2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Apr 14, 2026, 1:04 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 49-14-10	West	1601	+39	+7	121	>99.9%	86%	56%	43%	25.5%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 46-21-6	East	1596	+49	+0	110	>99.9%	72%	45%	30%	17.7%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 46-21-6	East	1576	+14	+0	109	>99.9%	68%	48%	24%	12.7%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 44-18-12	West	1568	+12	-13	110	>99.9%	62%	27%	19%	9.4%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 45-21-8	East	1568	+95	-10	108	>99.9%	60%	27%	16%	8.3%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 42-21-10	East	1550	+54	+27	105	99.3%	42%	18%	9%	4.3%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 37-28-9	West	1531	-33	+1	93	98.4%	60%	35%	11%	4.0%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 41-21-12	West	1539	+22	-9	104	>99.9%	38%	13%	8%	3.5%
9	Utah MammothUTA 38-30-6	West	1523	+13	-14	92	96.0%	49%	26%	8%	2.7%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 38-25-10	East	1541	+20	+2	97	51.4%	18%	10%	4%	2.1%
11	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-24-11	East	1527	+44	-11	97	55.4%	29%	11%	4%	1.7%
12	Boston BruinsBOS 42-24-8	East	1521	+59	+14	100	88.2%	26%	11%	4%	1.6%
13	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 37-21-16	East	1512	+59	-5	99	84.0%	40%	13%	4%	1.5%
14	Anaheim DucksANA 41-28-5	West	1497	+35	+3	97	99.9%	45%	19%	5%	1.3%
15	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 33-26-16	West	1500	-63	-6	90	84.3%	34%	15%	4%	1.1%
16	New York IslandersNYI 42-28-5	East	1503	+29	-2	96	51.2%	21%	7%	2%	0.8%
17	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 37-24-12	East	1498	+33	+18	95	31.7%	13%	4%	1%	0.5%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-26-8	East	1504	+21	-2	96	31.1%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 37-28-9	East	1517	-11	+5	92	7.5%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
20	Nashville PredatorsNSH 34-31-9	West	1475	-2	-6	86	25.9%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 28-26-18	West	1467	-71	-11	86	23.7%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 31-30-12	West	1490	-53	+13	84	11.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-29-11	West	1461	+2	-7	85	25.8%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 34-31-7	West	1444	+44	-5	86	29.8%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 31-31-11	West	1485	-34	+16	82	5.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 38-33-2	East	1504	-23	+9	88	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 31-35-8	West	1451	-29	+5	77	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
28	Florida PanthersFLA 35-35-3	East	1496	-80	-18	83	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 32-30-13	East	1479	-64	+3	84	—	—	—	—	—
30	New York RangersNYR 30-35-9	East	1470	-50	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-34-13	West	1401	-5	-11	74	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-44-8	West	1377	-123	-22	57	—	—	—	—	—

As of: