2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 23-2-7	West	1613	+51	+8	122	>99.9%	81%	53%	38%	25.8%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 22-7-5	West	1576	+19	-6	111	99.4%	62%	28%	18%	10.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 21-9-2	East	1566	+4	+3	108	95.3%	63%	37%	21%	10.1%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 18-12-3	East	1557	+10	-2	101	84.2%	53%	30%	16%	7.4%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 16-6-9	West	1552	-10	+13	105	95.7%	59%	34%	13%	6.9%
6	Washington CapitalsWSH 18-10-4	East	1548	+20	-5	101	84.5%	49%	25%	14%	5.9%
7	Florida PanthersFLA 17-13-2	East	1551	-25	+20	97	71.9%	43%	24%	13%	5.9%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 15-12-6	West	1540	-24	+6	96	78.4%	44%	23%	9%	4.4%
9	Minnesota WildMIN 19-9-5	West	1538	+21	+15	101	91.7%	36%	13%	7%	3.3%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 14-9-9	West	1516	-22	-2	95	73.5%	34%	15%	5%	2.1%
11	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 14-12-5	East	1521	-23	-2	90	38.9%	20%	10%	5%	2.0%
12	New York IslandersNYI 19-11-3	East	1509	+34	+15	97	67.7%	28%	12%	5%	1.8%
13	New Jersey DevilsNJD 18-14-1	East	1510	-17	-9	93	48.3%	21%	9%	4%	1.5%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 15-13-4	East	1512	-10	-0	91	40.0%	19%	9%	4%	1.5%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 20-12-1	West	1501	+38	+6	96	78.6%	31%	12%	3%	1.5%
16	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-15-2	West	1515	-28	-13	89	47.9%	17%	8%	3%	1.4%
17	New York RangersNYR 16-14-4	East	1508	-11	-18	90	37.5%	16%	7%	3%	1.3%
18	Montreal CanadiensMTL 17-11-4	East	1499	+3	-2	92	47.4%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
19	Boston BruinsBOS 19-14-0	East	1497	+36	+20	92	48.7%	20%	8%	3%	1.1%
20	Utah MammothUTA 16-15-3	West	1504	-6	-7	89	48.0%	15%	6%	2%	1.0%
21	Detroit Red WingsDET 18-12-3	East	1487	+4	+17	90	37.3%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 16-9-6	East	1487	+22	-6	92	43.5%	16%	6%	2%	0.8%
23	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 14-8-9	East	1468	+14	-19	88	28.4%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
24	Calgary FlamesCGY 13-16-4	West	1475	-4	+18	81	17.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
25	Buffalo SabresBUF 14-14-4	East	1471	-2	+4	83	13.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.3%
26	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 13-13-6	East	1468	-15	-19	84	12.8%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Vancouver CanucksVAN 12-17-3	West	1461	-40	-8	78	9.4%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Nashville PredatorsNSH 13-15-4	West	1463	-14	+13	81	14.8%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 12-15-7	West	1455	-65	-14	77	7.7%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	San Jose SharksSJS 16-14-3	West	1437	+37	+12	82	18.1%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Seattle KrakenSEA 12-12-6	West	1439	-20	-14	79	10.9%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 13-13-6	West	1429	+23	-13	78	8.9%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: