2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 13-1-5	West	1597	+35	+22	116	99.2%	74%	46%	31%	19.7%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 13-5-1	East	1577	+15	-3	109	94.3%	64%	39%	24%	12.7%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 12-4-3	West	1562	+6	+21	106	93.2%	53%	25%	15%	8.1%
4	Florida PanthersFLA 10-8-1	East	1555	-21	-0	99	75.6%	48%	28%	14%	7.2%
5	New Jersey DevilsNJD 13-4-1	East	1550	+23	+6	106	89.4%	51%	26%	14%	6.8%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 8-4-6	West	1550	-13	-10	101	84.3%	51%	29%	13%	6.6%
7	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 9-7-2	East	1540	-7	-3	98	71.0%	41%	22%	11%	5.0%
8	Winnipeg JetsWPG 11-7-0	West	1545	+2	-9	99	78.8%	38%	17%	9%	4.7%
9	Los Angeles KingsLAK 10-6-4	West	1534	-4	+15	99	79.1%	43%	22%	9%	4.3%
10	Edmonton OilersEDM 9-8-4	West	1535	-29	-2	96	68.2%	37%	19%	8%	3.9%
11	Washington CapitalsWSH 9-8-2	East	1523	-5	+1	93	52.0%	24%	11%	5%	2.4%
12	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 9-6-4	East	1511	-10	+5	92	50.4%	25%	11%	5%	2.1%
13	New York RangersNYR 10-8-2	East	1516	-3	+3	92	48.7%	21%	10%	5%	2.0%
14	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 8-9-2	East	1516	-28	-22	88	36.3%	19%	9%	4%	2.0%
15	Utah MammothUTA 10-7-2	West	1511	+1	-13	94	59.9%	22%	9%	4%	1.7%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 12-6-1	West	1498	+36	-5	96	68.5%	28%	11%	4%	1.5%
17	Minnesota WildMIN 9-7-4	West	1505	-12	+13	91	46.7%	16%	7%	3%	1.3%
18	Montreal CanadiensMTL 10-6-3	East	1494	-2	-17	91	43.8%	19%	8%	3%	1.2%
19	Detroit Red WingsDET 11-7-1	East	1490	+7	-11	90	41.9%	17%	7%	3%	1.0%
20	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 10-7-2	East	1492	+10	+4	90	38.5%	14%	6%	3%	1.0%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 10-5-4	East	1485	+31	+3	91	42.5%	15%	6%	2%	0.9%
22	New York IslandersNYI 10-7-2	East	1486	+12	+19	90	37.7%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 12-9-0	East	1482	+20	+8	89	36.9%	14%	6%	2%	0.7%
24	Vancouver CanucksVAN 9-10-2	West	1485	-16	-4	86	29.6%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 9-6-3	East	1474	+9	-1	86	26.0%	9%	3%	1%	0.5%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 9-4-5	West	1467	+8	+9	88	36.5%	12%	4%	1%	0.4%
27	St. Louis BluesSTL 6-9-4	West	1476	-44	-4	81	15.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.4%
28	Buffalo SabresBUF 7-8-4	East	1465	-8	+1	82	15.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 9-5-4	West	1447	+41	+28	84	24.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
30	Nashville PredatorsNSH 6-10-4	West	1442	-35	-16	75	5.4%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Calgary FlamesCGY 5-12-3	West	1448	-32	-14	73	4.3%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 8-8-3	West	1415	+15	+7	75	6.5%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: