2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Oct 30, 2025, 1:14 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Florida PanthersFLA 3-1-0	East	1576	+0	+0	106	89.3%	60%	37%	22%	12.0%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 2-0-0	East	1568	+6	+6	106	87.9%	58%	35%	19%	10.0%
3	Colorado AvalancheCOL 3-0-1	West	1571	+9	+9	107	87.8%	53%	30%	17%	10.0%
4	Edmonton OilersEDM 1-0-1	West	1563	-1	-1	104	85.2%	54%	31%	16%	8.6%
5	Dallas StarsDAL 2-0-0	West	1564	+7	+7	105	84.6%	48%	26%	15%	8.1%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 1-0-2	West	1557	-6	-6	102	81.6%	50%	27%	14%	7.4%
7	Winnipeg JetsWPG 2-1-0	West	1548	+5	+5	100	73.9%	37%	19%	10%	5.4%
8	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 1-2-0	East	1540	-7	-7	97	68.1%	36%	18%	10%	4.6%
9	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 1-2-0	East	1537	-7	-7	96	66.2%	35%	17%	9%	4.3%
10	New Jersey DevilsNJD 2-1-0	East	1532	+5	+5	98	71.5%	37%	18%	8%	3.7%
11	Washington CapitalsWSH 2-1-0	East	1530	+2	+2	97	68.7%	36%	17%	8%	3.6%
12	Los Angeles KingsLAK 1-2-1	West	1530	-8	-8	96	64.2%	33%	15%	7%	3.2%
13	New York RangersNYR 2-2-0	East	1522	+2	+2	94	60.1%	29%	14%	6%	2.7%
14	Minnesota WildMIN 2-1-0	West	1521	+4	+4	95	57.6%	24%	11%	5%	2.5%
15	St. Louis BluesSTL 2-1-0	West	1523	+3	+3	96	60.0%	25%	11%	5%	2.4%
16	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 1-2-0	East	1512	-9	-9	92	51.3%	23%	10%	5%	2.0%
17	Montreal CanadiensMTL 2-1-0	East	1502	+6	+6	91	50.1%	21%	8%	4%	1.5%
18	Utah MammothUTA 1-2-0	West	1505	-5	-5	90	41.3%	16%	7%	3%	1.4%
19	Vancouver CanucksVAN 1-2-0	West	1496	-5	-5	89	40.8%	17%	7%	3%	1.2%
20	Detroit Red WingsDET 2-1-0	East	1486	+3	+3	88	38.7%	14%	6%	2%	0.8%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1-2-0	East	1484	+2	+2	86	33.5%	13%	5%	2%	0.8%
22	Nashville PredatorsNSH 2-0-1	West	1484	+7	+7	89	36.7%	12%	5%	2%	0.8%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 3-1-0	East	1472	+10	+10	86	32.6%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
24	Calgary FlamesCGY 1-2-0	West	1473	-6	-6	84	26.8%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
25	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 1-1-1	East	1469	+4	+4	84	28.8%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
26	Seattle KrakenSEA 2-0-0	West	1467	+8	+8	85	30.1%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
27	Anaheim DucksANA 1-1-0	West	1461	-1	-1	82	22.5%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
28	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2-1-0	East	1458	+4	+4	82	22.9%	7%	3%	<1%	0.3%
29	New York IslandersNYI 0-3-0	East	1461	-13	-13	79	16.2%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
30	Buffalo SabresBUF 0-3-0	East	1458	-15	-15	78	14.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 1-2-1	West	1406	+0	+0	70	3.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 0-0-2	West	1395	-5	-5	69	3.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: