2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 29-2-7	West	1632	+70	+16	128	>99.9%	87%	60%	46%	33.9%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 25-7-7	West	1581	+24	+5	113	>99.9%	60%	24%	16%	10.1%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 22-13-3	East	1569	+22	+12	103	92.1%	61%	37%	22%	9.6%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 24-11-3	East	1563	+1	-9	107	96.3%	64%	40%	22%	8.9%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 20-14-6	West	1554	-11	+3	99	93.0%	59%	35%	12%	5.9%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 21-15-2	East	1552	-24	-2	98	76.0%	45%	24%	13%	5.6%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 24-10-6	West	1555	+38	+4	106	98.7%	41%	13%	8%	4.4%
8	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 17-9-11	West	1533	-30	-15	99	91.1%	52%	26%	8%	3.6%
9	Washington CapitalsWSH 20-14-5	East	1526	-2	-21	96	68.1%	36%	17%	8%	2.8%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 16-13-9	West	1509	-29	-4	91	64.5%	28%	13%	3%	1.4%
11	Montreal CanadiensMTL 20-12-6	East	1503	+7	+11	94	55.4%	23%	9%	4%	1.3%
12	New Jersey DevilsNJD 20-16-2	East	1505	-22	-5	92	45.5%	20%	9%	4%	1.2%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 18-15-5	East	1510	-11	-6	90	36.0%	16%	8%	4%	1.2%
14	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 17-15-6	East	1514	-30	-4	88	29.0%	14%	7%	3%	1.1%
15	New York IslandersNYI 21-14-4	East	1497	+23	-8	93	54.7%	23%	9%	4%	1.1%
16	Buffalo SabresBUF 20-14-4	East	1500	+27	+24	92	47.4%	19%	8%	4%	1.1%
17	New York RangersNYR 19-17-5	East	1505	-15	+1	89	33.0%	15%	7%	3%	1.1%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 23-14-3	East	1498	+15	+14	94	56.0%	21%	8%	3%	1.1%
19	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 19-11-7	East	1490	+25	-4	93	52.0%	21%	8%	3%	0.8%
20	Utah MammothUTA 18-19-3	West	1499	-11	+0	86	37.4%	11%	5%	1%	0.7%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-18-4	West	1499	-44	-16	84	28.3%	9%	4%	1%	0.6%
22	Anaheim DucksANA 21-16-2	West	1476	+14	-21	89	52.6%	17%	6%	1%	0.5%
23	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 17-15-6	East	1482	-0	+12	87	24.3%	10%	4%	2%	0.4%
24	Calgary FlamesCGY 17-18-4	West	1482	+2	+12	84	28.1%	10%	4%	<1%	0.4%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 17-17-4	West	1472	-5	+14	84	28.5%	6%	3%	<1%	0.3%
26	Boston BruinsBOS 20-18-2	East	1471	+9	-27	85	16.0%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 16-12-9	East	1459	+5	-4	85	18.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	Vancouver CanucksVAN 15-19-3	West	1467	-33	+7	80	15.4%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 16-14-6	West	1456	-4	+20	83	26.3%	7%	3%	<1%	0.2%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 15-17-8	West	1459	-60	+1	79	11.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 19-17-3	West	1442	+41	-2	83	22.3%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 14-18-6	West	1414	+7	-13	73	2.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: