2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Dec 24, 2025, 1:33 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 27-2-7	West	1626	+64	+15	126	>99.9%	85%	57%	43%	31.3%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 25-7-6	West	1586	+30	+15	114	>99.9%	65%	27%	19%	11.9%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 20-13-3	East	1561	+14	-7	101	85.8%	55%	32%	19%	7.9%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 22-11-3	East	1556	-6	-8	105	93.1%	59%	36%	19%	7.7%
5	Florida PanthersFLA 20-14-2	East	1554	-23	+10	99	77.5%	47%	26%	15%	6.1%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 19-13-6	West	1552	-12	+12	99	91.6%	57%	32%	11%	5.9%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 17-8-10	West	1543	-20	-7	101	93.7%	55%	30%	10%	4.8%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 22-10-6	West	1545	+27	+6	103	96.3%	36%	12%	6%	3.5%
9	Washington CapitalsWSH 19-13-5	East	1527	-1	-22	96	66.8%	35%	17%	8%	2.9%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 18-13-5	East	1523	+1	+15	94	54.2%	26%	12%	6%	2.4%
11	New York RangersNYR 19-16-4	East	1512	-8	+3	91	41.7%	20%	10%	4%	1.5%
12	Montreal CanadiensMTL 20-12-5	East	1505	+10	+6	94	55.2%	23%	10%	5%	1.5%
13	New Jersey DevilsNJD 20-16-1	East	1509	-18	-6	92	47.9%	23%	10%	5%	1.4%
14	Los Angeles KingsLAK 15-12-9	West	1507	-32	-14	91	60.2%	25%	11%	3%	1.4%
15	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 19-10-7	East	1497	+31	+10	95	59.7%	25%	10%	4%	1.2%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 22-13-3	East	1499	+16	+12	94	55.9%	22%	9%	4%	1.2%
17	New York IslandersNYI 20-13-4	East	1498	+24	-7	94	55.8%	23%	10%	4%	1.2%
18	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 16-15-5	East	1512	-32	-9	87	24.4%	12%	6%	3%	1.0%
19	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-17-3	West	1507	-36	-5	86	36.0%	11%	5%	2%	0.9%
20	Utah MammothUTA 18-18-3	West	1503	-7	-1	87	44.2%	13%	6%	2%	0.8%
21	Anaheim DucksANA 21-14-2	West	1487	+24	-6	92	68.0%	24%	9%	2%	0.8%
22	Buffalo SabresBUF 18-14-4	East	1489	+16	+24	89	33.2%	13%	5%	2%	0.7%
23	Boston BruinsBOS 20-17-1	East	1479	+17	-18	87	23.1%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
24	Vancouver CanucksVAN 15-18-3	West	1475	-25	+19	82	21.5%	7%	3%	<1%	0.4%
25	Calgary FlamesCGY 15-18-4	West	1476	-4	+4	81	17.9%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 16-16-4	West	1471	-6	+15	84	26.0%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 15-15-6	East	1469	-13	-1	84	13.0%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 15-12-9	East	1452	-2	-16	84	12.8%	4%	2%	<1%	0.1%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 15-14-6	West	1449	-10	+10	82	19.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 14-16-8	West	1462	-58	-0	79	12.1%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 17-17-3	West	1429	+29	-4	79	10.7%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 13-17-6	West	1415	+9	-20	73	2.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: