2026-2027 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 12:07 AM EST.

The 2026/2027 season is here!

Our Elo ratings and forecasts update multiple times/day throughout the whole season. Check back for the latest game and season-long forecasts through the playoffs.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Carolina HurricanesCAR 12-3-2	East	1602	+16	+5	115	96.9%	71%	48%	31%	18.7%
2	Edmonton OilersEDM 11-2-3	West	1570	+24	+8	111	96.3%	65%	39%	20%	10.2%
3	Minnesota WildMIN 11-3-3	West	1573	+29	+16	111	95.8%	59%	32%	19%	9.5%
4	Colorado AvalancheCOL 9-6-1	West	1574	-4	-6	106	90.0%	54%	31%	18%	9.3%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 9-3-2	East	1564	+9	-6	107	83.0%	47%	26%	13%	6.8%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 10-5-2	West	1553	-2	-6	104	88.9%	55%	28%	13%	6.2%
7	Dallas StarsDAL 9-5-1	West	1550	+4	-5	103	83.4%	41%	20%	11%	5.1%
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 9-3-3	East	1546	+5	+13	103	73.7%	36%	19%	9%	4.8%
9	Florida PanthersFLA 8-5-2	East	1547	-7	-2	101	66.4%	33%	17%	8%	4.0%
10	New Jersey DevilsNJD 10-5-0	East	1537	+21	+19	101	72.7%	36%	15%	7%	3.4%
11	Boston BruinsBOS 11-4-1	East	1532	+33	+0	102	69.4%	30%	14%	6%	3.2%
12	Washington CapitalsWSH 8-6-0	East	1539	-4	-2	98	63.8%	33%	14%	6%	3.1%
13	Utah MammothUTA 10-6-0	West	1531	+8	-2	101	77.9%	32%	15%	7%	2.8%
14	Buffalo SabresBUF 7-4-3	East	1527	-10	+3	98	56.1%	25%	11%	5%	2.5%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 9-6-1	East	1522	-1	-2	96	47.7%	21%	10%	4%	1.8%
16	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 8-7-2	East	1511	+7	+1	91	33.0%	13%	6%	3%	1.1%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 7-7-1	West	1501	-10	+4	90	46.5%	19%	8%	3%	1.0%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 4-7-2	West	1494	-13	-1	87	34.5%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 6-7-0	East	1500	-7	+11	89	29.3%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
20	New York RangersNYR 8-7-1	East	1491	+6	-16	89	29.3%	11%	4%	2%	0.7%
21	St. Louis BluesSTL 7-7-1	West	1493	+8	-6	89	38.7%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 6-4-5	West	1486	+4	+14	90	41.6%	12%	5%	2%	0.6%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 7-8-1	West	1482	-17	-19	87	31.4%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
24	New York IslandersNYI 7-5-2	East	1494	+3	-6	90	32.8%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
25	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 5-8-2	East	1491	-9	+1	85	18.6%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 8-5-1	West	1473	+15	-2	89	40.9%	14%	5%	1%	0.4%
27	Detroit Red WingsDET 7-6-3	East	1480	-5	+10	86	16.5%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
28	Winnipeg JetsWPG 5-8-3	West	1459	-17	-12	81	14.1%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
29	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 4-9-4	East	1481	-33	-9	82	10.8%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 7-8-0	West	1452	+1	+11	81	17.4%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 4-10-1	West	1419	-24	-9	70	2.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 3-13-1	West	1395	-30	-7	63	0.5%	<1%	<1%	—	—

As of: