2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, May 31, 2026, 12:33 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Stanley Cup Finals Probability

27%

73%

Series tied 0-0

Conference Finals Results

✓

VEG wins series 4-0

✓

CAR wins series 4-1

Round 2 Series Results

✓

COL wins series 4-1

✓

VEG wins series 4-2

✓

MTL wins series 4-3

✓

CAR wins series 4-0

Round 1 Series Results

✓

COL wins series 4-0

✓

MIN wins series 4-2

✓

VEG wins series 4-2

✓

ANA wins series 4-2

✓

BUF wins series 4-2

✓

MTL wins series 4-3

✓

CAR wins series 4-0

✓

PHI wins series 4-2

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Carolina HurricanesCAR 63-23-7	East	1625	+63	+7	113	✓	✓	✓	✓	72.9%
2	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 50-27-17	West	1576	+14	+28	95	✓	✓	✓	✓	27.1%
3	Colorado AvalancheCOL 61-20-11	West	1604	+41	-20	121	✓	✓	✓	—	—
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 57-23-11	East	1591	+118	+3	109	✓	✓	—	—	—
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 52-26-7	East	1575	+28	-5	106	✓	—	—	—	—
6	Dallas StarsDAL 50-23-12	West	1556	-1	-13	112	✓	—	—	—	—
7	Minnesota WildMIN 49-26-14	West	1547	+30	-11	104	✓	✓	—	—	—
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 52-30-13	East	1545	+49	-7	106	✓	✓	✓	—	—
9	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 43-30-12	East	1542	+21	-11	99	✓	—	—	—	—
10	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 45-29-13	East	1515	+50	-11	98	✓	✓	—	—	—
11	Edmonton OilersEDM 41-33-12	West	1512	-53	-17	93	✓	—	—	—	—
12	Boston BruinsBOS 46-31-10	East	1507	+45	-15	100	✓	—	—	—	—
13	Utah MammothUTA 43-35-8	West	1507	-3	-24	92	✓	—	—	—	—
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-26-17	East	1506	+52	-13	98	✓	—	—	—	—
15	Anaheim DucksANA 46-37-7	West	1476	+14	-12	92	✓	✓	—	—	—
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-29-20	West	1472	-66	-10	90	✓	—	—	—	—
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 42-30-9	East	1535	+7	+15	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-29-12	East	1509	+26	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
19	St. Louis BluesSTL 36-33-12	West	1508	-12	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 39-37-4	East	1506	-71	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 41-37-3	East	1497	-30	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 33-37-9	East	1485	-34	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	New York IslandersNYI 43-33-5	East	1482	+8	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 37-33-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-30-10	East	1481	-2	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-37-9	West	1455	-25	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 31-34-14	East	1449	-95	-24	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-34-7	West	1444	+43	-3	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 33-37-10	West	1433	-26	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-48-8	West	1385	-116	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: