2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Mar 7, 2026, 7:06 PM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 42-10-9	West	1610	+47	+7	122	>99.9%	84%	53%	41%	25.9%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-18-4	East	1590	+43	-25	109	99.7%	73%	46%	28%	15.3%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 40-16-6	East	1585	+23	+12	112	>99.9%	74%	53%	29%	15.2%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 38-14-10	West	1578	+22	+13	112	>99.9%	57%	26%	18%	10.2%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 37-19-6	East	1561	+88	+26	106	98.9%	59%	28%	15%	7.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 37-16-10	West	1561	+44	+7	108	>99.9%	44%	18%	12%	5.7%
7	Utah MammothUTA 33-25-4	West	1536	+26	-0	95	91.6%	46%	28%	9%	3.6%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-20-14	West	1523	-40	-14	94	89.8%	47%	25%	7%	2.6%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-18-10	East	1525	+30	-0	100	85.4%	31%	12%	6%	2.2%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 30-25-8	West	1522	-42	-2	90	64.3%	33%	17%	5%	2.0%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-17-13	East	1512	+58	-2	97	76.6%	37%	12%	4%	1.5%
12	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 30-22-9	East	1529	+8	+9	94	40.0%	15%	8%	3%	1.5%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 32-21-8	East	1517	+34	+2	95	59.4%	29%	11%	4%	1.4%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 35-22-5	East	1510	+48	+0	96	64.4%	19%	8%	3%	1.1%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 35-24-3	West	1496	+34	+10	96	93.3%	39%	16%	4%	1.1%
16	New York IslandersNYI 35-23-5	East	1503	+29	-1	97	69.9%	30%	9%	3%	1.0%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-21-7	East	1504	+21	-4	98	71.1%	20%	7%	3%	0.8%
18	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-23-9	West	1478	+19	-6	88	49.5%	17%	6%	1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-22-14	West	1480	-58	-8	87	37.8%	13%	5%	1%	0.4%
20	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-26-7	East	1507	-21	-7	89	12.8%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
21	Florida PanthersFLA 31-29-3	East	1515	-61	-12	87	4.4%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 25-26-10	West	1490	-53	+7	83	11.8%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-5	West	1455	+54	+2	88	39.8%	11%	4%	<1%	0.1%
24	New Jersey DevilsNJD 32-29-2	East	1491	-36	+16	87	5.6%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 28-26-8	West	1470	-7	+0	85	21.0%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-22-11	East	1470	+5	+3	88	10.7%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
27	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-25-11	East	1483	-61	-26	84	0.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 24-29-9	West	1458	-61	+17	77	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-30-7	West	1444	-36	-11	74	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-29-10	West	1409	+3	-4	73	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 24-30-8	East	1459	-61	-2	76	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 19-36-7	West	1403	-97	-8	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: