2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Mar 1, 2026, 1:07 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-16-4	East	1605	+58	-3	112	99.9%	77%	54%	36%	22.0%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 39-10-9	West	1597	+35	-7	120	>99.9%	80%	49%	36%	20.6%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 38-15-6	East	1580	+18	+16	111	>99.9%	71%	49%	24%	13.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 36-14-9	West	1571	+15	+13	110	>99.9%	57%	27%	18%	9.2%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 35-15-10	West	1557	+39	+16	107	>99.9%	46%	20%	12%	5.7%
6	Buffalo SabresBUF 35-19-6	East	1551	+78	+6	103	95.9%	50%	20%	10%	4.9%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-17-14	West	1534	-29	+7	97	95.4%	53%	31%	10%	3.9%
8	Utah MammothUTA 31-24-4	West	1537	+27	+7	95	90.0%	42%	25%	9%	3.8%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-17-9	East	1534	+38	+13	102	90.5%	38%	14%	7%	2.9%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 29-24-8	West	1525	-39	-10	90	68.5%	37%	18%	6%	2.3%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 30-15-13	East	1515	+61	+2	99	82.2%	40%	14%	5%	1.8%
12	New York IslandersNYI 34-21-5	East	1512	+38	+11	98	78.8%	36%	13%	4%	1.6%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 29-22-8	East	1526	+5	+7	93	30.6%	11%	6%	3%	1.2%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 34-20-6	East	1508	+25	-4	98	72.3%	22%	8%	3%	1.1%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 33-21-5	East	1509	+47	-1	96	56.7%	17%	7%	3%	1.0%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 32-23-3	West	1489	+27	+8	94	85.1%	34%	13%	3%	0.9%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-24-7	East	1515	-13	-1	91	28.4%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
18	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-21-8	East	1507	+24	+8	93	33.6%	15%	6%	2%	0.7%
19	Florida PanthersFLA 30-26-3	East	1523	-53	-5	89	14.5%	5%	3%	1%	0.6%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 28-22-9	West	1478	+19	-4	89	52.1%	19%	7%	2%	0.4%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 24-21-14	West	1479	-59	-20	87	38.7%	14%	5%	1%	0.4%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-24-8	West	1471	-6	-3	86	31.1%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-9	West	1484	-60	-5	81	7.9%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 28-25-4	West	1449	+49	-15	86	29.0%	8%	2%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 27-21-11	East	1472	+7	+7	89	11.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-24-9	East	1497	-47	-3	86	3.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 29-29-2	East	1477	-50	-15	84	1.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-28-6	West	1457	-22	+4	77	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 21-29-9	West	1443	-77	-8	73	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-28-9	West	1408	+2	-8	73	0.1%	<1%	<1%	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 23-29-7	East	1460	-59	-10	77	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-34-7	West	1403	-97	-18	63	—	—	—	—	—

As of: