2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 26-2-7	West	1624	+62	+18	125	>99.9%	83%	54%	41%	29.6%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 25-7-5	West	1590	+34	+10	115	99.9%	66%	29%	20%	13.1%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 22-10-3	East	1564	+2	+2	107	96.0%	64%	39%	22%	9.3%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 20-13-3	East	1561	+14	-7	101	87.2%	56%	33%	19%	7.8%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 18-13-6	West	1548	-17	+1	98	87.7%	52%	29%	10%	5.1%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 19-14-2	East	1546	-30	+12	97	71.8%	42%	23%	12%	5.0%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 16-8-10	West	1538	-24	-8	100	90.7%	51%	27%	8%	4.3%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 22-10-5	West	1549	+32	+16	104	96.4%	36%	13%	7%	4.0%
9	Washington CapitalsWSH 19-12-5	East	1535	+7	-20	98	77.5%	42%	21%	10%	4.0%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 18-13-4	East	1527	+6	+16	95	61.2%	31%	15%	7%	2.7%
11	Los Angeles KingsLAK 15-10-9	West	1518	-20	-11	95	75.9%	35%	16%	5%	2.2%
12	New Jersey DevilsNJD 20-15-1	East	1512	-15	+2	94	56.7%	26%	12%	5%	1.8%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 19-12-5	East	1498	+2	+5	92	47.7%	20%	8%	4%	1.1%
14	Detroit Red WingsDET 21-13-3	East	1495	+12	+15	92	50.1%	20%	8%	3%	1.0%
15	New York RangersNYR 18-16-4	East	1503	-16	-13	89	33.1%	14%	7%	3%	1.0%
16	New York IslandersNYI 19-13-4	East	1495	+21	-5	93	51.4%	20%	8%	3%	1.0%
17	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 18-10-7	East	1492	+27	+3	94	53.9%	21%	8%	3%	1.0%
18	Anaheim DucksANA 21-13-2	West	1493	+31	-5	95	74.7%	28%	11%	2%	1.0%
19	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 15-15-5	East	1508	-36	-20	86	22.4%	11%	5%	2%	0.9%
20	Utah MammothUTA 18-17-3	West	1505	-5	+4	88	46.3%	14%	6%	2%	0.9%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-17-3	West	1507	-36	-5	86	34.3%	11%	5%	2%	0.8%
22	Boston BruinsBOS 20-16-1	East	1486	+25	-16	89	34.9%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
23	Buffalo SabresBUF 17-14-4	East	1485	+12	+23	88	28.6%	11%	5%	2%	0.6%
24	Calgary FlamesCGY 15-17-4	West	1480	+0	+5	82	20.4%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
25	Vancouver CanucksVAN 15-18-3	West	1475	-25	+19	82	19.3%	6%	3%	<1%	0.3%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 15-16-4	West	1467	-10	+9	82	18.2%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 15-11-9	East	1456	+3	-15	85	17.7%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 14-15-6	East	1463	-20	-14	82	9.8%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 14-16-8	West	1462	-58	-0	79	11.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 13-14-6	West	1438	-21	-10	78	8.9%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 17-16-3	West	1434	+33	+6	80	12.7%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 13-16-6	West	1420	+14	-18	74	3.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: