2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Sun, Dec 28, 2025, 8:30 PM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

Show all columns?

							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 28-2-7	West	1629	+66	+16	127	>99.9%	86%	59%	45%	32.8%
2	Dallas StarsDAL 25-7-7	West	1581	+24	+5	113	99.9%	62%	25%	17%	10.4%
3	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 22-13-3	East	1569	+22	+12	103	92.1%	61%	37%	22%	9.8%
4	Carolina HurricanesCAR 23-11-3	East	1560	-2	-6	106	95.1%	62%	38%	21%	8.6%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 19-14-6	West	1548	-16	+3	98	89.1%	55%	31%	10%	5.3%
6	Florida PanthersFLA 20-15-2	East	1548	-28	-3	97	71.1%	41%	22%	12%	4.9%
7	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 17-8-11	West	1540	-23	-12	101	93.6%	55%	29%	9%	4.5%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 23-10-6	West	1548	+31	+3	104	97.5%	38%	13%	7%	3.7%
9	Washington CapitalsWSH 20-13-5	East	1530	+2	-11	97	73.8%	40%	19%	9%	3.2%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 18-14-5	East	1518	-3	+7	92	47.5%	23%	11%	5%	1.9%
11	Los Angeles KingsLAK 16-12-9	West	1513	-26	-3	92	67.7%	31%	14%	4%	1.8%
12	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 17-15-5	East	1517	-27	-7	89	31.2%	15%	7%	4%	1.4%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 20-12-6	East	1503	+7	+11	94	55.5%	23%	9%	4%	1.3%
14	New Jersey DevilsNJD 20-16-2	East	1505	-22	-5	92	45.8%	20%	9%	4%	1.3%
15	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 19-10-7	East	1497	+31	+10	95	60.8%	25%	10%	4%	1.2%
16	New York IslandersNYI 21-14-4	East	1497	+23	-8	94	55.3%	23%	9%	4%	1.1%
17	New York RangersNYR 19-17-4	East	1507	-12	+7	90	34.0%	15%	7%	3%	1.1%
18	Detroit Red WingsDET 22-14-3	East	1495	+12	+4	93	50.3%	19%	8%	3%	1.0%
19	Buffalo SabresBUF 19-14-4	East	1495	+21	+23	91	39.7%	16%	6%	3%	0.9%
20	Utah MammothUTA 18-18-3	West	1503	-7	-1	87	44.9%	13%	6%	2%	0.9%
21	Winnipeg JetsWPG 15-17-4	West	1504	-39	-15	85	34.2%	11%	5%	2%	0.8%
22	Anaheim DucksANA 21-15-2	West	1481	+18	-20	91	60.4%	20%	7%	1%	0.5%
23	Calgary FlamesCGY 16-18-4	West	1479	-0	+4	82	22.5%	8%	3%	<1%	0.3%
24	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 16-15-6	East	1474	-8	+7	85	16.9%	6%	3%	1%	0.3%
25	Boston BruinsBOS 20-18-1	East	1474	+12	-29	86	17.9%	6%	2%	1%	0.3%
26	Vancouver CanucksVAN 15-19-3	West	1467	-33	+7	80	14.1%	5%	2%	<1%	0.2%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 16-17-4	West	1468	-9	+5	82	20.7%	4%	2%	<1%	0.2%
28	St. Louis BluesSTL 15-16-8	West	1465	-55	+10	81	15.5%	3%	1%	<1%	0.1%
29	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 15-12-9	East	1452	-2	-16	83	13.0%	4%	2%	<1%	0.1%
30	Seattle KrakenSEA 15-14-6	West	1449	-10	+10	82	19.2%	5%	2%	<1%	0.1%
31	San Jose SharksSJS 18-17-3	West	1438	+37	+0	81	16.3%	4%	1%	<1%	0.1%
32	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 14-17-6	West	1421	+15	-8	75	4.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: