2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 35-6-9	West	1612	+50	-20	123	>99.9%	86%	60%	45%	28.6%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 33-14-4	East	1603	+56	+6	112	99.7%	76%	53%	37%	21.6%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 32-15-5	East	1565	+3	+16	107	98.5%	65%	43%	20%	9.7%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 29-14-9	West	1553	-4	-6	104	99.4%	53%	20%	12%	5.7%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-14-12	West	1538	-25	-4	99	95.2%	56%	31%	11%	4.6%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 27-19-8	West	1541	-24	-2	96	88.6%	53%	30%	11%	4.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 29-14-10	West	1535	+18	+6	102	98.6%	42%	15%	7%	3.2%
8	Buffalo SabresBUF 29-17-5	East	1535	+62	+13	99	78.9%	36%	15%	7%	3.2%
9	Florida PanthersFLA 28-20-3	East	1540	-36	+11	96	62.6%	29%	14%	7%	3.1%
10	Utah MammothUTA 27-21-4	West	1530	+19	+13	94	81.9%	33%	16%	6%	2.6%
11	Detroit Red WingsDET 32-16-5	East	1522	+39	+15	101	86.0%	35%	13%	6%	2.4%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 26-14-11	East	1506	+52	+22	97	70.8%	34%	13%	4%	1.5%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 28-17-7	East	1511	+15	-6	96	58.7%	21%	8%	3%	1.3%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 30-20-3	East	1507	+46	+3	95	50.3%	17%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	New York IslandersNYI 28-19-5	East	1497	+23	-8	94	56.6%	26%	9%	3%	1.0%
16	Los Angeles KingsLAK 21-16-13	West	1497	-41	-5	91	59.7%	24%	10%	3%	1.0%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 25-21-7	East	1510	-18	-12	90	28.6%	15%	6%	2%	1.0%
18	New Jersey DevilsNJD 27-23-2	East	1497	-30	-0	90	29.0%	14%	5%	2%	0.6%
19	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-19-9	East	1509	-35	-19	90	19.3%	7%	3%	2%	0.6%
20	Anaheim DucksANA 28-22-3	West	1481	+18	+15	91	64.7%	22%	8%	2%	0.5%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 24-20-7	East	1491	+8	+13	89	21.6%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
22	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 24-21-7	East	1506	-15	+1	88	12.5%	5%	2%	1%	0.4%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 24-18-9	East	1476	+11	-1	89	25.1%	10%	4%	<1%	0.3%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 26-21-3	West	1460	+60	+12	88	45.3%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 23-19-9	West	1465	+6	-5	86	28.9%	9%	3%	<1%	0.2%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 24-23-4	West	1475	-2	+0	84	23.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 20-24-7	West	1488	-55	-16	80	7.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.2%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-25-6	West	1457	-23	-14	77	3.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	New York RangersNYR 22-25-6	East	1475	-45	-2	81	1.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-24-9	West	1449	-70	-9	76	2.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 21-23-8	West	1422	+15	-2	76	2.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 17-30-5	West	1422	-79	-11	67	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—

As of: