2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Apr 6, 2026, 1:04 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 50-16-10	West	1592	+30	-13	118	✓	84%	52%	38%	21.7%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 48-22-6	East	1596	+48	+5	110	✓	73%	47%	30%	18.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 49-22-6	East	1582	+20	-0	110	✓	71%	51%	27%	15.1%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 45-20-12	West	1561	+4	-5	108	✓	54%	24%	16%	7.7%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 46-23-8	East	1557	+84	-18	106	✓	51%	22%	11%	5.7%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 44-21-12	West	1552	+35	+10	106	✓	46%	19%	13%	5.5%
7	Montreal CanadiensMTL 45-22-10	East	1555	+59	+12	106	>99.9%	50%	21%	11%	5.5%
8	Utah MammothUTA 40-30-6	West	1533	+23	+3	94	98.8%	51%	32%	11%	4.2%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 39-29-9	West	1529	-35	+5	93	98.9%	56%	31%	11%	3.9%
10	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 40-22-16	East	1525	+71	+22	100	>99.9%	58%	20%	7%	2.7%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 40-27-10	East	1540	+19	-4	96	74.5%	24%	13%	6%	2.7%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 35-26-16	West	1513	-50	+9	92	96.6%	51%	23%	7%	2.3%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 43-26-9	East	1518	+56	+1	99	97.9%	26%	11%	4%	1.7%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 41-31-5	West	1479	+17	-26	93	97.0%	36%	12%	2%	0.7%
15	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 39-26-12	East	1499	+34	+4	95	53.3%	21%	6%	2%	0.7%
16	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-27-11	East	1512	+29	-23	94	28.9%	13%	4%	1%	0.6%
17	Nashville PredatorsNSH 36-31-9	West	1485	+8	-3	88	41.5%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
18	New York IslandersNYI 42-31-5	East	1492	+18	-15	93	26.3%	9%	3%	<1%	0.3%
19	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-29-8	East	1495	+12	-15	93	12.3%	2%	1%	<1%	0.1%
20	Washington CapitalsWSH 39-30-9	East	1513	-15	-0	91	6.5%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 30-26-19	West	1469	-69	+1	87	26.8%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	St. Louis BluesSTL 33-31-12	West	1495	-24	+13	85	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 33-31-12	West	1493	-51	+8	85	7.6%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 36-32-7	West	1447	+46	+11	87	25.0%	5%	1%	<1%	0.0%
25	New Jersey DevilsNJD 40-34-3	East	1510	-17	+9	89	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-32-11	West	1444	-15	-14	82	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-37-3	East	1494	-82	-7	82	—	—	—	—	—
28	New York RangersNYR 33-36-9	East	1487	-32	+23	79	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-31-14	East	1471	-73	-8	83	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 32-36-8	West	1453	-27	-0	78	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-35-14	West	1403	-3	-7	75	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-46-8	West	1380	-121	-5	57	—	—	—	—	—

As of: