2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Thu, Oct 30, 2025, 1:14 AM EDT.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 6-1-3	West	1571	+9	+8	108	93.2%	61%	36%	19%	11.1%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL 6-1-4	West	1572	+9	-8	108	92.8%	58%	33%	19%	10.7%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 6-3-0	East	1568	+6	-9	105	86.9%	56%	33%	19%	10.5%
4	New Jersey DevilsNJD 8-2-0	East	1552	+25	+11	105	86.9%	51%	27%	15%	7.2%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 5-4-2	West	1555	-9	+3	101	82.4%	50%	26%	13%	7.0%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 5-5-1	East	1553	-23	-11	98	71.3%	43%	25%	13%	6.6%
7	Winnipeg JetsWPG 7-3-0	West	1553	+10	-4	103	84.9%	46%	23%	12%	6.6%
8	Dallas StarsDAL 6-3-1	West	1551	-5	-5	102	82.5%	44%	22%	12%	6.2%
9	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 4-4-2	East	1537	-10	+3	96	63.2%	35%	19%	9%	4.4%
10	Washington CapitalsWSH 6-4-0	East	1532	+4	-6	97	65.3%	33%	16%	8%	3.8%
11	Utah MammothUTA 8-3-0	West	1531	+21	+17	100	78.8%	35%	16%	7%	3.7%
12	Los Angeles KingsLAK 5-3-3	West	1530	-8	+11	98	73.1%	37%	17%	8%	3.6%
13	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 5-5-1	East	1525	-19	-14	93	51.6%	27%	14%	7%	3.2%
14	Montreal CanadiensMTL 8-3-0	East	1515	+19	+12	97	64.9%	31%	14%	6%	2.5%
15	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 5-5-1	East	1510	-11	+7	91	44.4%	21%	10%	4%	1.9%
16	Detroit Red WingsDET 7-3-0	East	1502	+19	+5	93	54.5%	23%	10%	4%	1.6%
17	New York RangersNYR 4-5-2	East	1505	-14	-9	89	37.0%	16%	7%	3%	1.5%
18	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 6-4-0	East	1499	+16	+16	91	44.6%	18%	7%	3%	1.4%
19	Vancouver CanucksVAN 5-6-0	West	1494	-7	-16	88	38.9%	15%	6%	2%	1.0%
20	Minnesota WildMIN 3-5-3	West	1493	-24	-14	86	32.5%	11%	5%	2%	0.9%
21	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 7-2-2	East	1481	+27	+13	90	40.9%	14%	5%	2%	0.8%
22	St. Louis BluesSTL 3-6-1	West	1488	-31	-28	84	25.9%	9%	4%	2%	0.7%
23	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 5-3-1	East	1476	+11	+12	87	30.0%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
24	Anaheim DucksANA 5-3-1	West	1471	+9	+12	87	35.5%	12%	4%	1%	0.5%
25	Buffalo SabresBUF 4-4-2	East	1473	-0	+1	84	22.7%	8%	3%	1%	0.5%
26	New York IslandersNYI 4-4-1	East	1472	-3	+5	84	21.7%	8%	3%	1%	0.4%
27	Seattle KrakenSEA 5-2-3	West	1468	+8	+0	87	36.0%	11%	4%	1%	0.4%
28	Nashville PredatorsNSH 4-5-2	West	1464	-13	-10	82	20.2%	6%	2%	<1%	0.3%
29	Boston BruinsBOS 5-7-0	East	1460	-1	-4	80	14.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
30	Calgary FlamesCGY 2-8-1	West	1457	-22	-4	76	10.3%	3%	1%	<1%	0.2%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 5-3-2	West	1427	+21	+10	78	11.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
32	San Jose SharksSJS 2-6-2	West	1386	-14	+4	65	1.2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: