2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 44-13-9	West	1594	+32	-15	119	>99.9%	81%	48%	36%	21.1%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 42-18-6	East	1581	+19	+2	110	>99.9%	72%	51%	28%	15.3%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 42-15-10	West	1581	+24	+2	113	>99.9%	65%	33%	23%	13.3%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 40-21-4	East	1581	+34	-9	106	99.2%	68%	40%	24%	13.0%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 41-20-6	East	1567	+94	+6	107	99.7%	64%	33%	18%	9.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 38-18-12	West	1546	+29	-15	105	>99.9%	38%	15%	9%	4.1%
7	Utah MammothUTA 35-27-6	West	1529	+19	-11	93	91.6%	44%	25%	8%	3.4%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 33-26-9	West	1528	-37	+5	92	83.9%	46%	24%	8%	3.2%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 31-22-14	West	1524	-38	-4	94	90.9%	48%	26%	8%	3.1%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 34-23-9	East	1542	+21	+13	96	52.4%	21%	11%	5%	2.6%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 36-20-10	East	1525	+29	-1	100	83.9%	30%	12%	5%	2.2%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 34-18-15	East	1518	+64	+10	99	86.4%	41%	14%	5%	2.0%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 34-21-10	East	1522	+40	+10	98	67.6%	33%	13%	5%	2.0%
14	New York IslandersNYI 38-24-5	East	1508	+34	-0	98	71.0%	30%	10%	4%	1.3%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 37-27-3	West	1490	+28	-6	94	92.7%	37%	15%	4%	1.0%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 37-23-8	East	1506	+23	+2	98	66.1%	19%	7%	3%	1.0%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 37-23-7	East	1504	+42	-6	96	55.7%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
18	Los Angeles KingsLAK 27-24-15	West	1482	-57	+1	88	37.1%	12%	5%	1%	0.4%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 31-26-9	West	1474	+15	-4	87	34.2%	11%	4%	<1%	0.3%
20	San Jose SharksSJS 32-27-6	West	1458	+58	+4	88	46.1%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
21	Washington CapitalsWSH 33-27-8	East	1506	-22	-5	89	6.0%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
22	Winnipeg JetsWPG 28-28-10	West	1487	-56	-3	83	7.9%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	Florida PanthersFLA 33-30-3	East	1513	-63	-0	87	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 29-28-9	West	1467	-10	+3	84	13.7%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 31-23-12	East	1473	+8	+4	90	9.2%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 27-30-10	West	1473	-47	+14	80	1.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 34-31-2	East	1488	-39	+1	86	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 29-27-12	East	1484	-59	+1	84	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 25-30-11	West	1413	+7	-4	75	0.1%	<1%	—	—	—
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 26-34-7	West	1436	-44	-12	73	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 28-31-8	East	1480	-40	+21	80	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 20-38-8	West	1395	-105	-0	61	—	—	—	—	—

As of: