2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 33-4-7	West	1637	+75	+2	128	>99.9%	90%	68%	54%	38.2%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 28-13-3	East	1599	+51	+27	111	99.0%	75%	52%	36%	18.0%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 28-14-4	East	1556	-6	+13	105	95.9%	61%	38%	17%	7.1%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 26-10-9	West	1560	+3	-12	107	99.7%	57%	18%	11%	5.8%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 23-16-7	West	1544	-21	+0	98	92.9%	58%	33%	10%	4.7%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 21-11-12	West	1536	-27	+13	99	94.5%	56%	30%	9%	3.9%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 26-12-9	West	1538	+21	-18	102	98.2%	41%	11%	6%	2.9%
8	Florida PanthersFLA 24-18-3	East	1537	-39	-1	95	58.9%	28%	13%	7%	2.7%
9	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 22-15-7	East	1533	-11	+13	94	51.6%	24%	11%	6%	2.3%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 23-17-6	East	1523	-5	-5	94	56.5%	31%	15%	6%	2.0%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 26-14-6	East	1520	+24	+11	99	74.9%	31%	12%	6%	1.8%
12	Detroit Red WingsDET 28-15-4	East	1513	+30	+16	98	73.6%	28%	10%	5%	1.5%
13	Buffalo SabresBUF 24-16-4	East	1513	+40	+4	94	53.2%	21%	9%	4%	1.3%
14	Los Angeles KingsLAK 19-15-10	West	1506	-32	+2	92	69.1%	30%	13%	3%	1.3%
15	New York IslandersNYI 25-15-5	East	1504	+30	+4	97	69.7%	32%	13%	4%	1.3%
16	Utah MammothUTA 22-20-4	West	1510	-0	+2	89	58.8%	19%	8%	3%	1.1%
17	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 22-14-8	East	1488	+23	-3	92	45.5%	19%	7%	2%	0.7%
18	New Jersey DevilsNJD 23-21-2	East	1495	-32	-13	88	25.2%	12%	5%	2%	0.5%
19	Boston BruinsBOS 25-19-2	East	1494	+33	+14	91	31.3%	11%	4%	2%	0.5%
20	Seattle KrakenSEA 21-15-8	West	1477	+18	+15	89	58.6%	19%	7%	1%	0.4%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 21-14-9	East	1481	+27	+10	90	33.3%	13%	5%	2%	0.4%
22	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 20-19-5	East	1499	-22	-14	86	13.6%	5%	2%	1%	0.4%
23	Winnipeg JetsWPG 17-22-5	West	1492	-51	-1	80	14.2%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 21-20-4	West	1471	-6	-3	84	29.7%	6%	3%	<1%	0.2%
25	New York RangersNYR 20-21-6	East	1484	-35	-16	84	8.7%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 19-19-7	East	1473	-9	-12	84	9.2%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	San Jose SharksSJS 23-19-3	West	1449	+48	+3	86	35.4%	9%	3%	<1%	0.1%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 19-22-4	West	1470	-10	-18	80	13.6%	4%	2%	<1%	0.1%
29	Anaheim DucksANA 21-21-3	West	1452	-10	-21	82	20.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 17-21-8	West	1451	-68	-5	77	5.7%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 19-20-7	West	1428	+22	+8	78	7.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 16-24-5	West	1440	-61	-21	73	1.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: