2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Nov 6, 2025, 10:14 PM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 5-0-1	West	1580	+18	+11	110	92.9%	59%	34%	21%	12.3%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 5-1-0	East	1575	+13	+8	108	91.3%	62%	38%	23%	11.9%
3	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 5-0-2	West	1573	+10	+12	108	93.0%	62%	37%	19%	10.9%
4	Winnipeg JetsWPG 5-1-0	West	1560	+17	+20	105	85.9%	47%	24%	13%	7.3%
5	Florida PanthersFLA 3-4-0	East	1557	-19	-23	99	74.7%	46%	27%	15%	7.3%
6	Dallas StarsDAL 3-2-0	West	1556	-0	-0	102	79.0%	41%	21%	12%	6.3%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 2-3-1	West	1552	-12	-8	99	77.1%	46%	24%	12%	6.1%
8	New Jersey DevilsNJD 4-1-0	East	1541	+15	+15	101	79.8%	44%	22%	11%	5.2%
9	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 3-2-1	East	1539	-5	-9	98	70.4%	39%	21%	10%	4.7%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 4-2-0	East	1534	+6	+13	98	71.2%	36%	18%	9%	4.0%
11	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 1-3-2	East	1531	-17	-13	94	58.3%	31%	16%	8%	3.5%
12	Los Angeles KingsLAK 1-3-2	West	1520	-18	-12	92	55.1%	27%	12%	5%	2.3%
13	Utah MammothUTA 4-2-0	West	1514	+4	+6	94	54.9%	21%	9%	4%	2.0%
14	St. Louis BluesSTL 3-2-0	West	1516	-3	-3	94	55.4%	22%	9%	4%	1.9%
15	New York RangersNYR 3-4-1	East	1512	-8	-14	91	46.8%	21%	10%	4%	1.8%
16	Vancouver CanucksVAN 4-2-0	West	1510	+9	+4	95	61.9%	27%	11%	4%	1.8%
17	Montreal CanadiensMTL 5-2-0	East	1507	+11	+8	94	57.0%	25%	11%	5%	1.8%
18	Minnesota WildMIN 3-3-1	West	1513	-4	-4	93	50.4%	19%	8%	4%	1.7%
19	Detroit Red WingsDET 5-1-0	East	1502	+19	+27	94	57.8%	25%	10%	4%	1.6%
20	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2-4-0	East	1503	-18	-22	88	38.4%	17%	8%	4%	1.4%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2-3-0	East	1483	+0	+0	85	30.0%	11%	4%	2%	0.7%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 3-2-1	East	1473	+7	+9	85	30.1%	10%	4%	2%	0.5%
23	New York IslandersNYI 2-3-0	East	1471	-3	-3	83	24.3%	9%	3%	1%	0.5%
24	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 4-2-0	East	1468	+14	+6	85	28.6%	9%	3%	1%	0.4%
25	Nashville PredatorsNSH 2-2-2	West	1474	-3	-6	85	26.1%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
26	Buffalo SabresBUF 2-4-0	East	1468	-5	+2	81	20.2%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
27	Boston BruinsBOS 3-4-0	East	1464	+3	-6	82	21.3%	7%	3%	1%	0.4%
28	Seattle KrakenSEA 3-1-2	West	1462	+3	-2	85	28.2%	9%	3%	<1%	0.3%
29	Anaheim DucksANA 2-2-1	West	1455	-7	-7	81	20.1%	7%	2%	<1%	0.3%
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 1-6-0	West	1458	-21	-20	78	12.3%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 3-2-2	West	1418	+12	+16	75	6.5%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 0-3-2	West	1383	-18	-18	64	1.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: