2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Apr 14, 2026, 4:10 PM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 53-16-11	West	1597	+35	-0	120	✓	86%	54%	41%	23.6%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 52-22-7	East	1591	+29	+2	112	✓	70%	53%	30%	17.4%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 50-25-6	East	1585	+38	-10	107	✓	61%	35%	20%	11.5%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 50-23-8	East	1576	+103	+12	109	✓	68%	35%	19%	10.3%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 49-20-12	West	1571	+14	+5	111	✓	62%	28%	19%	9.8%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 48-23-10	East	1558	+62	-6	107	✓	39%	19%	10%	4.8%
7	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 43-27-11	East	1555	+33	+21	98	✓	36%	21%	9%	4.4%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 45-24-12	West	1543	+26	-6	103	✓	38%	14%	9%	3.5%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 40-30-11	West	1526	-39	-12	93	✓	62%	31%	10%	3.2%
10	Utah MammothUTA 42-32-6	West	1527	+17	-2	93	✓	47%	27%	9%	3.0%
11	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 38-26-17	West	1522	-41	+17	94	✓	54%	29%	9%	2.9%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-24-16	East	1519	+65	+5	99	✓	54%	16%	5%	2.0%
13	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 42-27-12	East	1514	+49	+18	97	✓	46%	13%	4%	1.4%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 44-27-10	East	1516	+55	-8	99	✓	26%	9%	3%	1.3%
15	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-26-19	West	1488	-51	+18	91	✓	25%	9%	2%	0.6%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 42-32-6	West	1472	+9	-22	92	✓	26%	8%	2%	0.4%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 42-30-9	East	1532	+4	+18	94	—	—	—	—	—
18	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-29-12	East	1511	+29	-1	93	—	—	—	—	—
19	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-36-3	East	1504	-23	+3	88	—	—	—	—	—
20	St. Louis BluesSTL 35-33-12	West	1498	-21	+8	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	Florida PanthersFLA 39-38-4	East	1497	-79	-2	83	—	—	—	—	—
22	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-30-10	East	1489	+6	-9	93	—	—	—	—	—
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-33-12	West	1486	-57	-2	84	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-33-10	West	1486	+9	+0	87	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-33-5	East	1484	+10	-17	92	—	—	—	—	—
26	New York RangersNYR 33-39-9	East	1477	-42	+4	76	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 33-38-9	West	1450	-29	+4	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-35-14	East	1450	-94	-23	79	—	—	—	—	—
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-35-11	West	1440	-19	-4	80	—	—	—	—	—
30	San Jose SharksSJS 38-34-8	West	1438	+37	-9	86	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-39-14	West	1388	-18	-8	71	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 24-48-8	West	1383	-117	-1	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: