2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 37-14-4	East	1615	+68	+15	115	>99.9%	80%	59%	42%	26.7%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 37-9-9	West	1598	+36	-14	120	>99.9%	81%	51%	37%	21.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 36-15-6	East	1573	+11	+8	109	99.7%	68%	46%	21%	11.0%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 34-14-9	West	1566	+9	+13	109	>99.9%	55%	25%	16%	7.9%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 34-14-10	West	1554	+37	+19	107	>99.9%	47%	20%	12%	5.5%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 27-16-14	West	1532	-31	-3	97	94.2%	52%	29%	10%	3.7%
7	Utah MammothUTA 30-23-4	West	1536	+26	+7	95	87.6%	40%	24%	9%	3.5%
8	Buffalo SabresBUF 32-19-6	East	1535	+62	-6	99	82.1%	37%	14%	7%	3.0%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 32-17-8	East	1533	+37	+22	102	87.8%	39%	14%	6%	2.8%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 28-22-8	West	1524	-41	-13	92	71.6%	38%	19%	7%	2.4%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 29-15-12	East	1514	+60	+8	98	79.8%	38%	14%	5%	1.8%
12	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-20-7	East	1515	+32	+24	94	51.4%	25%	10%	4%	1.5%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET 33-19-6	East	1508	+25	-14	98	71.5%	24%	8%	3%	1.2%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 28-22-7	East	1523	+2	+17	92	27.3%	10%	5%	2%	1.1%
15	New York IslandersNYI 32-21-5	East	1504	+30	+3	96	62.8%	27%	10%	3%	1.1%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 32-20-5	East	1510	+48	-1	96	59.4%	20%	7%	3%	1.0%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 29-23-7	East	1514	-14	+11	91	29.1%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
18	Anaheim DucksANA 30-23-3	West	1483	+21	+1	92	70.8%	27%	10%	2%	0.7%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-19-14	West	1489	-49	-14	90	51.6%	21%	8%	2%	0.7%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 27-20-9	West	1484	+25	+19	90	60.9%	23%	9%	2%	0.6%
21	Florida PanthersFLA 29-25-3	East	1521	-55	-15	90	17.6%	7%	3%	1%	0.6%
22	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-21-9	East	1512	-32	+3	90	17.0%	6%	3%	1%	0.5%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH 26-24-7	West	1469	-8	-3	85	23.6%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 27-24-4	West	1453	+52	-7	86	30.8%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 25-20-11	East	1467	+1	-10	87	10.1%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 22-26-8	West	1483	-60	-5	80	6.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-27-2	East	1479	-48	-19	85	4.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 23-27-6	West	1455	-25	-6	77	2.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	New York RangersNYR 22-29-6	East	1460	-59	-11	76	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-26-9	West	1413	+7	-8	75	0.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	St. Louis BluesSTL 20-28-9	West	1441	-78	-8	73	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-33-6	West	1411	-90	-11	64	—	—	—	—	—

As of: