2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 31-3-7	West	1635	+73	+10	128	>99.9%	89%	65%	53%	38.8%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 25-13-3	East	1581	+34	+20	107	96.2%	68%	44%	28%	13.2%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 25-9-8	West	1563	+7	-27	108	99.6%	54%	18%	12%	6.8%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 25-14-3	East	1549	-13	-12	102	88.9%	55%	32%	16%	5.9%
5	Minnesota WildMIN 25-10-8	West	1553	+36	+8	106	99.2%	46%	14%	9%	4.8%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 20-16-6	West	1535	-29	-12	95	85.0%	51%	29%	9%	4.2%
7	Florida PanthersFLA 22-16-3	East	1542	-34	-11	96	64.9%	36%	18%	10%	3.9%
8	Washington CapitalsWSH 22-15-6	East	1527	-1	-3	96	64.3%	34%	18%	8%	2.8%
9	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 17-11-12	West	1519	-44	-24	95	82.4%	44%	22%	6%	2.5%
10	Montreal CanadiensMTL 23-13-6	East	1513	+17	+8	97	68.2%	30%	12%	6%	1.9%
11	Los Angeles KingsLAK 17-14-9	West	1508	-30	-3	91	66.8%	33%	16%	4%	1.6%
12	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 19-15-7	East	1519	-25	+7	91	33.9%	16%	8%	4%	1.4%
13	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 21-12-7	East	1499	+34	+7	95	57.4%	25%	11%	4%	1.3%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 20-16-5	East	1511	-10	-12	90	33.0%	15%	7%	4%	1.3%
15	Buffalo SabresBUF 21-15-4	East	1502	+29	+17	92	44.0%	18%	8%	4%	1.2%
16	New Jersey DevilsNJD 22-18-2	East	1503	-24	-6	91	37.5%	18%	8%	3%	1.1%
17	Utah MammothUTA 20-20-3	West	1506	-4	+1	88	48.7%	16%	8%	2%	1.0%
18	New York IslandersNYI 23-15-4	East	1495	+20	-3	94	50.7%	21%	9%	3%	1.0%
19	Detroit Red WingsDET 25-15-4	East	1496	+13	+1	94	51.7%	19%	7%	3%	0.9%
20	New York RangersNYR 20-18-6	East	1505	-14	-6	89	27.9%	13%	6%	3%	0.9%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 20-12-9	East	1482	+28	+30	92	40.7%	16%	6%	2%	0.7%
22	Calgary FlamesCGY 18-19-4	West	1484	+5	+4	83	29.3%	12%	5%	1%	0.4%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 22-18-2	East	1484	+23	-2	88	23.7%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
24	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 18-16-7	East	1482	-1	+12	87	16.9%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 19-18-4	West	1477	+0	+6	86	37.8%	10%	4%	<1%	0.4%
26	Anaheim DucksANA 21-18-3	West	1464	+2	-23	86	39.2%	13%	5%	<1%	0.3%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-21-4	West	1489	-54	-18	80	14.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
28	Seattle KrakenSEA 18-14-7	West	1462	+3	+17	86	38.0%	12%	5%	<1%	0.3%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 17-18-8	West	1465	-55	+3	81	17.5%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Vancouver CanucksVAN 16-20-5	West	1457	-44	-18	78	10.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 20-18-3	West	1441	+40	+7	83	24.0%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 17-18-7	West	1424	+18	+3	77	7.7%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: