2025-2026 NHL Elo Ratings & Projections

Last updated Wed, Jan 28, 2026, 1:06 AM EST.

Welcome back! The 2025-26 NHL elo projections are live.

Data is now updating multiple times a day. We've also added a new feature: Scorigami!, a heatmap of all the scores in the season so far.

This website is inspired by 538's NHL Elo ratings, which are no longer maintained. We provide season-long and game-level projections, updated daily. See below the table for how it works.

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							Based on 50,000 simulations

1	Colorado AvalancheCOL 35-6-9	West	1612	+50	-20	123	>99.9%	85%	59%	44%	28.1%
2	Tampa Bay LightningTBL 33-14-4	East	1603	+56	+6	112	99.7%	77%	54%	38%	21.7%
3	Carolina HurricanesCAR 32-15-5	East	1565	+3	+16	107	98.7%	66%	44%	20%	9.8%
4	Dallas StarsDAL 30-14-9	West	1555	-1	-0	105	99.5%	54%	21%	13%	5.9%
5	Edmonton OilersEDM 27-19-8	West	1541	-24	-2	96	85.6%	51%	28%	10%	4.6%
6	Vegas Golden KnightsVEG 25-14-13	West	1535	-28	-12	99	93.5%	53%	28%	10%	4.2%
7	Buffalo SabresBUF 30-17-5	East	1541	+68	+23	101	86.2%	43%	18%	9%	4.0%
8	Minnesota WildMIN 30-14-10	West	1537	+20	+5	103	98.6%	42%	15%	8%	3.5%
9	Utah MammothUTA 28-21-4	West	1533	+23	+13	95	84.7%	35%	17%	7%	2.9%
10	Florida PanthersFLA 28-21-3	East	1537	-40	-0	95	54.0%	24%	12%	6%	2.7%
11	Detroit Red WingsDET 32-17-5	East	1516	+33	+5	99	80.7%	30%	11%	5%	1.8%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 26-14-11	East	1506	+52	+22	97	73.4%	36%	13%	4%	1.6%
13	Montreal CanadiensMTL 29-17-7	East	1514	+18	+1	97	67.4%	24%	10%	4%	1.5%
14	Boston BruinsBOS 31-20-3	East	1510	+48	+0	95	57.6%	20%	8%	3%	1.2%
15	Los Angeles KingsLAK 22-16-13	West	1503	-35	+9	92	64.7%	27%	12%	4%	1.2%
16	New York IslandersNYI 28-19-5	East	1497	+23	-8	94	60.1%	27%	10%	3%	1.0%
17	Washington CapitalsWSH 25-22-7	East	1503	-25	-12	88	21.3%	11%	4%	2%	0.6%
18	Anaheim DucksANA 28-22-3	West	1481	+18	+15	91	59.2%	20%	7%	2%	0.5%
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 24-20-7	East	1491	+8	+13	89	23.1%	11%	4%	1%	0.5%
20	New Jersey DevilsNJD 27-24-2	East	1494	-33	+2	89	22.5%	11%	4%	1%	0.5%
21	Ottawa SenatorsOTT 24-21-7	East	1506	-15	+1	88	13.4%	5%	2%	1%	0.4%
22	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 24-20-9	East	1502	-42	-29	88	12.8%	4%	2%	1%	0.4%
23	San Jose SharksSJS 27-21-3	West	1467	+66	+13	90	49.7%	15%	5%	1%	0.3%
24	Philadelphia FlyersPHI 24-18-9	East	1476	+11	-1	89	27.0%	11%	4%	1%	0.3%
25	Seattle KrakenSEA 24-19-9	West	1472	+13	+6	87	33.1%	11%	4%	<1%	0.3%
26	Winnipeg JetsWPG 21-24-7	West	1492	-51	-9	81	8.3%	2%	1%	<1%	0.2%
27	Nashville PredatorsNSH 24-23-5	West	1472	-5	-14	84	18.5%	4%	2%	<1%	0.1%
28	New York RangersNYR 22-25-6	East	1475	-45	-2	81	2.1%	1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
29	Calgary FlamesCGY 21-25-6	West	1457	-23	-14	77	2.3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
30	St. Louis BluesSTL 19-25-9	West	1447	-73	-16	75	0.9%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI 21-23-9	West	1420	+14	+2	77	1.4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN 17-31-5	West	1415	-85	-11	65	0.0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0%

As of: