2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 21-2-6	West	1611	+48	+4	121	>99.9%	80%	51%	36%	24.7%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 20-5-5	West	1584	+27	+13	113	99.4%	67%	32%	21%	12.7%
3	Washington CapitalsWSH 18-9-3	East	1559	+31	+17	104	89.6%	55%	31%	18%	8.2%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 17-9-2	East	1554	-8	-8	103	85.6%	51%	28%	16%	7.1%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 16-11-2	East	1554	+6	-14	100	82.1%	52%	30%	16%	7.0%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 14-6-8	West	1550	-13	+6	103	92.4%	55%	31%	12%	6.3%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 13-11-5	West	1540	-24	+5	96	76.4%	42%	23%	8%	4.2%
8	Florida PanthersFLA 14-12-2	East	1536	-40	-13	93	55.1%	32%	17%	9%	3.7%
9	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 14-11-4	East	1533	-11	+25	94	56.1%	31%	16%	8%	3.4%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 14-8-7	West	1529	-10	+3	98	82.0%	42%	20%	7%	3.1%
11	New York RangersNYR 15-12-4	East	1520	+1	-3	93	51.4%	24%	12%	6%	2.2%
12	Minnesota WildMIN 16-9-5	West	1524	+6	-7	97	79.9%	27%	10%	4%	2.1%
13	Winnipeg JetsWPG 14-13-1	West	1523	-20	-7	91	58.3%	21%	9%	4%	2.0%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 16-12-1	East	1513	-14	-33	94	51.3%	23%	11%	5%	2.0%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 13-11-4	East	1507	-14	-12	90	41.5%	20%	9%	4%	1.6%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 18-10-1	West	1500	+38	+0	96	75.6%	30%	12%	3%	1.4%
17	Montreal CanadiensMTL 15-10-3	East	1497	+1	-8	92	45.1%	20%	8%	4%	1.3%
18	New York IslandersNYI 16-11-3	East	1496	+22	+8	93	47.5%	18%	7%	3%	1.1%
19	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 15-9-3	East	1491	+26	+5	92	41.4%	16%	7%	3%	0.9%
20	Utah MammothUTA 14-14-3	West	1500	-10	-1	88	42.2%	13%	5%	2%	0.9%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 14-7-6	East	1485	+31	+7	92	46.6%	16%	6%	3%	0.9%
22	Boston BruinsBOS 17-13-0	East	1488	+27	+4	90	39.4%	16%	6%	3%	0.8%
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 16-11-3	East	1481	-2	+9	88	32.4%	13%	5%	2%	0.7%
24	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 13-10-6	East	1481	-2	+0	89	28.6%	10%	4%	2%	0.6%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 11-12-7	West	1473	-47	-0	82	20.8%	5%	2%	<1%	0.3%
26	Calgary FlamesCGY 12-15-4	West	1475	-5	+9	81	16.6%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
27	Buffalo SabresBUF 11-14-4	East	1457	-16	-2	78	6.4%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
28	Seattle KrakenSEA 11-10-6	West	1444	-15	-23	81	15.6%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
29	Vancouver CanucksVAN 11-16-3	West	1460	-40	-13	78	9.2%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
30	San Jose SharksSJS 14-13-3	West	1432	+32	+6	80	13.0%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 12-11-6	West	1431	+25	-2	79	11.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Nashville PredatorsNSH 10-14-4	West	1447	-30	+6	76	7.0%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%

As of: