2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, May 4, 2026, 12:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 2 Series Win Probabilities

19%

81%

COL leads 1-0

31%

69%

Series tied 0-0

40%

60%

Series tied 0-0

13%

87%

CAR leads 1-0

Round 1 Series Results

✓

COL leads 5-0

✓

MIN wins series 4-2

✓

VEG wins series 4-2

✓

ANA wins series 4-2

✓

BUF wins series 4-2

✓

MTL wins series 4-3

✓

CAR leads 5-0

✓

PHI wins series 4-2

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 61-16-11	West	1621	+59	+12	121	✓	✓	81%	65%	38.0%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 59-22-7	East	1615	+53	+13	113	✓	✓	87%	55%	30.7%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 54-24-10	East	1581	+108	+7	109	✓	✓	60%	25%	12.2%
4	Montreal CanadiensMTL 52-25-12	East	1558	+62	+4	106	✓	✓	40%	15%	6.2%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 43-28-17	West	1536	-27	+6	95	✓	✓	69%	17%	5.4%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 50-26-13	West	1557	+40	+10	104	✓	✓	19%	13%	5.0%
7	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 47-30-12	East	1524	+59	-11	98	✓	✓	13%	5%	1.5%
8	Anaheim DucksANA 47-35-6	West	1489	+27	+18	92	✓	✓	31%	5%	1.0%
9	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 53-28-8	East	1572	+25	-4	106	✓	—	—	—	—
10	Dallas StarsDAL 52-23-13	West	1558	+1	-7	112	✓	—	—	—	—
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-31-12	East	1539	+18	-12	99	✓	—	—	—	—
12	Utah MammothUTA 45-35-8	West	1514	+4	-6	92	✓	—	—	—	—
13	Edmonton OilersEDM 43-33-12	West	1514	-51	-18	93	✓	—	—	—	—
14	Boston BruinsBOS 47-31-10	East	1513	+51	-7	100	✓	—	—	—	—
15	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 43-28-17	East	1506	+52	-5	98	✓	—	—	—	—
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-31-21	West	1464	-74	-11	90	✓	—	—	—	—
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: