2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections
Last updated Sun, May 17, 2026, 12:52 AM EDT.
Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.
Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.
This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.
This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.
Please note that the playoff bracket is a work in progress.
Western Conference
Stanley Cup Final
Eastern Conference
First Round
Second Round
Conference Finals
Conference Finals
Second Round
First Round
First Round
0%
0
100%
4
100%
4
0%
2
0%
2
100%
4
100%
4
0%
2
Second Round
0%
1
100%
4
0%
2
100%
4
Conference Finals
78%
0
22%
0
Stanley Cup Final
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
Conference Finals
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
Second Round
41%
3
59%
3
0%
0
100%
4
First Round
0%
2
100%
4
100%
4
0%
3
0%
0
100%
4
100%
4
0%
2
Probabilities based on 50,000 simulations