	76.0%	42%	22%	12%	6.0%
8	Washington CapitalsWSH 2-1-0	East	1550	+7	+7	103	73.5%	41%	21%	11%	5.4%
9	Dallas StarsDAL 1-2-0	West	1539	-7	-7	98	66.4%	32%	16%	9%	4.2%
10	Utah MammothUTA 3-1-0	West	1535	+12	+12	101	73.8%	35%	16%	7%	3.5%
11	Buffalo SabresBUF 2-1-0	East	1536	-1	-1	98	60.8%	30%	15%	7%	3.4%
12	Montreal CanadiensMTL 1-1-1	East	1536	-5	-5	98	59.5%	30%	14%	6%	3.2%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2-1-0	East	1528	+5	+5	97	56.9%	26%	13%	6%	2.9%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 2-1-0	West	1512	+1	+1	95	60.8%	27%	12%	5%	2.2%
15	New Jersey DevilsNJD 1-2-0	East	1505	-11	-11	91	37.4%	16%	7%	3%	1.8%
16	San Jose SharksSJS 2-1-0	West	1499	+0	+0	92	50.9%	22%	9%	4%	1.6%
17	New York RangersNYR 4-1-0	East	1504	+19	+19	95	49.7%	21%	9%	4%	1.6%
18	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 2-2-0	East	1502	-1	-1	90	34.5%	14%	7%	3%	1.4%
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1-1-0	East	1505	-1	-1	92	40.6%	17%	7%	3%	1.4%
20	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2-2-0	East	1505	+5	+5	92	40.6%	18%	7%	3%	1.4%
21	Boston BruinsBOS 2-2-0	East	1496	-3	-3	89	32.0%	13%	6%	2%	1.1%
22	Los Angeles KingsLAK 0-2-1	West	1497	-10	-10	89	41.3%	17%	7%	3%	1.0%
23	New York IslandersNYI 1-2-0	East	1491	-0	-0	88	29.0%	12%	5%	2%	0.9%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 3-0-1	West	1485	+8	+8	91	43.8%	14%	5%	2%	0.8%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0-2-2	East	1494	-20	-20	87	27.1%	12%	5%	2%	0.8%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 1-2-0	West	1485	-1	-1	87	33.7%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 1-1-1	West	1478	-4	-4	87	30.1%	10%	4%	2%	0.5%
28	Detroit Red WingsDET 1-2-0	East	1481	-4	-4	85	21.9%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 2-2-0	West	1463	+5	+5	84	26.6%	9%	3%	<1%	0.3%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 1-3-0	West	1438	-5	-5	77	9.9%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Vancouver CanucksVAN 2-2-0	West	1429	+4	+4	77	10.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Calgary FlamesCGY 0-3-0	West	1431	-20	-20	74	7.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%

As of: