2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 35-14-4	East	1608	+61	+3	113	99.9%	78%	56%	40%	25.1%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 36-9-9	West	1596	+34	-12	119	>99.9%	80%	50%	36%	20.9%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 34-15-6	East	1566	+4	+2	108	99.1%	65%	43%	19%	9.9%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 33-14-9	West	1564	+8	+13	108	>99.9%	56%	25%	16%	8.1%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 33-14-10	West	1552	+34	+12	106	99.9%	47%	20%	12%	5.5%
6	Buffalo SabresBUF 32-18-5	East	1545	+72	+18	101	89.0%	44%	18%	10%	4.5%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 28-20-8	West	1535	-29	-8	95	84.4%	49%	27%	10%	4.0%
8	Utah MammothUTA 29-23-4	West	1531	+21	-2	94	79.1%	34%	19%	8%	3.1%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-16-14	West	1524	-39	-22	96	85.5%	46%	24%	8%	2.9%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 31-17-8	East	1525	+30	+12	100	82.2%	33%	12%	6%	2.5%
11	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 28-15-11	East	1509	+55	+15	97	74.0%	35%	14%	4%	1.7%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 33-18-6	East	1513	+30	-2	99	78.8%	28%	9%	4%	1.5%
13	Boston BruinsBOS 32-20-4	East	1512	+51	+5	96	62.4%	21%	8%	3%	1.4%
14	Washington CapitalsWSH 28-22-7	East	1515	-13	+3	92	38.1%	20%	9%	3%	1.3%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 27-21-7	East	1522	+1	+18	92	28.9%	11%	5%	2%	1.2%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 23-17-14	West	1500	-39	+3	92	67.0%	29%	13%	4%	1.2%
17	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 27-20-7	East	1504	+22	+21	92	39.5%	19%	8%	3%	0.9%
18	Florida PanthersFLA 28-24-3	East	1523	-53	-12	90	19.6%	8%	4%	2%	0.9%
19	New York IslandersNYI 30-21-5	East	1496	+22	+7	94	50.6%	22%	8%	2%	0.8%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 26-19-9	West	1482	+23	+17	90	54.3%	20%	8%	2%	0.7%
21	Anaheim DucksANA 29-23-3	West	1478	+16	+3	91	58.8%	21%	8%	2%	0.5%
22	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 26-21-9	East	1504	-40	-10	89	11.4%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
23	New Jersey DevilsNJD 28-25-2	East	1491	-36	-8	88	16.1%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 26-23-6	West	1476	-1	-5	86	28.5%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 22-25-8	West	1490	-53	-5	82	9.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.3%
26	San Jose SharksSJS 27-23-4	West	1455	+55	-0	87	31.6%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
27	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 24-20-10	East	1464	-1	-9	86	10.1%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 22-27-6	West	1451	-29	-15	76	1.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 20-27-9	West	1443	-76	-10	74	0.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 22-25-9	West	1417	+11	-10	76	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
31	New York RangersNYR 22-28-6	East	1464	-55	-12	77	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 18-32-6	West	1414	-86	-10	65	—	—	—	—	—

As of: