2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Apr 14, 2026, 1:04 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 46-13-10	West	1597	+35	-15	120	>99.9%	83%	51%	38%	22.0%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 43-21-5	East	1592	+44	+5	108	99.8%	71%	42%	26%	14.9%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 45-19-6	East	1585	+23	+10	111	>99.9%	72%	51%	26%	14.9%
4	Buffalo SabresBUF 44-20-7	East	1579	+106	+14	109	>99.9%	68%	35%	21%	11.3%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 43-16-11	West	1577	+20	-10	112	>99.9%	63%	30%	22%	11.3%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 40-19-12	West	1546	+29	-14	105	>99.9%	38%	15%	9%	3.9%
7	Utah MammothUTA 37-28-6	West	1531	+21	+6	94	97.3%	51%	30%	10%	3.6%
8	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 37-22-10	East	1535	+52	+16	99	76.2%	42%	17%	6%	2.8%
9	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 37-24-9	East	1546	+24	+7	97	56.2%	21%	11%	5%	2.5%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 34-28-9	West	1517	-48	-11	90	83.7%	44%	22%	7%	2.4%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 38-21-10	East	1528	+32	-8	100	82.8%	26%	11%	4%	2.0%
12	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 32-25-14	West	1510	-53	-10	91	88.7%	44%	21%	6%	1.8%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 39-27-4	West	1498	+36	+8	96	99.2%	43%	19%	5%	1.3%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 35-19-16	East	1511	+57	+9	99	78.6%	34%	11%	3%	1.3%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 39-23-8	East	1513	+51	+10	98	67.9%	18%	7%	3%	1.1%
16	New York IslandersNYI 40-26-5	East	1508	+34	+2	98	61.9%	25%	8%	3%	1.0%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 38-24-8	East	1505	+22	-3	97	50.6%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
18	Nashville PredatorsNSH 33-28-9	West	1484	+7	+14	88	57.7%	12%	4%	1%	0.4%
19	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 34-23-12	East	1487	+22	+15	94	19.5%	7%	2%	<1%	0.2%
20	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-25-17	West	1471	-67	-8	86	30.1%	10%	4%	<1%	0.2%
21	Washington CapitalsWSH 35-27-9	East	1512	-16	+6	91	6.3%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
22	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-29-9	West	1460	+1	-1	83	14.5%	4%	2%	<1%	0.1%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 32-30-6	West	1443	+42	-12	85	20.8%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 29-29-12	West	1478	-65	-6	82	4.9%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 28-30-11	West	1474	-46	+10	81	2.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 35-32-2	East	1492	-35	+7	86	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Florida PanthersFLA 34-32-3	East	1507	-69	-10	85	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 29-34-7	West	1450	-29	+8	76	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 26-31-13	West	1410	+3	-8	76	0.0%	—	—	—	—
30	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 29-29-13	East	1472	-72	-7	82	—	—	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-34-9	East	1462	-57	-25	76	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-40-8	West	1395	-106	-3	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: