2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Mar 11, 2026, 1:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 43-11-9	West	1607	+45	+10	122	>99.9%	84%	51%	39%	24.6%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 41-17-6	East	1583	+21	+3	111	>99.9%	72%	51%	28%	14.3%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 39-20-4	East	1583	+36	-22	107	99.1%	66%	39%	23%	12.3%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 40-14-10	West	1582	+25	+10	113	>99.9%	59%	27%	20%	11.1%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 40-19-6	East	1569	+96	+18	108	99.7%	64%	33%	18%	9.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 38-16-11	West	1565	+48	+8	109	>99.9%	44%	18%	12%	6.5%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 32-25-8	West	1533	-32	+4	93	88.8%	51%	28%	9%	3.6%
8	Utah MammothUTA 34-26-5	West	1529	+19	+3	94	93.7%	45%	26%	8%	3.1%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 35-18-10	East	1532	+36	+4	102	90.1%	34%	14%	7%	2.7%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 32-22-9	East	1538	+17	+19	96	49.4%	19%	10%	5%	2.0%
11	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-22-14	West	1515	-48	-12	92	84.7%	42%	20%	5%	1.8%
12	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 33-21-9	East	1522	+39	+15	97	62.2%	32%	12%	5%	1.8%
13	New York IslandersNYI 37-23-5	East	1510	+36	-2	98	77.5%	35%	11%	4%	1.3%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 32-17-15	East	1508	+54	-13	98	74.1%	33%	11%	4%	1.3%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 36-25-3	West	1494	+32	+3	95	95.4%	40%	16%	3%	1.1%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 36-22-7	East	1508	+25	-0	98	65.0%	18%	7%	3%	1.0%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 36-22-6	East	1510	+48	+1	97	61.4%	18%	7%	3%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 32-26-7	East	1511	-16	-6	90	11.3%	5%	2%	<1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-23-15	West	1475	-64	-0	86	32.0%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-25-9	West	1466	+7	-7	85	30.6%	9%	3%	<1%	0.2%
21	Florida PanthersFLA 32-29-3	East	1518	-59	-6	88	3.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 29-27-8	West	1474	-3	+3	85	29.0%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 26-27-10	West	1485	-58	+2	82	9.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 30-26-6	West	1448	+48	-1	86	34.1%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 29-23-11	East	1466	+0	-1	88	5.4%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 25-29-10	West	1464	-56	+21	78	1.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 32-30-2	East	1484	-42	+13	85	1.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 25-32-7	West	1438	-42	-17	74	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 24-29-11	West	1412	+6	+4	75	0.1%	<1%	—	—	—
30	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-27-11	East	1475	-69	-22	82	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 26-30-8	East	1472	-47	+12	79	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 19-37-8	West	1398	-103	-6	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: