2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Feb 6, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 10-1-5	West	1587	+25	+15	113	98.1%	70%	44%	28%	16.5%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 11-4-0	East	1583	+21	+10	110	95.0%	67%	43%	26%	14.8%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 7-4-4	West	1552	-11	-19	101	84.7%	52%	30%	14%	7.3%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 8-5-2	East	1553	+6	+16	101	79.4%	47%	26%	14%	7.0%
5	Florida PanthersFLA 8-7-1	East	1552	-24	-1	98	71.3%	42%	23%	12%	6.1%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 9-4-3	West	1546	-10	-2	102	84.6%	45%	21%	11%	5.8%
7	New Jersey DevilsNJD 11-4-1	East	1544	+17	+0	103	84.7%	47%	22%	11%	5.6%
8	Winnipeg JetsWPG 9-6-0	West	1543	+0	-10	98	77.0%	40%	19%	10%	5.0%
9	Edmonton OilersEDM 7-6-4	West	1540	-25	-12	97	72.6%	41%	22%	10%	4.9%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 7-5-4	West	1523	-16	-8	95	67.9%	34%	16%	7%	3.0%
11	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 8-7-1	East	1528	-16	+3	93	51.6%	26%	13%	6%	2.9%
12	Montreal CanadiensMTL 10-3-2	East	1517	+21	+6	98	68.6%	31%	14%	6%	2.7%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 11-3-1	West	1509	+47	+32	100	80.4%	36%	15%	6%	2.4%
14	Washington CapitalsWSH 7-7-1	East	1520	-8	-12	92	47.5%	23%	11%	5%	2.3%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 8-5-3	East	1514	-7	+4	93	52.6%	24%	11%	5%	2.2%
16	Utah MammothUTA 9-7-0	West	1514	+3	-18	94	62.1%	25%	11%	5%	2.2%
17	New York RangersNYR 8-7-2	East	1508	-11	-1	90	42.0%	18%	8%	4%	1.5%
18	Minnesota WildMIN 7-7-3	West	1502	-15	+16	89	42.2%	16%	7%	3%	1.3%
19	Vancouver CanucksVAN 8-8-1	West	1487	-14	-11	87	34.7%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
20	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 9-5-3	East	1482	+28	-7	89	38.6%	14%	5%	2%	0.7%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 7-7-1	East	1486	+4	-13	86	28.7%	11%	4%	2%	0.7%
22	New York IslandersNYI 8-6-2	East	1481	+7	+7	87	31.6%	11%	4%	2%	0.7%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 10-7-0	East	1481	+20	+21	89	34.5%	12%	5%	2%	0.7%
24	Detroit Red WingsDET 9-7-0	East	1484	+1	-22	88	31.5%	12%	5%	2%	0.6%
25	St. Louis BluesSTL 5-8-3	West	1483	-37	-2	82	21.4%	7%	3%	1%	0.6%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 8-5-2	East	1477	+12	-4	87	29.8%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
27	Seattle KrakenSEA 7-4-4	West	1460	+1	-8	85	29.1%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
28	Buffalo SabresBUF 5-6-4	East	1460	-13	-13	80	12.6%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
29	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 8-5-3	West	1446	+40	+21	83	23.6%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Nashville PredatorsNSH 5-9-4	West	1445	-32	-18	76	7.0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Calgary FlamesCGY 4-11-2	West	1449	-30	-6	74	5.7%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 7-6-3	West	1419	+18	+24	77	9.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%

As of: