2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Mar 13, 2026, 10:04 PM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 44-11-9	West	1612	+50	+11	123	>99.9%	86%	53%	42%	27.1%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 40-20-4	East	1587	+40	-11	108	99.8%	70%	43%	27%	14.0%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 41-14-10	West	1587	+31	+11	114	>99.9%	62%	29%	22%	12.8%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 41-18-6	East	1575	+13	-1	109	>99.9%	70%	49%	25%	12.0%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 40-20-6	East	1565	+92	+11	106	99.6%	61%	30%	17%	7.8%
6	Minnesota WildMIN 38-16-12	West	1560	+43	+11	108	>99.9%	40%	15%	10%	5.4%
7	Montreal CanadiensMTL 36-18-10	East	1536	+40	+2	103	96.1%	39%	16%	8%	3.2%
8	Edmonton OilersEDM 32-26-8	West	1527	-37	+2	92	83.1%	45%	25%	7%	2.9%
9	Utah MammothUTA 34-26-6	West	1524	+14	-6	93	92.2%	43%	25%	7%	2.7%
10	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 30-22-14	West	1520	-42	-4	93	90.3%	48%	25%	7%	2.5%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 32-23-9	East	1535	+13	+9	94	43.8%	17%	9%	4%	1.9%
12	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 33-21-10	East	1519	+37	+9	97	67.4%	35%	14%	5%	1.8%
13	New York IslandersNYI 37-24-5	East	1506	+31	-9	97	71.4%	32%	11%	3%	1.1%
14	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 32-18-15	East	1502	+49	-16	96	69.4%	30%	10%	3%	1.0%
15	Anaheim DucksANA 36-26-3	West	1489	+27	+3	94	92.1%	38%	15%	3%	0.9%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 36-23-7	East	1504	+21	-9	97	62.9%	17%	7%	3%	0.8%
17	Boston BruinsBOS 36-23-6	East	1503	+41	-9	95	53.2%	14%	6%	2%	0.7%
18	Washington CapitalsWSH 33-27-7	East	1510	-18	-5	90	12.6%	6%	2%	<1%	0.4%
19	Los Angeles KingsLAK 26-23-15	West	1479	-59	-1	87	42.2%	14%	5%	1%	0.3%
20	Florida PanthersFLA 33-29-3	East	1520	-56	-0	89	7.0%	3%	1%	<1%	0.3%
21	San Jose SharksSJS 31-26-6	West	1455	+55	+2	88	46.2%	13%	4%	<1%	0.2%
22	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 31-23-11	East	1477	+11	+1	91	16.1%	6%	2%	<1%	0.2%
23	Seattle KrakenSEA 29-26-9	West	1461	+2	-17	84	20.9%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	Nashville PredatorsNSH 29-27-9	West	1470	-7	+4	85	24.8%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	Winnipeg JetsWPG 26-28-10	West	1478	-65	-3	80	4.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL 26-29-10	West	1472	-48	+21	80	3.5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	New Jersey DevilsNJD 32-31-2	East	1480	-47	+4	84	0.7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
28	Calgary FlamesCGY 26-32-7	West	1442	-37	-7	75	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 28-27-11	East	1479	-65	-13	83	0.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 25-29-11	West	1417	+11	-2	76	0.3%	<1%	<1%	—	—
31	New York RangersNYR 27-30-8	East	1480	-40	+23	80	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 20-37-8	West	1401	-99	+3	63	—	—	—	—	—

As of: