2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Apr 9, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 51-16-10	West	1596	+34	-1	119	✓	84%	53%	40%	23.5%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 50-22-6	East	1584	+22	+8	111	✓	70%	51%	28%	15.7%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 48-24-6	East	1583	+36	-13	107	✓	63%	37%	22%	12.3%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 48-23-8	East	1566	+93	-1	108	✓	59%	29%	16%	8.2%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 46-20-12	West	1562	+6	-9	109	✓	54%	23%	16%	7.7%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 46-22-10	East	1557	+62	+8	107	✓	47%	22%	12%	5.9%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 45-21-12	West	1555	+38	+10	107	✓	46%	19%	12%	5.8%
8	Utah MammothUTA 41-30-6	West	1536	+26	+13	94	99.6%	50%	32%	11%	4.1%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 40-29-10	West	1532	-33	+0	94	>99.9%	56%	32%	11%	3.8%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 41-27-10	East	1547	+26	+6	97	84.8%	30%	16%	7%	3.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 40-22-16	East	1525	+71	+22	100	99.8%	56%	19%	7%	2.7%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 36-26-16	West	1515	-47	+15	93	98.6%	58%	25%	7%	2.4%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 43-26-10	East	1515	+54	-5	99	98.6%	26%	10%	3%	1.4%
14	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 40-26-12	East	1507	+42	+9	96	62.6%	26%	8%	3%	0.9%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 39-27-11	East	1515	+33	-15	94	29.5%	13%	5%	2%	0.7%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 41-32-5	West	1470	+8	-31	92	92.6%	30%	9%	2%	0.4%
17	Nashville PredatorsNSH 37-31-10	West	1491	+14	+14	89	53.2%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
18	New York IslandersNYI 42-31-5	East	1492	+18	-15	93	15.2%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 31-26-19	West	1472	-66	-2	88	31.7%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
20	Washington CapitalsWSH 40-30-9	East	1520	-8	+3	92	5.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 34-31-12	West	1497	-46	+16	85	8.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Detroit Red WingsDET 40-29-9	East	1491	+8	-13	93	4.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 37-33-7	West	1444	+43	-0	86	15.0%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
24	St. Louis BluesSTL 33-32-12	West	1491	-29	+3	84	1.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-34-11	West	1436	-23	-25	80	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 40-35-3	East	1501	-25	-2	87	—	—	—	—	—
27	Florida PanthersFLA 37-37-4	East	1492	-84	-4	82	—	—	—	—	—
28	New York RangersNYR 33-37-9	East	1483	-37	+13	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-32-14	East	1464	-80	-18	82	—	—	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 32-36-9	West	1451	-29	+1	78	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 28-36-14	West	1401	-5	-4	74	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 22-47-8	West	1378	-123	-2	56	—	—	—	—	—

As of: