2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Dec 6, 2025, 11:24 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 19-2-6	West	1605	+43	-2	119	99.9%	77%	48%	34%	22.4%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 19-5-5	West	1582	+25	+13	112	99.2%	65%	32%	21%	12.5%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 16-9-2	East	1566	+18	+7	104	90.9%	60%	37%	20%	9.9%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 16-8-2	East	1560	-2	-16	105	88.3%	54%	31%	18%	8.6%
5	Washington CapitalsWSH 17-9-3	East	1556	+28	+18	103	86.1%	50%	27%	15%	7.0%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 13-6-8	West	1546	-16	-2	101	90.1%	54%	31%	12%	6.1%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 12-11-5	West	1535	-30	+7	95	71.5%	40%	21%	8%	3.8%
8	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 13-11-3	East	1532	-12	+24	93	53.8%	30%	15%	7%	3.2%
9	New York RangersNYR 15-12-2	East	1527	+7	+17	95	54.7%	26%	13%	6%	2.8%
10	Florida PanthersFLA 12-12-2	East	1529	-47	-21	91	44.4%	25%	13%	6%	2.7%
11	Winnipeg JetsWPG 14-12-1	West	1529	-15	-7	93	64.7%	25%	11%	5%	2.5%
12	Minnesota WildMIN 15-8-5	West	1523	+6	-1	97	78.8%	28%	11%	5%	2.5%
13	Los Angeles KingsLAK 12-8-7	West	1518	-20	-8	95	71.2%	36%	17%	5%	2.4%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 16-11-1	East	1519	-8	-20	95	57.5%	26%	12%	5%	2.3%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 13-10-4	East	1512	-10	-3	92	49.9%	24%	11%	5%	1.8%
16	Utah MammothUTA 14-12-3	West	1511	+1	+4	91	57.6%	19%	8%	3%	1.5%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 17-10-1	West	1494	+32	-2	95	70.6%	29%	11%	3%	1.2%
18	Montreal CanadiensMTL 14-9-3	East	1497	+1	+4	92	47.0%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
19	New York IslandersNYI 15-10-3	East	1494	+20	-4	92	42.4%	16%	7%	3%	1.0%
20	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 15-8-3	East	1493	+28	+14	93	45.5%	17%	7%	3%	1.0%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 14-7-5	East	1486	+33	+13	92	44.8%	16%	6%	2%	0.8%
22	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 13-9-5	East	1487	+4	-3	90	32.9%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 16-13-0	East	1482	+20	+4	88	32.1%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
24	Detroit Red WingsDET 14-11-3	East	1470	-13	-16	85	20.3%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 11-8-6	West	1454	-6	-13	84	27.4%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
26	Calgary FlamesCGY 10-15-4	West	1464	-15	+2	78	11.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Buffalo SabresBUF 11-13-4	East	1463	-11	-4	80	9.3%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 9-12-7	West	1465	-55	-8	79	11.3%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
29	Vancouver CanucksVAN 10-15-3	West	1463	-38	-10	79	11.2%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Nashville PredatorsNSH 10-13-4	West	1450	-27	+18	77	8.4%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 12-9-6	West	1442	+35	+2	82	18.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 13-13-3	West	1422	+22	-0	77	8.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: