2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Jan 21, 2026, 1:07 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 34-5-8	West	1624	+62	-6	126	>99.9%	87%	63%	49%	32.4%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 31-13-4	East	1606	+58	+13	113	99.7%	78%	56%	39%	21.7%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 31-15-4	East	1564	+2	+5	107	98.4%	65%	43%	20%	9.1%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 28-13-9	West	1554	-2	-6	105	99.5%	54%	19%	11%	5.3%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 24-12-12	West	1542	-20	+13	101	97.1%	60%	33%	11%	4.8%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 25-18-8	West	1543	-21	-1	96	89.7%	57%	31%	10%	4.5%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 28-14-9	West	1537	+19	-10	102	98.4%	42%	13%	7%	3.1%
8	Utah MammothUTA 25-20-4	West	1525	+14	+14	93	78.5%	29%	14%	5%	2.1%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 28-15-7	East	1519	+23	+4	99	77.2%	31%	11%	5%	1.9%
10	Buffalo SabresBUF 27-17-5	East	1521	+48	+8	96	64.7%	27%	11%	5%	1.8%
11	Florida PanthersFLA 25-20-3	East	1528	-48	-2	93	43.3%	19%	9%	4%	1.8%
12	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-17-8	East	1524	-20	-9	93	43.6%	18%	8%	4%	1.7%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET 30-16-4	East	1513	+30	+12	99	75.5%	29%	10%	4%	1.5%
14	New York IslandersNYI 27-17-5	East	1503	+29	+3	96	71.4%	34%	13%	4%	1.3%
15	Washington CapitalsWSH 24-20-6	East	1511	-17	-16	90	35.9%	19%	8%	3%	1.1%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 28-20-2	East	1504	+43	+13	93	42.3%	15%	6%	3%	0.9%
17	New Jersey DevilsNJD 26-22-2	East	1499	-27	+13	91	36.2%	17%	7%	2%	0.8%
18	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 23-19-7	East	1509	-12	+10	89	22.3%	9%	4%	2%	0.7%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 20-16-13	West	1494	-45	-13	89	55.8%	22%	9%	2%	0.7%
20	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 23-14-11	East	1487	+33	+3	92	45.4%	20%	7%	2%	0.6%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 20-23-6	West	1499	-44	+6	82	16.5%	5%	2%	<1%	0.4%
22	Anaheim DucksANA 25-21-3	West	1470	+8	+15	88	45.5%	14%	5%	1%	0.4%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 23-17-8	East	1475	+10	-18	89	27.9%	11%	4%	1%	0.3%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 23-22-4	West	1476	-1	+8	85	29.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
25	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 22-20-7	East	1479	-3	+10	86	13.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	San Jose SharksSJS 25-21-3	West	1456	+55	+0	87	40.8%	11%	3%	<1%	0.2%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-23-5	West	1472	-7	+6	81	13.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	Seattle KrakenSEA 21-18-9	West	1459	+0	-12	85	28.1%	8%	3%	<1%	0.1%
29	New York RangersNYR 21-24-6	East	1476	-43	-14	81	3.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-23-8	West	1455	-65	+0	78	4.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 20-22-7	West	1424	+18	-2	76	2.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 16-28-5	West	1424	-77	-20	68	0.2%	<1%	<1%	—	—

As of: