2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Oct 27, 2025, 10:25 PM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Carolina HurricanesCAR 6-2-0	East	1575	+14	+3	108	90.6%	60%	36%	21%	11.9%
2	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 5-1-3	West	1564	+2	+3	106	90.2%	58%	34%	18%	9.6%
3	Colorado AvalancheCOL 5-1-4	West	1566	+4	-11	106	89.5%	54%	30%	17%	9.4%
4	New Jersey DevilsNJD 8-1-0	East	1558	+31	+21	107	90.0%	54%	28%	16%	8.3%
5	Florida PanthersFLA 5-5-0	East	1558	-18	-11	99	75.2%	47%	28%	14%	7.6%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 4-4-2	West	1550	-14	-7	99	78.1%	46%	25%	12%	6.4%
7	Dallas StarsDAL 5-3-1	West	1548	-8	-13	100	78.9%	42%	22%	12%	6.0%
8	Winnipeg JetsWPG 6-3-0	West	1550	+6	-4	101	80.9%	43%	22%	12%	6.0%
9	Utah MammothUTA 8-2-0	West	1536	+26	+24	102	82.7%	39%	18%	9%	4.5%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 6-3-0	East	1534	+7	+2	98	70.0%	34%	16%	8%	4.0%
11	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 3-4-2	East	1531	-16	-6	94	56.7%	30%	15%	7%	3.6%
12	Los Angeles KingsLAK 4-3-3	West	1528	-10	+5	97	69.2%	35%	16%	7%	3.4%
13	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 4-4-1	East	1529	-15	-12	94	56.6%	30%	15%	7%	3.2%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 5-4-1	East	1518	-3	+11	93	54.4%	27%	13%	6%	2.6%
15	Montreal CanadiensMTL 7-3-0	East	1512	+16	+5	95	60.0%	27%	12%	5%	2.3%
16	Vancouver CanucksVAN 5-5-0	West	1500	-1	-6	90	47.4%	20%	8%	3%	1.4%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 6-3-0	East	1495	+12	+1	91	46.8%	19%	8%	3%	1.2%
18	New York RangersNYR 3-5-2	East	1499	-20	-17	87	31.0%	13%	6%	3%	1.1%
19	Minnesota WildMIN 3-5-2	West	1496	-21	-14	87	34.1%	13%	6%	2%	1.0%
20	St. Louis BluesSTL 3-5-1	West	1496	-24	-16	87	33.1%	12%	5%	2%	1.0%
21	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 4-4-0	East	1489	+7	+5	87	33.0%	12%	5%	2%	0.8%
22	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 7-2-1	East	1484	+30	+22	91	43.9%	15%	6%	2%	0.8%
23	New York IslandersNYI 4-3-1	East	1477	+3	+16	86	28.1%	10%	4%	2%	0.6%
24	Seattle KrakenSEA 5-2-2	West	1471	+12	+8	88	38.7%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
25	Buffalo SabresBUF 4-4-1	East	1476	+3	+11	85	26.0%	10%	4%	1%	0.6%
26	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 4-3-1	East	1473	+8	+4	85	26.6%	9%	3%	1%	0.5%
27	Anaheim DucksANA 4-3-1	West	1466	+4	+3	85	29.8%	10%	3%	1%	0.4%
28	Nashville PredatorsNSH 4-4-2	West	1470	-7	-8	84	25.4%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 2-7-1	West	1459	-20	-6	78	12.6%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Boston BruinsBOS 4-7-0	East	1455	-7	-12	78	11.2%	4%	1%	<1%	0.2%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 4-3-2	West	1419	+13	+13	76	8.0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 2-5-2	West	1389	-12	+1	66	1.6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: