2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Fri, Dec 19, 2025, 10:43 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 24-2-7	West	1616	+54	+8	123	>99.9%	81%	52%	38%	26.2%
2	Carolina HurricanesCAR 22-9-2	East	1571	+9	+18	109	97.1%	66%	40%	24%	11.3%
3	Dallas StarsDAL 23-7-5	West	1579	+23	-5	112	99.7%	61%	27%	18%	10.5%
4	Florida PanthersFLA 18-13-2	East	1553	-23	+18	98	77.1%	47%	27%	14%	6.4%
5	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 18-13-3	East	1553	+5	-1	99	79.8%	49%	28%	14%	6.3%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 16-6-10	West	1548	-15	+2	104	95.3%	56%	30%	11%	5.7%
7	Edmonton OilersEDM 17-12-6	West	1550	-14	+14	99	87.9%	52%	29%	11%	5.5%
8	Washington CapitalsWSH 19-11-4	East	1547	+19	-9	101	85.1%	49%	25%	13%	5.5%
9	Minnesota WildMIN 21-9-5	West	1550	+33	+27	104	96.5%	40%	15%	9%	4.6%
10	Los Angeles KingsLAK 15-10-9	West	1518	-20	-11	95	75.9%	34%	15%	5%	2.1%
11	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 16-13-4	East	1516	-5	+9	92	47.5%	23%	11%	5%	1.9%
12	New Jersey DevilsNJD 19-14-1	East	1514	-12	+2	94	57.8%	25%	11%	5%	1.9%
13	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 15-13-5	East	1518	-26	-10	89	35.6%	18%	9%	4%	1.7%
14	New York IslandersNYI 19-12-3	East	1506	+31	+4	95	63.0%	25%	10%	4%	1.5%
15	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-16-2	West	1512	-31	-11	87	40.7%	13%	6%	2%	1.1%
16	Anaheim DucksANA 20-12-2	West	1497	+35	-3	95	77.4%	29%	11%	3%	1.1%
17	Utah MammothUTA 17-16-3	West	1505	-5	+5	89	49.3%	15%	7%	2%	1.0%
18	Boston BruinsBOS 20-15-0	East	1498	+36	+9	92	49.1%	20%	8%	3%	1.0%
19	New York RangersNYR 17-15-4	East	1504	-16	-17	89	33.4%	14%	6%	3%	1.0%
20	Montreal CanadiensMTL 18-12-4	East	1496	+0	+6	91	43.7%	18%	7%	3%	1.0%
21	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 17-10-6	East	1489	+24	-6	92	47.0%	17%	6%	3%	0.8%
22	Detroit Red WingsDET 19-13-3	East	1483	+0	+2	89	34.9%	13%	5%	2%	0.6%
23	Buffalo SabresBUF 15-14-4	East	1476	+3	+13	85	18.3%	7%	3%	1%	0.3%
24	Vancouver CanucksVAN 13-17-3	West	1469	-32	+6	80	14.0%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
25	Calgary FlamesCGY 14-17-4	West	1473	-6	+4	80	14.2%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
26	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 14-14-6	East	1465	-17	-16	83	12.3%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 14-10-9	East	1458	+4	-23	85	18.5%	6%	2%	<1%	0.1%
28	Nashville PredatorsNSH 13-16-4	West	1458	-19	+11	79	11.0%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
29	St. Louis BluesSTL 13-15-8	West	1455	-65	-11	78	8.8%	2%	<1%	<1%	0.1%
30	San Jose SharksSJS 17-15-3	West	1440	+39	+7	82	18.4%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
31	Seattle KrakenSEA 12-14-6	West	1432	-27	-12	76	6.0%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 13-15-6	West	1423	+17	-8	75	5.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: