2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 40-10-9	West	1601	+38	+5	120	>99.9%	82%	51%	38%	22.4%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 38-16-4	East	1605	+58	-3	112	99.9%	77%	53%	36%	21.9%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 38-16-6	East	1576	+14	+10	110	99.8%	69%	47%	23%	12.2%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 37-14-9	West	1576	+20	+14	111	>99.9%	62%	29%	21%	11.0%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 35-19-6	East	1551	+78	+6	103	95.4%	50%	21%	11%	5.1%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 35-16-10	West	1549	+32	-0	105	>99.9%	41%	16%	10%	4.4%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 28-18-14	West	1527	-36	+3	96	93.3%	51%	29%	9%	3.2%
8	Montreal CanadiensMTL 33-17-9	East	1534	+38	+13	102	89.8%	37%	14%	7%	2.9%
9	Utah MammothUTA 31-25-4	West	1526	+16	-1	92	82.3%	37%	21%	7%	2.6%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 29-24-8	West	1525	-39	-10	90	69.9%	37%	20%	7%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 31-15-13	East	1522	+68	+13	100	85.8%	43%	17%	6%	2.3%
12	New York IslandersNYI 35-21-5	East	1515	+41	+19	99	81.9%	37%	14%	5%	1.7%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET 35-20-6	East	1513	+30	+7	99	79.0%	25%	9%	3%	1.3%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 33-21-5	East	1509	+47	-1	96	54.4%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 33-23-3	West	1491	+29	+16	95	89.6%	38%	15%	4%	1.0%
16	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 29-22-8	East	1526	+5	+7	93	27.9%	10%	5%	2%	1.0%
17	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 30-21-8	East	1510	+27	+6	94	36.8%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 31-24-7	East	1515	-13	-1	92	25.1%	11%	5%	2%	0.7%
19	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-22-9	West	1482	+23	+4	90	64.5%	24%	9%	2%	0.6%
20	Florida PanthersFLA 30-27-3	East	1520	-56	-3	88	7.5%	3%	1%	<1%	0.3%
21	Los Angeles KingsLAK 24-22-14	West	1475	-63	-18	86	31.2%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 27-25-8	West	1466	-11	-10	85	23.3%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 28-21-11	East	1476	+10	+6	90	13.3%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 29-25-4	West	1453	+52	-9	87	36.1%	10%	3%	<1%	0.1%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 23-26-10	West	1480	-63	-12	81	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 27-24-10	East	1493	-51	-12	86	2.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 29-29-2	East	1477	-50	-15	84	1.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 24-28-7	West	1455	-25	-1	77	1.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 22-29-9	West	1451	-69	+5	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 23-28-9	West	1419	+13	+8	75	0.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	New York RangersNYR 23-29-8	East	1457	-63	-10	76	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-35-7	West	1399	-102	-19	62	—	—	—	—	—

As of: