2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 43-10-9	West	1612	+50	+17	123	>99.9%	85%	54%	42%	26.8%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 39-19-4	East	1592	+45	-23	109	99.6%	71%	45%	28%	15.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 40-17-6	East	1581	+19	+5	110	>99.9%	71%	51%	27%	13.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 39-14-10	West	1580	+23	+10	112	>99.9%	59%	26%	19%	10.2%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 39-19-6	East	1566	+93	+24	107	99.6%	62%	30%	17%	7.8%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 37-16-11	West	1559	+42	-3	108	>99.9%	43%	17%	11%	5.4%
7	Utah MammothUTA 34-25-5	West	1535	+25	-2	95	95.3%	49%	30%	9%	3.8%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 31-25-8	West	1528	-36	+8	91	78.3%	43%	23%	7%	2.7%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 34-18-10	East	1529	+33	-4	101	87.9%	32%	13%	6%	2.4%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 29-21-14	West	1517	-46	-17	93	86.6%	44%	22%	6%	2.1%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 32-22-9	East	1538	+17	+19	96	51.6%	20%	10%	5%	2.0%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 32-17-14	East	1510	+57	-4	98	76.7%	37%	12%	4%	1.3%
13	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 32-21-9	East	1513	+31	+3	95	52.2%	25%	9%	3%	1.2%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 36-21-7	East	1510	+27	-2	99	75.9%	22%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	New York IslandersNYI 36-23-5	East	1507	+32	-2	98	74.4%	34%	11%	3%	1.1%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 35-22-6	East	1507	+46	-7	96	56.7%	16%	6%	2%	0.9%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 35-25-3	West	1487	+25	-2	94	90.1%	35%	13%	3%	0.7%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 32-26-7	East	1511	-16	-6	90	14.0%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 25-23-14	West	1477	-61	-7	86	31.2%	11%	4%	1%	0.3%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-24-9	West	1472	+13	-8	87	41.5%	14%	5%	1%	0.3%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 26-26-10	West	1492	-51	+6	84	16.2%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
22	San Jose SharksSJS 30-25-6	West	1452	+51	+6	87	40.3%	11%	3%	<1%	0.1%
23	Florida PanthersFLA 31-29-3	East	1515	-61	-12	87	3.0%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 28-27-8	West	1468	-9	-5	84	18.3%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 29-23-11	East	1466	+0	-1	88	6.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 32-30-2	East	1484	-42	+13	85	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 25-29-9	West	1467	-52	+19	79	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 25-31-7	West	1443	-36	-14	75	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-26-11	East	1478	-66	-25	83	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 24-29-11	West	1412	+6	+4	75	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 25-30-8	East	1467	-52	+10	78	0.0%	<1%	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 19-37-8	West	1398	-103	-6	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: