2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Oct 19, 2025, 11:19 PM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Carolina HurricanesCAR 5-0-0	East	1580	+19	+19	110	93.6%	64%	40%	25%	13.4%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 5-0-1	West	1580	+18	+11	110	93.0%	60%	35%	21%	12.0%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 4-0-2	West	1568	+5	+9	106	90.6%	59%	35%	18%	9.9%
4	Florida PanthersFLA 3-4-0	East	1557	-19	-23	99	74.5%	46%	27%	14%	7.1%
5	Winnipeg JetsWPG 4-1-0	West	1557	+14	+14	104	83.5%	45%	23%	13%	7.0%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 3-2-0	West	1556	-0	-0	102	79.6%	42%	22%	12%	6.4%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 2-3-1	West	1552	-12	-8	99	76.5%	46%	24%	12%	6.1%
8	New Jersey DevilsNJD 4-1-0	East	1541	+15	+15	101	79.4%	43%	20%	11%	5.1%
9	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 3-2-1	East	1539	-5	-9	98	70.0%	39%	20%	10%	4.8%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 4-2-0	East	1534	+6	+13	98	70.9%	36%	17%	8%	3.9%
11	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 1-3-2	East	1531	-17	-13	94	57.8%	31%	16%	7%	3.4%
12	Los Angeles KingsLAK 1-3-2	West	1520	-18	-12	93	55.0%	27%	12%	5%	2.4%
13	New York RangersNYR 3-3-1	East	1518	-2	-0	93	54.8%	25%	11%	5%	2.3%
14	St. Louis BluesSTL 3-2-0	West	1516	-3	-3	94	55.8%	22%	10%	4%	2.1%
15	Vancouver CanucksVAN 4-2-0	West	1510	+9	+4	95	62.0%	27%	11%	5%	2.0%
16	Utah MammothUTA 4-2-0	West	1514	+4	+6	94	56.2%	22%	9%	4%	2.0%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 5-1-0	East	1502	+19	+27	94	58.0%	24%	10%	4%	1.6%
18	Montreal CanadiensMTL 4-2-0	East	1503	+7	+12	92	51.4%	22%	10%	4%	1.5%
19	Minnesota WildMIN 2-3-1	West	1507	-10	-18	91	43.7%	16%	7%	3%	1.5%
20	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2-4-0	East	1503	-18	-22	88	38.4%	17%	8%	3%	1.4%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2-3-0	East	1483	+0	+0	85	30.0%	11%	4%	2%	0.8%
22	New York IslandersNYI 2-3-0	East	1471	-3	-3	83	24.0%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
23	Buffalo SabresBUF 2-3-0	East	1472	-1	-1	83	23.9%	9%	4%	1%	0.5%
24	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 2-2-1	East	1467	+2	+2	84	24.6%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 2-2-2	West	1474	-3	-6	85	26.7%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
26	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 4-2-0	East	1468	+14	+6	85	28.1%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
27	Seattle KrakenSEA 3-0-2	West	1467	+8	+8	86	34.0%	12%	4%	1%	0.4%
28	Boston BruinsBOS 3-4-0	East	1464	+3	-6	82	20.7%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 1-5-0	West	1461	-19	-23	79	15.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Anaheim DucksANA 2-2-1	West	1455	-7	-7	81	20.2%	7%	2%	<1%	0.2%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 3-2-2	West	1418	+12	+16	75	6.8%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 0-3-2	West	1383	-18	-18	64	1.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: