2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Jun 14, 2026, 11:36 PM EDT.

That's a wrap on the 2025/2026 season!

Thanks to everyone who tuned in this season. We'll see you in the fall.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 23-2-7	West	1613	+51	+8	122	>99.9%	81%	53%	38%	25.8%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 22-7-5	West	1576	+19	-6	111	99.4%	62%	28%	18%	10.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 21-9-2	East	1566	+4	+3	108	95.3%	63%	37%	21%	10.1%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 18-12-3	East	1557	+10	-2	101	84.2%	53%	30%	16%	7.4%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 16-6-9	West	1552	-10	+13	105	95.7%	59%	34%	13%	6.9%
6	Washington CapitalsWSH 18-10-4	East	1548	+20	-5	101	84.5%	49%	25%	14%	5.9%
7	Florida PanthersFLA 17-13-2	East	1551	-25	+20	97	71.9%	43%	24%	13%	5.9%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 15-12-6	West	1540	-24	+6	96	78.4%	44%	23%	9%	4.4%
9	Minnesota WildMIN 19-9-5	West	1538	+21	+15	101	91.7%	36%	13%	7%	3.3%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 14-9-9	West	1516	-22	-2	95	73.5%	34%	15%	5%	2.1%
11	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 14-12-5	East	1521	-23	-2	90	38.9%	20%	10%	5%	2.0%
12	New York IslandersNYI 19-11-3	East	1509	+34	+15	97	67.7%	28%	12%	5%	1.8%
13	New Jersey DevilsNJD 18-14-1	East	1510	-17	-9	93	48.3%	21%	9%	4%	1.5%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 15-13-4	East	1512	-10	-0	91	40.0%	19%	9%	4%	1.5%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 20-12-1	West	1501	+38	+6	96	78.6%	31%	12%	3%	1.5%
16	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-15-2	West	1515	-28	-13	89	47.9%	17%	8%	3%	1.4%
17	New York RangersNYR 16-14-4	East	1508	-11	-18	90	37.5%	16%	7%	3%	1.3%
18	Montreal CanadiensMTL 17-11-4	East	1499	+3	-2	92	47.4%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
19	Boston BruinsBOS 19-14-0	East	1497	+36	+20	92	48.7%	20%	8%	3%	1.1%
20	Utah MammothUTA 16-15-3	West	1504	-6	-7	89	48.0%	15%	6%	2%	1.0%
21	Detroit Red WingsDET 18-12-3	East	1487	+4	+17	90	37.3%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 16-9-6	East	1487	+22	-6	92	43.5%	16%	6%	2%	0.8%
23	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 14-8-9	East	1468	+14	-19	88	28.4%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
24	Calgary FlamesCGY 13-16-4	West	1475	-4	+18	81	17.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
25	Buffalo SabresBUF 14-14-4	East	1471	-2	+4	83	13.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.3%
26	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 13-13-6	East	1468	-15	-19	84	12.8%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Vancouver CanucksVAN 12-17-3	West	1461	-40	-8	78	9.4%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Nashville PredatorsNSH 13-15-4	West	1463	-14	+13	81	14.8%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 12-15-7	West	1455	-65	-14	77	7.7%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	San Jose SharksSJS 16-14-3	West	1437	+37	+12	82	18.1%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Seattle KrakenSEA 12-12-6	West	1439	-20	-14	79	10.9%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 13-13-6	West	1429	+23	-13	78	8.9%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: