2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Mar 2, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-16-4	East	1605	+58	-3	112	>99.9%	77%	53%	36%	22.1%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 39-10-9	West	1597	+35	-7	119	>99.9%	81%	50%	37%	21.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 38-15-6	East	1580	+18	+16	111	>99.9%	71%	49%	25%	13.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 36-14-9	West	1571	+15	+13	110	>99.9%	60%	28%	20%	9.9%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 35-19-6	East	1551	+78	+6	103	95.9%	51%	21%	11%	5.2%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 35-16-10	West	1549	+32	-0	106	>99.9%	43%	17%	11%	4.6%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-18-14	West	1527	-36	+3	96	93.2%	51%	28%	9%	3.4%
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-17-9	East	1534	+38	+13	102	90.2%	37%	14%	6%	2.9%
9	Utah MammothUTA 31-25-4	West	1526	+16	-1	92	81.7%	37%	21%	8%	2.8%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 29-24-8	West	1525	-39	-10	90	68.6%	37%	20%	7%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-15-13	East	1522	+68	+13	100	87.4%	44%	16%	6%	2.5%
12	New York IslandersNYI 35-21-5	East	1515	+41	+19	99	83.4%	38%	14%	4%	1.7%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 33-23-3	West	1491	+29	+16	95	89.1%	38%	15%	4%	1.1%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 34-20-6	East	1508	+25	-4	98	72.4%	22%	8%	3%	1.1%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 33-21-5	East	1509	+47	-1	96	56.9%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
16	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 29-22-8	East	1526	+5	+7	93	30.0%	11%	5%	2%	1.0%
17	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 29-21-8	East	1507	+24	+8	93	32.3%	13%	5%	2%	0.7%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-24-7	East	1515	-13	-1	92	27.3%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 28-22-9	West	1478	+19	-4	89	52.3%	19%	7%	2%	0.5%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 24-21-14	West	1479	-59	-20	87	39.0%	14%	6%	2%	0.4%
21	Florida PanthersFLA 30-27-3	East	1520	-56	-3	88	8.7%	3%	2%	<1%	0.4%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-24-8	West	1471	-6	-3	86	32.1%	7%	3%	<1%	0.2%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 29-25-4	West	1453	+52	-9	87	34.9%	10%	3%	<1%	0.1%
24	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 27-21-11	East	1472	+7	+7	89	10.8%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-24-9	East	1497	-47	-3	86	3.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-10	West	1480	-63	-12	81	6.6%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 29-29-2	East	1477	-50	-15	84	1.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-28-7	West	1455	-25	-1	77	1.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 22-29-9	West	1451	-69	+5	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-28-9	West	1419	+13	+8	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 23-29-7	East	1460	-59	-10	77	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-34-7	West	1403	-97	-18	63	—	—	—	—	—

As of: