2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Mar 4, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 41-10-9	West	1606	+44	+8	121	>99.9%	84%	51%	39%	24.2%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-17-4	East	1598	+50	-13	111	99.8%	75%	50%	33%	18.6%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 38-16-6	East	1576	+14	+10	110	99.8%	70%	48%	24%	12.6%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 38-14-9	West	1582	+25	+18	112	>99.9%	61%	29%	21%	11.5%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 36-19-6	East	1554	+81	+11	104	97.1%	54%	23%	12%	5.5%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 36-16-10	West	1556	+39	+4	107	>99.9%	42%	17%	11%	5.2%
7	Utah MammothUTA 32-25-4	West	1530	+20	-1	94	87.4%	41%	24%	8%	2.9%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-19-14	West	1524	-38	-3	95	90.2%	48%	26%	8%	2.9%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 30-24-8	West	1528	-36	+1	91	75.0%	41%	22%	7%	2.8%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-18-9	East	1529	+33	+1	101	84.3%	32%	13%	6%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-16-13	East	1519	+65	+13	99	81.3%	39%	15%	6%	2.1%
12	New York IslandersNYI 35-21-5	East	1515	+41	+19	99	83.0%	38%	14%	5%	1.6%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-20-6	East	1513	+30	+7	99	80.1%	26%	10%	4%	1.4%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 34-21-5	East	1512	+50	-2	97	64.1%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 31-21-8	East	1512	+30	+1	94	44.7%	20%	8%	3%	1.1%
16	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 29-22-9	East	1523	+2	+1	93	27.2%	10%	5%	2%	0.9%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 33-24-3	West	1486	+24	+7	94	84.4%	33%	13%	3%	0.8%
18	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-22-9	West	1482	+23	+4	90	63.1%	23%	9%	2%	0.6%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-25-7	East	1511	-17	+1	90	16.7%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 24-22-14	West	1475	-63	-18	86	29.6%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
21	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-4	West	1458	+58	+3	88	45.0%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-21-11	East	1476	+10	+6	90	13.5%	5%	1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Florida PanthersFLA 30-28-3	East	1513	-63	-12	87	4.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 24-26-10	West	1483	-61	-8	82	8.0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-26-8	West	1464	-13	-10	84	16.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 30-29-2	East	1484	-43	-1	85	2.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-24-10	East	1493	-51	-12	86	2.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-29-7	West	1449	-30	-2	76	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 22-29-9	West	1451	-69	+5	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-28-10	West	1417	+11	-1	75	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 23-29-8	East	1457	-63	-10	76	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-35-7	West	1399	-102	-19	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: