2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sat, Dec 13, 2025, 3:10 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 22-2-7	West	1611	+48	-3	121	>99.9%	81%	52%	37%	24.9%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 21-6-5	West	1580	+24	+7	112	99.5%	65%	30%	19%	11.7%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 18-11-2	East	1568	+21	-3	104	90.4%	60%	37%	21%	10.2%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 19-9-2	East	1561	-1	-8	106	91.6%	58%	33%	18%	8.4%
5	Washington CapitalsWSH 18-9-4	East	1555	+27	+8	103	88.6%	54%	29%	16%	7.3%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 15-6-9	West	1549	-13	+12	103	94.6%	56%	32%	12%	6.3%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 14-11-6	West	1540	-24	+7	96	79.4%	44%	24%	9%	4.4%
8	Florida PanthersFLA 15-13-2	East	1535	-42	+1	93	53.0%	30%	15%	8%	3.4%
9	Los Angeles KingsLAK 14-8-8	West	1525	-13	-3	97	81.7%	41%	19%	6%	3.0%
10	Minnesota WildMIN 17-9-5	West	1530	+13	+4	99	86.6%	31%	11%	6%	2.7%
11	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 14-11-5	East	1528	-16	+13	93	49.4%	26%	13%	6%	2.6%
12	New Jersey DevilsNJD 17-13-1	East	1510	-17	-22	93	49.7%	21%	10%	4%	1.5%
13	New York IslandersNYI 18-11-3	East	1505	+31	+19	96	60.9%	24%	10%	4%	1.5%
14	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 14-12-4	East	1510	-11	-0	90	40.0%	19%	9%	4%	1.5%
15	New York RangersNYR 15-13-4	East	1513	-6	-4	91	41.7%	18%	9%	4%	1.5%
16	Boston BruinsBOS 19-13-0	East	1502	+41	+23	94	56.1%	24%	10%	4%	1.4%
17	Anaheim DucksANA 19-11-1	West	1498	+36	-3	96	77.6%	30%	12%	3%	1.3%
18	Winnipeg JetsWPG 14-15-1	West	1512	-31	-15	88	44.3%	15%	7%	3%	1.3%
19	Montreal CanadiensMTL 16-11-3	East	1495	-1	+2	91	41.7%	18%	7%	3%	1.0%
20	Utah MammothUTA 15-15-3	West	1501	-9	-4	87	43.1%	13%	5%	2%	0.9%
21	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 16-9-4	East	1492	+27	-5	92	44.5%	16%	7%	3%	0.9%
22	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 14-8-7	East	1475	+21	+2	90	35.0%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
23	Detroit Red WingsDET 17-12-3	East	1480	-3	+8	88	30.5%	11%	4%	2%	0.5%
24	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 13-12-6	East	1470	-12	-13	85	16.6%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
25	Calgary FlamesCGY 12-16-4	West	1471	-8	+7	80	13.8%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	Buffalo SabresBUF 13-14-4	East	1466	-7	-6	82	10.1%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 12-14-4	West	1458	-19	+19	80	13.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 12-14-7	West	1462	-58	-3	80	13.3%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
29	Seattle KrakenSEA 12-11-6	West	1445	-15	-14	81	16.4%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
30	Vancouver CanucksVAN 11-17-3	West	1456	-44	-15	76	7.2%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 13-12-6	West	1436	+29	-1	80	14.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 15-14-3	West	1433	+32	+2	80	14.8%	4%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: