2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Apr 23, 2026, 2:07 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Round 1 Series Win Probabilities

96%

COL leads 2-0

26%

74%

DAL leads 2-1

53%

47%

Series tied 1-1

39%

61%

Series tied 1-1

40%

60%

Series tied 1-1

46%

54%

Series tied 1-1

13%

87%

CAR leads 2-0

96%

PHI leads 3-0

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 57-16-11	West	1606	+44	+12	121	✓	96%	62%	48%	28.2%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 55-22-7	East	1599	+38	+11	113	✓	87%	65%	40%	23.0%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 52-21-12	West	1573	+16	+4	112	✓	74%	29%	20%	9.9%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 51-26-7	East	1576	+29	-4	106	✓	54%	32%	16%	8.2%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 51-24-9	East	1567	+94	+1	109	✓	60%	31%	15%	7.3%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 49-24-11	East	1554	+58	-6	106	✓	46%	24%	10%	4.7%
7	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 46-27-12	East	1535	+70	+24	98	✓	96%	26%	10%	3.7%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 40-27-17	West	1526	-37	+14	95	✓	47%	28%	8%	2.8%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 42-31-11	West	1525	-40	-7	93	✓	61%	30%	8%	2.8%
10	Utah MammothUTA 44-34-6	West	1524	+14	-10	92	✓	53%	29%	8%	2.7%
11	Minnesota WildMIN 47-25-13	West	1546	+29	-3	104	✓	26%	8%	5%	2.2%
12	Boston BruinsBOS 46-28-10	East	1526	+65	+11	100	✓	40%	14%	5%	1.9%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 44-28-12	East	1551	+30	-1	99	✓	13%	8%	4%	1.9%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 44-34-6	West	1478	+16	+2	92	✓	39%	13%	2%	0.5%
15	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 41-28-16	East	1499	+45	-25	98	✓	4%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 35-28-21	West	1475	-63	-7	90	✓	4%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 43-30-9	East	1536	+8	+14	95	—	—	—	—	—
18	St. Louis BluesSTL 37-33-12	West	1509	-10	+18	86	—	—	—	—	—
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 40-30-12	East	1508	+25	-1	92	—	—	—	—	—
20	Florida PanthersFLA 40-38-4	East	1504	-72	+10	84	—	—	—	—	—
21	New Jersey DevilsNJD 42-37-3	East	1498	-28	-11	87	—	—	—	—	—
22	New York RangersNYR 34-39-9	East	1485	-35	+6	77	—	—	—	—	—
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 41-31-10	East	1482	-1	-13	92	—	—	—	—	—
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 38-34-10	West	1482	+5	-1	86	—	—	—	—	—
25	New York IslandersNYI 43-34-5	East	1482	+7	-12	91	—	—	—	—	—
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 35-35-12	West	1473	-70	-25	82	—	—	—	—	—
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 34-39-9	West	1452	-28	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-36-14	East	1447	-97	-23	78	—	—	—	—	—
29	San Jose SharksSJS 39-35-8	West	1442	+41	-2	86	—	—	—	—	—
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 34-37-11	West	1434	-25	-2	79	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 29-39-14	West	1394	-12	-9	72	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 25-49-8	West	1383	-117	+6	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: