2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Mar 20, 2026, 2:05 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 44-13-10	West	1590	+28	-22	119	>99.9%	80%	46%	34%	19.4%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 42-21-4	East	1590	+43	-1	108	99.8%	72%	43%	27%	15.6%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 43-15-10	West	1584	+28	+5	114	>99.9%	68%	36%	26%	14.5%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 43-19-6	East	1576	+14	-5	110	>99.9%	71%	47%	23%	12.4%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 43-20-6	East	1578	+105	+12	109	>99.9%	69%	36%	21%	11.8%
6	Utah MammothUTA 36-27-6	West	1537	+26	+1	95	97.7%	53%	33%	11%	4.3%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 39-19-12	West	1543	+26	-22	104	>99.9%	36%	15%	9%	3.8%
8	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 36-21-10	East	1534	+51	+21	100	79.5%	42%	18%	7%	3.0%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 34-27-9	West	1522	-42	-10	91	87.6%	47%	25%	8%	2.8%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 31-24-14	West	1512	-51	-5	91	84.3%	41%	20%	6%	1.9%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 35-24-9	East	1539	+18	+0	95	40.6%	16%	8%	4%	1.8%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 34-18-16	East	1515	+61	+5	99	83.0%	36%	13%	4%	1.8%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 37-21-10	East	1522	+27	-10	100	78.1%	24%	10%	4%	1.7%
14	New York IslandersNYI 39-25-5	East	1511	+36	+4	98	66.3%	27%	10%	3%	1.2%
15	Detroit Red WingsDET 38-23-8	East	1511	+28	+0	98	71.1%	19%	7%	3%	1.0%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 37-27-4	West	1486	+24	-1	94	94.6%	37%	14%	3%	0.9%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 38-23-8	East	1507	+45	-3	97	58.2%	16%	6%	2%	0.8%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-24-16	West	1478	-60	+1	87	40.8%	14%	5%	1%	0.4%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 34-27-8	East	1512	-16	+5	90	6.2%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
20	Nashville PredatorsNSH 31-28-9	West	1475	-2	+7	86	34.8%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-28-9	West	1464	+5	-2	84	20.9%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 33-23-12	East	1481	+16	+15	93	15.4%	5%	1%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 32-29-6	West	1449	+49	+1	86	32.9%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 28-29-11	West	1477	-66	-8	81	4.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
25	Florida PanthersFLA 34-31-3	East	1514	-62	-1	87	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 27-30-11	West	1469	-50	+2	80	2.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 35-31-2	East	1494	-32	+3	87	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 26-30-12	West	1416	+10	+8	77	0.2%	<1%	<1%	—	—
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 27-34-7	West	1439	-41	-4	74	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
30	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 29-28-12	East	1479	-65	+1	83	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-33-8	East	1468	-51	-4	77	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-39-8	West	1399	-101	-2	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: