2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Apr 30, 2026, 3:06 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 1 Series Win Probabilities

✓

COL wins series 4-0

74%

26%

MIN leads 3-2

24%

76%

VEG leads 3-2

68%

32%

ANA leads 3-2

16%

84%

BUF leads 3-2

72%

28%

MTL leads 3-2

✓

CAR wins series 4-0

✓

23%

PHI leads 3-2

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 59-16-11	West	1614	+52	+14	121	✓	✓	70%	56%	33.2%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 57-22-7	East	1607	+46	+17	113	✓	✓	79%	50%	28.6%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF 53-24-10	East	1575	+102	+3	109	✓	84%	46%	21%	10.1%
4	Montreal CanadiensMTL 51-25-11	East	1558	+62	+5	106	✓	72%	33%	13%	6.0%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 49-25-13	West	1556	+39	+11	104	✓	74%	22%	14%	5.9%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 42-28-17	West	1528	-34	+3	95	✓	76%	48%	12%	3.7%
7	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 52-27-8	East	1573	+25	-5	106	✓	28%	15%	7%	3.3%
8	Dallas StarsDAL 52-22-13	West	1563	+7	-11	112	✓	26%	9%	6%	3.0%
9	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 46-29-12	East	1525	+60	+6	98	✓	✓	17%	6%	2.1%
10	Utah MammothUTA 45-34-8	West	1522	+12	-3	92	✓	24%	15%	4%	1.2%
11	Edmonton OilersEDM 43-32-12	West	1520	-45	-9	93	✓	32%	15%	4%	1.1%
12	Anaheim DucksANA 46-35-6	West	1483	+20	+9	92	✓	68%	22%	4%	0.8%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 47-30-10	East	1518	+57	-3	100	✓	16%	6%	2%	0.6%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 43-28-16	East	1509	+55	-6	98	✓	23%	4%	1%	0.4%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-30-12	East	1543	+22	-11	99	✓	—	—	—	—
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-30-21	West	1467	-71	-17	90	✓	—	—	—	—
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: