2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Apr 4, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 49-15-10	West	1592	+29	-5	119	✓	84%	53%	39%	21.4%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 48-21-6	East	1587	+25	+2	111	>99.9%	72%	53%	29%	16.8%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 47-22-6	East	1592	+45	-4	109	>99.9%	69%	43%	26%	15.8%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 45-19-12	West	1566	+9	-3	110	✓	61%	28%	19%	9.2%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 46-22-8	East	1564	+91	-15	108	>99.9%	54%	25%	13%	7.2%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 44-21-10	East	1561	+65	+26	107	>99.9%	49%	22%	12%	6.3%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 39-28-9	West	1538	-27	+21	94	99.6%	60%	37%	13%	5.1%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 42-21-12	West	1542	+25	-1	104	>99.9%	39%	15%	9%	3.8%
9	Utah MammothUTA 39-30-6	West	1529	+19	+1	93	97.9%	48%	29%	10%	3.6%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 39-26-10	East	1541	+20	-5	96	58.1%	19%	10%	4%	2.1%
11	Boston BruinsBOS 43-25-8	East	1524	+62	+18	100	94.1%	26%	12%	4%	1.9%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 38-22-16	East	1514	+60	+9	99	94.9%	49%	15%	4%	1.8%
13	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 34-26-16	West	1504	-58	-6	91	89.6%	41%	17%	5%	1.4%
14	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-26-11	East	1516	+33	-22	95	43.8%	22%	7%	2%	1.0%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 41-30-5	West	1485	+23	-16	94	99.0%	42%	14%	3%	0.8%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-27-8	East	1504	+21	-1	96	36.4%	8%	4%	1%	0.5%
17	New York IslandersNYI 42-30-5	East	1494	+20	-10	94	34.1%	14%	4%	<1%	0.3%
18	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 38-26-12	East	1496	+31	+7	94	28.3%	12%	3%	<1%	0.3%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 38-29-9	East	1514	-14	+2	92	10.0%	5%	2%	<1%	0.3%
20	Nashville PredatorsNSH 35-31-9	West	1479	+2	-5	87	30.9%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	San Jose SharksSJS 36-31-7	West	1453	+53	+15	88	49.5%	11%	3%	<1%	0.2%
22	Los Angeles KingsLAK 29-26-19	West	1466	-72	-4	86	19.4%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
23	St. Louis BluesSTL 32-31-12	West	1490	-29	+10	83	4.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 32-31-12	West	1489	-55	+10	84	5.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-31-11	West	1451	-8	-9	83	4.8%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 39-34-2	East	1504	-23	+5	88	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-35-3	East	1505	-71	-4	84	0.0%	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-31-13	East	1473	-70	+1	83	—	—	—	—	—
29	New York RangersNYR 31-36-9	East	1473	-46	+11	77	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 31-36-8	West	1446	-33	-4	76	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-35-14	West	1396	-10	-18	73	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-45-8	West	1384	-117	-7	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: