2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 18-1-6	West	1611	+49	+10	120	>99.9%	80%	52%	38%	24.5%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 16-7-2	East	1574	+27	+25	108	95.2%	65%	41%	23%	11.3%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 17-5-4	West	1576	+20	+14	111	98.5%	63%	29%	19%	10.8%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 16-7-2	East	1569	+7	-4	107	93.6%	61%	36%	21%	10.3%
5	Washington CapitalsWSH 15-9-2	East	1548	+20	+12	101	80.4%	45%	23%	12%	5.3%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 11-6-8	West	1538	-25	-21	99	83.0%	47%	25%	9%	4.3%
7	Florida PanthersFLA 12-11-1	East	1541	-35	-14	94	60.1%	35%	18%	9%	4.0%
8	New Jersey DevilsNJD 16-9-1	East	1532	+5	-2	100	76.5%	37%	17%	8%	3.7%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 11-10-5	West	1533	-31	-2	95	71.6%	39%	21%	8%	3.6%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 12-6-7	West	1528	-10	-6	99	82.6%	43%	22%	8%	3.5%
11	Minnesota WildMIN 14-7-5	West	1526	+9	+18	98	80.2%	30%	11%	6%	2.6%
12	Winnipeg JetsWPG 13-12-0	West	1527	-16	-18	92	61.8%	24%	11%	5%	2.5%
13	New York RangersNYR 13-12-2	East	1518	-2	+7	91	44.0%	19%	9%	4%	1.8%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 12-9-4	East	1511	-11	-4	92	50.7%	24%	10%	4%	1.7%
15	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 11-11-3	East	1516	-28	-2	88	35.1%	18%	8%	4%	1.5%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 16-9-1	West	1501	+39	+4	96	73.3%	31%	13%	4%	1.5%
17	Montreal CanadiensMTL 13-8-3	East	1500	+5	+6	93	51.2%	22%	9%	4%	1.3%
18	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 14-8-3	East	1488	+23	+5	92	42.5%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
19	Utah MammothUTA 12-12-3	West	1495	-15	-9	87	39.4%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
20	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 13-7-5	East	1482	+28	+5	90	39.8%	13%	5%	2%	0.7%
21	New York IslandersNYI 13-10-3	East	1482	+8	-17	88	29.8%	10%	4%	2%	0.6%
22	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 12-9-5	East	1484	+1	-8	89	31.9%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 15-12-0	East	1480	+18	+1	88	33.1%	12%	4%	2%	0.6%
24	Vancouver CanucksVAN 10-13-3	West	1471	-29	-14	81	18.2%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
25	Buffalo SabresBUF 11-11-4	East	1472	-1	+9	83	16.6%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 11-7-6	West	1458	-1	-4	86	31.5%	10%	3%	<1%	0.3%
27	Detroit Red WingsDET 13-11-2	East	1469	-13	-16	84	19.5%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 9-11-7	West	1470	-50	-5	81	15.7%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 9-14-4	West	1464	-15	+13	78	10.9%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	San Jose SharksSJS 13-11-3	West	1431	+31	+11	80	13.4%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 11-9-5	West	1439	+33	-10	81	15.6%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Nashville PredatorsNSH 8-13-4	West	1439	-38	-3	74	4.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: