2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 29-2-7	West	1632	+70	+16	128	>99.9%	87%	60%	46%	33.9%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 25-7-7	West	1581	+24	+5	113	>99.9%	60%	24%	16%	10.1%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 22-13-3	East	1569	+22	+12	103	92.1%	61%	37%	22%	9.6%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 24-11-3	East	1563	+1	-9	107	96.3%	64%	40%	22%	8.9%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 20-14-6	West	1554	-11	+3	99	93.0%	59%	35%	12%	5.9%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 21-15-2	East	1552	-24	-2	98	76.0%	45%	24%	13%	5.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 24-10-6	West	1555	+38	+4	106	98.7%	41%	13%	8%	4.4%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 17-9-11	West	1533	-30	-15	99	91.1%	52%	26%	8%	3.6%
9	Washington CapitalsWSH 20-14-5	East	1526	-2	-21	96	68.1%	36%	17%	8%	2.8%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 16-13-9	West	1509	-29	-4	91	64.5%	28%	13%	3%	1.4%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 20-12-6	East	1503	+7	+11	94	55.4%	23%	9%	4%	1.3%
12	New Jersey DevilsNJD 20-16-2	East	1505	-22	-5	92	45.5%	20%	9%	4%	1.2%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 18-15-5	East	1510	-11	-6	90	36.0%	16%	8%	4%	1.2%
14	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 17-15-6	East	1514	-30	-4	88	29.0%	14%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	New York IslandersNYI 21-14-4	East	1497	+23	-8	93	54.7%	23%	9%	4%	1.1%
16	Buffalo SabresBUF 20-14-4	East	1500	+27	+24	92	47.4%	19%	8%	4%	1.1%
17	New York RangersNYR 19-17-5	East	1505	-15	+1	89	33.0%	15%	7%	3%	1.1%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 23-14-3	East	1498	+15	+14	94	56.0%	21%	8%	3%	1.1%
19	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 19-11-7	East	1490	+25	-4	93	52.0%	21%	8%	3%	0.8%
20	Utah MammothUTA 18-19-3	West	1499	-11	+0	86	37.4%	11%	5%	1%	0.7%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-18-4	West	1499	-44	-16	84	28.3%	9%	4%	1%	0.6%
22	Anaheim DucksANA 21-16-2	West	1476	+14	-21	89	52.6%	17%	6%	1%	0.5%
23	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 17-15-6	East	1482	-0	+12	87	24.3%	10%	4%	2%	0.4%
24	Calgary FlamesCGY 17-18-4	West	1482	+2	+12	84	28.1%	10%	4%	<1%	0.4%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 17-17-4	West	1472	-5	+14	84	28.5%	6%	3%	<1%	0.3%
26	Boston BruinsBOS 20-18-2	East	1471	+9	-27	85	16.0%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 16-12-9	East	1459	+5	-4	85	18.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	Vancouver CanucksVAN 15-19-3	West	1467	-33	+7	80	15.4%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 16-14-6	West	1456	-4	+20	83	26.3%	7%	3%	<1%	0.2%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 15-17-8	West	1459	-60	+1	79	11.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 19-17-3	West	1442	+41	-2	83	22.3%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 14-18-6	West	1414	+7	-13	73	2.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: