2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Jan 20, 2026, 10:06 PM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 34-5-8	West	1624	+62	-6	126	>99.9%	87%	64%	49%	32.5%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 31-13-4	East	1606	+58	+13	113	99.7%	78%	56%	39%	21.8%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 31-15-4	East	1564	+2	+5	107	98.5%	65%	44%	20%	9.0%
4	Edmonton OilersEDM 25-17-8	West	1547	-17	+8	98	93.1%	60%	33%	12%	5.1%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 24-12-12	West	1542	-20	+13	101	97.1%	61%	33%	11%	4.9%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 27-13-9	West	1549	-7	-15	104	99.1%	51%	17%	10%	4.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 28-14-9	West	1537	+19	-10	102	98.1%	43%	14%	7%	3.1%
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 28-15-7	East	1519	+23	+4	99	77.8%	32%	12%	5%	2.1%
9	Utah MammothUTA 25-20-4	West	1525	+14	+14	93	77.4%	29%	13%	5%	1.9%
10	Florida PanthersFLA 25-20-3	East	1528	-48	-2	93	43.0%	19%	9%	4%	1.8%
11	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-17-8	East	1524	-20	-9	93	43.9%	18%	8%	4%	1.6%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 30-16-4	East	1513	+30	+12	99	75.9%	29%	10%	5%	1.6%
13	Buffalo SabresBUF 26-17-5	East	1516	+43	-0	95	56.4%	23%	9%	4%	1.6%
14	New York IslandersNYI 27-17-5	East	1503	+29	+3	96	72.1%	34%	13%	4%	1.3%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 28-19-2	East	1509	+48	+26	94	51.8%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
16	Washington CapitalsWSH 24-20-6	East	1511	-17	-16	90	36.5%	19%	8%	3%	1.1%
17	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 23-19-7	East	1509	-12	+10	89	22.2%	9%	4%	2%	0.7%
18	New Jersey DevilsNJD 25-22-2	East	1495	-32	+6	89	28.5%	14%	5%	2%	0.7%
19	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 23-14-11	East	1487	+33	+3	92	46.9%	20%	7%	2%	0.6%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 19-16-13	West	1491	-47	-11	89	49.1%	19%	7%	2%	0.6%
21	Anaheim DucksANA 25-21-3	West	1470	+8	+15	88	45.2%	14%	5%	1%	0.3%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 23-21-4	West	1481	+4	+5	86	37.4%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 23-17-8	East	1475	+10	-18	89	28.6%	12%	4%	1%	0.3%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 19-23-6	West	1495	-48	+5	81	13.0%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
25	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 22-20-7	East	1479	-3	+10	86	13.1%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 21-18-9	West	1459	+0	-12	85	27.6%	8%	3%	<1%	0.2%
27	San Jose SharksSJS 25-21-3	West	1456	+55	+0	87	39.8%	11%	3%	<1%	0.2%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-23-5	West	1472	-7	+6	81	13.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	New York RangersNYR 21-23-6	East	1479	-40	-19	82	5.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-22-8	West	1458	-61	+0	79	7.2%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 20-22-7	West	1424	+18	-2	76	2.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 16-28-5	West	1424	-77	-20	68	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: