2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Mar 27, 2026, 10:05 PM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 48-13-10	West	1605	+43	+11	122	>99.9%	86%	57%	44%	27.3%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 44-21-6	East	1591	+44	+4	108	>99.9%	71%	44%	28%	15.8%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 45-20-6	East	1579	+17	-2	110	>99.9%	70%	48%	25%	13.4%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 43-18-11	West	1566	+9	-15	110	>99.9%	59%	25%	17%	8.6%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 44-21-8	East	1566	+93	-6	107	>99.9%	62%	29%	16%	8.5%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 41-20-12	West	1545	+28	-1	105	>99.9%	41%	14%	9%	4.0%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 36-28-9	West	1527	-37	-0	92	95.8%	57%	32%	10%	3.5%
8	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-23-10	East	1535	+53	+5	99	77.5%	44%	18%	7%	3.1%
9	Montreal CanadiensMTL 40-21-10	East	1537	+41	+13	102	93.8%	35%	15%	7%	2.9%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 38-24-10	East	1545	+24	+9	98	61.7%	24%	12%	6%	2.6%
11	Utah MammothUTA 37-30-6	West	1516	+6	-13	91	89.8%	40%	21%	6%	2.1%
12	Anaheim DucksANA 41-27-4	West	1505	+43	+15	98	>99.9%	49%	24%	6%	1.7%
13	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 36-20-16	East	1510	+56	-8	99	79.6%	34%	11%	4%	1.3%
14	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 32-26-15	West	1501	-62	-19	90	79.0%	33%	15%	4%	1.2%
15	Boston BruinsBOS 40-24-8	East	1511	+49	+7	98	63.2%	17%	7%	2%	1.0%
16	New York IslandersNYI 41-27-5	East	1507	+33	-6	97	55.5%	23%	7%	2%	0.9%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-25-8	East	1510	+27	+8	97	50.1%	14%	5%	2%	0.8%
18	Nashville PredatorsNSH 34-29-9	West	1483	+6	+12	88	50.8%	12%	5%	1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 28-25-18	West	1474	-64	-8	87	38.0%	11%	4%	<1%	0.3%
20	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 35-24-12	East	1489	+24	+15	93	13.7%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
21	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-29-10	West	1463	+4	-11	85	24.4%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Washington CapitalsWSH 36-28-9	East	1513	-15	+7	91	4.3%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
23	St. Louis BluesSTL 30-30-11	West	1482	-37	+7	83	7.0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 30-30-12	West	1482	-61	-1	82	4.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 32-31-7	West	1436	+36	-22	84	10.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 37-32-2	East	1505	-22	+20	88	0.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 30-34-8	West	1450	-29	+14	77	0.1%	<1%	<1%	—	—
28	Florida PanthersFLA 35-33-3	East	1506	-70	-7	85	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 31-29-13	East	1481	-62	-3	84	—	—	—	—	—
30	New York RangersNYR 29-35-9	East	1465	-55	-8	76	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-33-13	West	1404	-2	-12	75	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-42-8	West	1384	-116	-11	59	—	—	—	—	—

As of: