2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Nov 17, 2025, 12:47 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 13-1-5	West	1597	+35	+22	116	99.1%	73%	46%	30%	19.3%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 12-5-1	East	1572	+10	-4	108	92.5%	62%	37%	23%	12.0%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 12-4-3	West	1562	+6	+21	106	92.6%	53%	25%	14%	7.9%
4	New Jersey DevilsNJD 13-4-1	East	1550	+23	+6	106	89.9%	53%	26%	15%	6.9%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 8-4-6	West	1550	-13	-10	101	83.2%	49%	28%	12%	6.6%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 9-8-1	East	1551	-26	+2	98	71.5%	44%	26%	13%	6.3%
7	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 9-7-2	East	1540	-7	-3	98	71.4%	42%	23%	11%	5.1%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 9-7-4	West	1543	-21	-3	98	74.6%	42%	22%	10%	5.0%
9	Winnipeg JetsWPG 11-7-0	West	1545	+2	-9	99	78.0%	37%	17%	9%	4.8%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 10-5-4	West	1537	-1	+12	101	82.1%	45%	23%	9%	4.6%
11	Washington CapitalsWSH 8-8-2	East	1520	-8	-7	92	48.7%	22%	11%	5%	2.3%
12	New York RangersNYR 10-8-2	East	1516	-3	+3	92	49.5%	22%	10%	5%	2.3%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 9-6-4	East	1511	-10	+5	92	51.1%	25%	12%	5%	2.2%
14	Utah MammothUTA 10-7-1	West	1514	+4	-15	94	60.5%	22%	9%	4%	1.9%
15	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 8-9-2	East	1516	-28	-22	89	37.0%	19%	10%	4%	1.9%
16	Montreal CanadiensMTL 10-6-2	East	1497	+1	-16	91	46.3%	20%	9%	4%	1.4%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 11-6-1	West	1495	+33	-3	94	62.3%	24%	10%	3%	1.3%
18	Minnesota WildMIN 9-7-4	West	1505	-12	+13	90	45.3%	16%	7%	3%	1.2%
19	Detroit Red WingsDET 11-7-1	East	1490	+7	-11	90	42.5%	18%	7%	3%	1.0%
20	Boston BruinsBOS 12-8-0	East	1486	+25	+15	91	44.2%	18%	7%	3%	1.0%
21	New York IslandersNYI 10-7-2	East	1486	+12	+19	90	38.9%	14%	6%	2%	0.9%
22	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 10-5-4	East	1485	+31	+3	91	43.2%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
23	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 9-7-2	East	1490	+7	-2	89	35.5%	13%	6%	2%	0.9%
24	Vancouver CanucksVAN 9-9-2	West	1489	-11	+3	87	33.9%	13%	6%	2%	0.8%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 9-6-3	East	1474	+9	-1	86	26.5%	9%	3%	1%	0.5%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 9-4-5	West	1467	+8	+9	88	35.1%	11%	4%	1%	0.4%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 6-9-4	West	1476	-44	-4	81	14.5%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
28	Buffalo SabresBUF 6-8-4	East	1457	-16	-13	79	11.4%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 9-5-4	West	1447	+41	+28	84	23.9%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 5-12-3	West	1448	-32	-14	73	4.0%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Nashville PredatorsNSH 6-10-4	West	1442	-35	-16	75	4.8%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 8-8-3	West	1415	+15	+7	75	5.9%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: