2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Mon, Jan 26, 2026, 1:07 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 35-6-9	West	1612	+50	-20	123	>99.9%	86%	60%	45%	28.2%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 32-14-4	East	1600	+52	-1	111	99.5%	75%	52%	35%	20.4%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 32-15-5	East	1565	+3	+16	107	98.4%	65%	43%	20%	10.0%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 29-14-9	West	1553	-4	-6	104	99.4%	53%	20%	12%	5.9%
5	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-14-12	West	1538	-25	-4	99	94.8%	56%	31%	11%	4.7%
6	Edmonton OilersEDM 26-19-8	West	1537	-28	+0	95	84.0%	49%	27%	10%	4.2%
7	Minnesota WildMIN 29-14-10	West	1535	+18	+6	102	98.5%	42%	15%	8%	3.3%
8	Florida PanthersFLA 28-20-3	East	1540	-36	+11	96	62.3%	30%	14%	7%	3.3%
9	Buffalo SabresBUF 29-17-5	East	1535	+62	+13	99	78.8%	36%	15%	8%	3.2%
10	Utah MammothUTA 27-20-4	West	1533	+23	+23	95	85.0%	36%	17%	7%	3.0%
11	Detroit Red WingsDET 32-16-5	East	1522	+39	+15	101	85.8%	35%	13%	6%	2.3%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 26-14-11	East	1506	+52	+22	97	71.2%	34%	13%	4%	1.6%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 28-17-7	East	1511	+15	-6	96	58.7%	21%	8%	4%	1.4%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 30-20-2	East	1510	+49	+10	95	52.2%	19%	8%	3%	1.3%
15	Los Angeles KingsLAK 21-16-13	West	1497	-41	-5	91	58.7%	24%	10%	3%	1.1%
16	Washington CapitalsWSH 25-21-7	East	1510	-18	-12	90	27.9%	15%	7%	2%	0.9%
17	New York IslandersNYI 27-19-5	East	1489	+15	-12	93	46.0%	20%	7%	2%	0.7%
18	Anaheim DucksANA 28-21-3	West	1485	+23	+22	92	70.5%	25%	10%	2%	0.7%
19	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-19-9	East	1509	-35	-19	90	19.3%	7%	3%	2%	0.7%
20	New Jersey DevilsNJD 27-23-2	East	1497	-30	-0	90	29.0%	14%	5%	2%	0.7%
21	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 24-17-9	East	1484	+19	+1	91	35.9%	15%	5%	2%	0.5%
22	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 24-20-7	East	1491	+8	+13	89	21.2%	10%	4%	1%	0.5%
23	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 24-21-7	East	1506	-15	+1	88	12.5%	5%	2%	1%	0.5%
24	San Jose SharksSJS 26-21-3	West	1460	+60	+12	88	44.2%	13%	4%	<1%	0.3%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 23-19-9	West	1465	+6	-5	86	28.5%	8%	3%	<1%	0.2%
26	Nashville PredatorsNSH 24-23-4	West	1475	-2	+0	84	22.4%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Winnipeg JetsWPG 20-24-7	West	1488	-55	-16	80	7.1%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
28	New York RangersNYR 21-25-6	East	1472	-48	-12	80	1.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-25-6	West	1457	-23	-14	77	2.8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-24-9	West	1449	-70	-9	76	2.1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 21-23-8	West	1422	+15	-2	77	2.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 17-30-5	West	1422	-79	-11	67	0.0%	<1%	<1%	—	—

As of: