2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 34-5-8	West	1624	+62	-6	126	>99.9%	87%	64%	49%	32.5%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 30-13-4	East	1603	+56	+16	112	99.5%	77%	55%	38%	21.0%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 31-15-4	East	1564	+2	+5	107	98.5%	65%	44%	21%	9.1%
4	Edmonton OilersEDM 25-17-8	West	1547	-17	+8	98	92.9%	60%	34%	12%	5.5%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 24-12-12	West	1542	-20	+13	101	97.0%	60%	32%	11%	5.0%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 27-13-9	West	1549	-7	-15	104	98.9%	50%	17%	10%	4.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 28-13-9	West	1540	+22	-11	103	98.7%	44%	14%	8%	3.5%
8	Utah MammothUTA 25-20-4	West	1525	+14	+14	93	77.1%	29%	13%	5%	2.0%
9	Florida PanthersFLA 25-20-3	East	1528	-48	-2	93	44.4%	20%	9%	5%	2.0%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 27-15-7	East	1516	+20	-8	98	72.6%	30%	11%	5%	1.7%
11	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-17-8	East	1524	-20	-9	93	45.4%	20%	9%	4%	1.7%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 30-16-4	East	1513	+30	+12	99	76.7%	30%	11%	5%	1.6%
13	Buffalo SabresBUF 26-17-5	East	1516	+43	-0	95	57.0%	23%	9%	4%	1.6%
14	New York IslandersNYI 27-17-5	East	1503	+29	+3	96	71.6%	34%	13%	4%	1.4%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 28-19-2	East	1509	+48	+26	94	52.4%	20%	8%	3%	1.1%
16	Washington CapitalsWSH 24-20-6	East	1511	-17	-16	90	36.1%	19%	8%	3%	1.1%
17	Los Angeles KingsLAK 19-16-13	West	1491	-47	-11	89	48.2%	18%	7%	2%	0.7%
18	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 23-14-11	East	1487	+33	+3	92	47.0%	20%	7%	2%	0.6%
19	New Jersey DevilsNJD 25-22-2	East	1495	-32	+6	89	27.9%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
20	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 22-19-7	East	1502	-19	-0	88	17.4%	7%	3%	1%	0.5%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 22-19-7	East	1486	+3	+14	88	20.3%	9%	4%	1%	0.4%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 23-21-4	West	1481	+4	+5	86	36.6%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
23	Anaheim DucksANA 25-21-3	West	1470	+8	+15	88	44.7%	14%	5%	1%	0.3%
24	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 23-17-8	East	1475	+10	-18	89	28.0%	11%	4%	1%	0.3%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 19-23-6	West	1495	-48	+5	81	12.2%	3%	2%	<1%	0.3%
26	San Jose SharksSJS 25-20-3	West	1458	+58	+7	88	44.3%	12%	4%	<1%	0.2%
27	Seattle KrakenSEA 21-18-9	West	1459	+0	-12	85	26.7%	8%	3%	<1%	0.2%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-23-5	West	1472	-7	+6	81	12.8%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	New York RangersNYR 21-23-6	East	1479	-40	-19	82	5.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-22-8	West	1458	-61	+0	79	7.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 20-22-7	West	1424	+18	-2	76	2.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 16-28-5	West	1424	-77	-20	68	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: