2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Tue, Apr 14, 2026, 1:04 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 35-6-9	West	1612	+50	-20	123	>99.9%	86%	60%	45%	28.6%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 33-14-4	East	1603	+56	+6	112	99.7%	76%	53%	37%	21.6%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 32-15-5	East	1565	+3	+16	107	98.5%	65%	43%	20%	9.7%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 29-14-9	West	1553	-4	-6	104	99.4%	53%	20%	12%	5.7%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-14-12	West	1538	-25	-4	99	95.2%	56%	31%	11%	4.6%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 27-19-8	West	1541	-24	-2	96	88.6%	53%	30%	11%	4.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 29-14-10	West	1535	+18	+6	102	98.6%	42%	15%	7%	3.2%
8	Buffalo SabresBUF 29-17-5	East	1535	+62	+13	99	78.9%	36%	15%	7%	3.2%
9	Florida PanthersFLA 28-20-3	East	1540	-36	+11	96	62.6%	29%	14%	7%	3.1%
10	Utah MammothUTA 27-21-4	West	1530	+19	+13	94	81.9%	33%	16%	6%	2.6%
11	Detroit Red WingsDET 32-16-5	East	1522	+39	+15	101	86.0%	35%	13%	6%	2.4%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 26-14-11	East	1506	+52	+22	97	70.8%	34%	13%	4%	1.5%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 28-17-7	East	1511	+15	-6	96	58.7%	21%	8%	3%	1.3%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 30-20-3	East	1507	+46	+3	95	50.3%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	New York IslandersNYI 28-19-5	East	1497	+23	-8	94	56.6%	26%	9%	3%	1.0%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 21-16-13	West	1497	-41	-5	91	59.7%	24%	10%	3%	1.0%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 25-21-7	East	1510	-18	-12	90	28.6%	15%	6%	2%	1.0%
18	New Jersey DevilsNJD 27-23-2	East	1497	-30	-0	90	29.0%	14%	5%	2%	0.6%
19	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-19-9	East	1509	-35	-19	90	19.3%	7%	3%	2%	0.6%
20	Anaheim DucksANA 28-22-3	West	1481	+18	+15	91	64.7%	22%	8%	2%	0.5%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 24-20-7	East	1491	+8	+13	89	21.6%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
22	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 24-21-7	East	1506	-15	+1	88	12.5%	5%	2%	1%	0.4%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 24-18-9	East	1476	+11	-1	89	25.1%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 26-21-3	West	1460	+60	+12	88	45.3%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 23-19-9	West	1465	+6	-5	86	28.9%	9%	3%	<1%	0.2%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 24-23-4	West	1475	-2	+0	84	23.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 20-24-7	West	1488	-55	-16	80	7.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-25-6	West	1457	-23	-14	77	3.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	New York RangersNYR 22-25-6	East	1475	-45	-2	81	1.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-24-9	West	1449	-70	-9	76	2.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 21-23-8	West	1422	+15	-2	76	2.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 17-30-5	West	1422	-79	-11	67	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—

As of: