2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 16-1-5	West	1607	+45	+16	119	99.7%	78%	52%	36%	23.8%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 14-6-2	East	1569	+7	-8	107	93.2%	61%	37%	21%	10.8%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 13-7-2	East	1559	+11	+9	103	87.7%	55%	31%	17%	8.0%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 13-5-4	West	1558	+2	+9	105	92.0%	50%	22%	13%	6.9%
5	Florida PanthersFLA 12-9-1	East	1556	-21	-1	99	77.4%	48%	27%	14%	6.9%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 10-5-7	West	1548	-15	-5	101	85.8%	51%	29%	12%	6.0%
7	New Jersey DevilsNJD 14-7-1	East	1536	+10	-10	102	81.7%	43%	21%	10%	4.5%
8	Washington CapitalsWSH 12-9-2	East	1535	+7	+15	96	66.7%	34%	17%	9%	3.9%
9	Winnipeg JetsWPG 12-9-0	West	1538	-5	-10	96	70.9%	32%	14%	7%	3.8%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 10-9-5	West	1535	-30	-4	96	67.8%	37%	20%	8%	3.8%
11	Los Angeles KingsLAK 11-6-6	West	1529	-9	-5	98	77.1%	40%	20%	7%	3.5%
12	Minnesota WildMIN 12-7-4	West	1524	+7	+27	96	70.1%	28%	11%	5%	2.6%
13	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 11-7-4	East	1515	-6	+4	94	56.8%	27%	12%	6%	2.2%
14	Utah MammothUTA 12-8-3	West	1511	+1	-3	94	62.4%	22%	8%	4%	1.7%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 14-7-1	West	1500	+38	+1	96	70.9%	30%	12%	4%	1.7%
16	New York RangersNYR 11-11-2	East	1510	-10	-11	89	37.1%	16%	8%	4%	1.5%
17	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 9-10-3	East	1508	-36	-15	86	27.8%	13%	6%	3%	1.3%
18	New York IslandersNYI 13-8-2	East	1498	+24	+8	93	52.6%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
19	Montreal CanadiensMTL 11-7-3	East	1493	-3	-16	90	41.0%	17%	7%	3%	1.0%
20	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 11-9-3	East	1484	+2	-5	88	30.5%	11%	5%	2%	0.7%
21	Detroit Red WingsDET 13-9-1	East	1486	+3	-0	89	36.4%	14%	6%	2%	0.7%
22	Boston BruinsBOS 13-11-0	East	1478	+16	-4	87	30.6%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 11-7-3	East	1479	+14	+5	88	31.5%	11%	4%	2%	0.5%
24	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 10-6-5	East	1473	+19	-12	88	31.1%	10%	4%	2%	0.5%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 11-5-6	West	1468	+8	+5	89	39.8%	13%	5%	1%	0.4%
26	Buffalo SabresBUF 9-9-4	East	1471	-2	+18	83	17.9%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
27	Vancouver CanucksVAN 9-12-2	West	1473	-28	-9	81	15.7%	6%	3%	<1%	0.3%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 7-10-6	West	1472	-47	-9	80	13.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.3%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 8-13-3	West	1463	-17	+12	77	8.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 10-8-4	West	1440	+34	-3	81	14.4%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 11-9-3	West	1426	+25	+6	79	10.0%	3%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Nashville PredatorsNSH 6-12-4	West	1432	-45	-17	71	2.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: