2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Mar 29, 2026, 10:04 PM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 48-14-10	West	1597	+35	+7	120	>99.9%	85%	54%	41%	23.5%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 46-21-6	East	1596	+49	+0	110	>99.9%	72%	45%	30%	18.2%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 46-21-6	East	1576	+14	+0	109	>99.9%	68%	48%	23%	12.9%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 44-18-12	West	1568	+12	-13	110	>99.9%	62%	28%	19%	9.5%
5	Buffalo SabresBUF 45-21-8	East	1568	+95	-10	108	>99.9%	60%	28%	16%	8.5%
6	Montreal CanadiensMTL 42-21-10	East	1550	+54	+27	105	99.3%	41%	18%	9%	4.4%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 37-28-9	West	1531	-33	+1	93	98.6%	61%	34%	11%	4.0%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 41-21-12	West	1539	+22	-9	104	>99.9%	38%	14%	9%	3.5%
9	Utah MammothUTA 38-30-6	West	1523	+13	-14	92	96.0%	48%	26%	8%	2.9%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 38-25-10	East	1541	+20	+2	97	50.6%	18%	9%	4%	2.1%
11	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 38-24-11	East	1527	+44	-11	97	54.1%	28%	11%	4%	1.8%
12	Boston BruinsBOS 42-24-8	East	1521	+59	+14	100	88.1%	26%	11%	4%	1.7%
13	Anaheim DucksANA 41-28-4	West	1501	+39	+15	97	>99.9%	46%	21%	5%	1.6%
14	New York IslandersNYI 42-27-5	East	1512	+38	+1	98	69.6%	33%	11%	4%	1.4%
15	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 36-21-16	East	1504	+50	-12	98	68.2%	30%	9%	3%	1.0%
16	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 32-26-16	West	1497	-66	-14	89	79.5%	31%	13%	4%	1.0%
17	Detroit Red WingsDET 39-26-8	East	1504	+21	-2	96	31.3%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
18	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 37-24-12	East	1498	+33	+18	95	30.9%	12%	4%	1%	0.4%
19	Washington CapitalsWSH 37-28-9	East	1517	-11	+5	92	7.7%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
20	St. Louis BluesSTL 31-30-11	West	1488	-31	+16	84	12.9%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
21	Nashville PredatorsNSH 34-31-9	West	1475	-2	-6	86	26.5%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
22	Seattle KrakenSEA 32-29-11	West	1461	+2	-7	85	27.5%	7%	2%	<1%	0.1%
23	Los Angeles KingsLAK 28-26-18	West	1467	-71	-11	86	25.2%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG 31-30-12	West	1490	-53	+13	84	11.7%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
25	San Jose SharksSJS 33-31-7	West	1441	+40	-14	85	21.8%	4%	1%	<1%	0.0%
26	New Jersey DevilsNJD 38-33-2	East	1504	-23	+9	88	0.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY 31-34-8	West	1455	-25	+16	78	0.1%	<1%	<1%	—	—
28	Florida PanthersFLA 35-35-3	East	1496	-80	-18	83	—	—	—	—	—
29	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 31-30-13	East	1475	-68	-4	83	—	—	—	—	—
30	New York RangersNYR 30-35-9	East	1470	-50	+1	77	—	—	—	—	—
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 27-34-13	West	1401	-5	-11	74	—	—	—	—	—
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 21-43-8	West	1380	-121	-23	58	—	—	—	—	—

As of: